8000 State Route 8 · Schroon Lake, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
Key facts
- Two separate parcels
- 2.5 acres
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 0.7% in Schroon Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#406 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A-, schools B; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- North Warren Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #352 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.41%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $83,938
- Equity at exit
- $108,105
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.92×
- Total profit
- $232,630
- Equity at exit
- $233,132
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12815
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,419 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $374 | -5% $333 | +0% $291 | +5% $250 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $179 | -5% $235 | +0% $291 | +5% $347 | +10% $404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $352 | -0.5pp $322 | base $291 | +0.5pp $260 | +1.0pp $229 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2025-10-29soldstatus $119,000 Closed 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2025-06-10status Pending 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2025-06-10status Pending
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2025-05-25price $119,000 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2025-05-25$119,999 Active
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2025-05-12price $124,999 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2025-05-05price $129,999 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2025-04-27$149,999 Active 724-char remark
Show marketing remark (724 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required
-
2020-09-11historical
-
2019-03-01historical
-
2017-02-17$139,900 Active
-
2005-05-19$199,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,362
- − Management
- −$1,362
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,687
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$405
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,092/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Warren Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616960
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,309
- Composite
- 44.32/100
- National rank
- #2829
- State rank
- #352 of 590 in NY
Livability — Schroon Lake
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #406
- US rank
- #6982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,770
- Population (ZIP)
- 999
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.51%
- Current HPI
- 391.0336
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-40.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-29 Sold (MLS) $119,000 Global MLS
- 2025-06-10 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-06-10 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-05-25 Price Changed $119,000 Global MLS
- 2025-05-25 Listed $119,999 UNYREIS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $124,999 Global MLS
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $129,999 Global MLS
- 2025-04-27 Listed $149,999 Global MLS
- 2020-09-11 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2019-03-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2017-02-17 Listed $139,900 Global MLS
- 2005-05-19 Listed $199,000 Global MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…