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8000 State Route 8
B Composite 71.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,999

8000 State Route 8 · Schroon Lake, NY 12815
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1930 ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

Key facts

  • Two separate parcels
  • 2.5 acres
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

TWO SEPARATE PARCELS2.5 ACRESWATER AND BASEBOARD HEATINGFLEXIBLE PURCHASE OPTIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 0.7% in Schroon Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#406 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A-, schools B; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • North Warren Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #352 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,199 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.41%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$83,938
Equity at exit
$108,105
10-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
7.92×
Total profit
$232,630
Equity at exit
$233,132

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12815

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,419 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $119,999
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $374 -5% $333 +0% $291 +5% $250 +10% $209
Rent -10% $179 -5% $235 +0% $291 +5% $347 +10% $404
Rate -1.0pp $352 -0.5pp $322 base $291 +0.5pp $260 +1.0pp $229

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2025-10-29
    soldstatus $119,000 Closed 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  2. 2025-06-10
    status Pending 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  3. 2025-06-10
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  4. 2025-05-25
    price $119,000 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  5. 2025-05-25
    listed $119,999 Active
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  6. 2025-05-12
    price $124,999 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  7. 2025-05-05
    price $129,999 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  8. 2025-04-27
    listed $149,999 Active 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    Incredible investment opportunity! Two vacant homes plus a massive 40'x40' barn/garage on two separate parcels near the lake. Featuring a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across a level lot with beautiful mountain views. Perfect setup for short-term vacation rentals, Airbnb, or long-term rental income. Economical wood boiler heats both homes, saving on utilities. The second parcel is a wooded lot offering endless possibilities—build another home, expand rental units, or keep for extra privacy. Minutes to lake access, hiking, and year-round recreation. Endless upside for investors, flippers, or owner-occupants looking to build equity. Cash sale only, sold as is, assignment of contract required. 10% EMD required

  9. 2020-09-11
    historical
  10. 2019-03-01
    historical
  11. 2017-02-17
    listed $139,900 Active
  12. 2005-05-19
    listed $199,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,024
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$1,687
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$405
After-tax cash flow
$3,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Warren Central School District
NCES district ID
3616960
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$53,309
Composite
44.32/100
National rank
#2829
State rank
#352 of 590 in NY

Livability — Schroon Lake

Score
71/100
State rank
#406
US rank
#6982

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,770
Population (ZIP)
999

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,372 people
By 2030
60,491 · -3.0%
By 2040
55,616 · -10.8%
By 2050
50,437 · -19.1%
By 2075
40,843 · -34.5%
By 2100
31,159 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.51%
Current HPI
391.0336
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-29 Sold (MLS) $119,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-06-10 Pending Global MLS
  • 2025-06-10 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-05-25 Price Changed $119,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-05-25 Listed $119,999 UNYREIS
  • 2025-05-12 Price Changed $124,999 Global MLS
  • 2025-05-05 Price Changed $129,999 Global MLS
  • 2025-04-27 Listed $149,999 Global MLS
  • 2020-09-11 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2019-03-01 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2017-02-17 Listed $139,900 Global MLS
  • 2005-05-19 Listed $199,000 Global MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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