Triplex
15803 NW 47th Ave · Miami Gardens, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$749,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
----SHORT SALE APPROVAL--- BEWARE: NON COOPERATIVE PERSONS. NEED 24 HR. APPT.
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Multi-family
- Zoned 2-9 units
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning code: 5700
- Financial info: Units are month-to-month; Listed actual rent recorded as nominal ($1) — rental details available; Rent includes water
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 6 parking spaces (open parking)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable not available
- Home design: Single-story building
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Resale property
- Exterior features: Open parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen in 3-bedroom unit
- Bedrooms: Three 1-bedroom efficiency units; One 3-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: Each unit includes one full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling (individual units have air conditioning)
- Interior features: Tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Water included in rent (for rental units)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-149 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-50/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $724k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $598k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $598k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Miami Gardens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#338 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,983/mo this rent would consume 157% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1811% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($727k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $750k implies a 940% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.47%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-119,687
- Equity at exit
- $111,813
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-68,212
- Equity at exit
- $64,838
Cash invested: $209,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33054
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 31.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,983 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,933
- Tax from tax record
- −$564 /mo · $6,767/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,256
- Net cashflow
- $-149
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $276 | -5% $63 | +0% $-149 | +5% $-361 | +10% $-573 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-621 | -5% $-385 | +0% $-149 | +5% $88 | +10% $324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $42 | base $-149 | +0.5pp $-343 | +1.0pp $-541 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $5,982 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,994 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,994 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,994 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,983 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,475
- Closing costs
- $22,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $749,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $749,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $749,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $749,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $749,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $749,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $749,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $749,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $749,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $749,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $749,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $749,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $749,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $749,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical
-
2026-05-06$749,900 Active
-
2025-05-22$750,000 Active
-
2011-07-22soldstatus $72,100 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
----SHORT SALE APPROVAL--- BEWARE: NON COOPERATIVE PERSONS. NEED 24 HR. APPT.
-
2011-07-22soldstatus $72,100
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
----SHORT SALE APPROVAL--- BEWARE: NON COOPERATIVE PERSONS. NEED 24 HR. APPT.
-
2011-04-11$72,100 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
----SHORT SALE APPROVAL--- BEWARE: NON COOPERATIVE PERSONS. NEED 24 HR. APPT.
-
1987-05-01soldstatus $16,000
-
1983-12-01soldstatus $11,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,767 · $564/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,767 · $564/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $71,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,006
- − Property taxes
- −$6,767
- − Insurance
- −$4,547
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,744
- − Management
- −$5,744
- − Depreciation
- −$21,815
- Taxable loss
- −$14,826
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,558
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Gardens
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #338
- US rank
- #5854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Gardens, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 81,592
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,055
- Household income
- $45,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1811.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (51%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 29% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 27% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 42% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.05%
- Current HPI
- 681.4827
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.86%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+6595.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $749,900 MARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-05-22 Listed $750,000 MARMLS
- 2011-07-22 Sold (MLS) $72,100 MARMLS
- 2011-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $72,100 Public Records
- 2011-04-11 Listed $72,100 MARMLS
- 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1983-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,767 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…