619 4th Ave · Montgomery, WV
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this quaint 2-bed 1-bath corner property home, offering comfort and opportunity. The hardwood floors beneath the carpet are ready to be revealed and restored to their original beauty. Perfect for investors, first-time home buyers, or those looking to downsize. This home offers solid potential with a manageable layout. Don't miss the chance to make it your own!
Key facts
- Manageable layout
- Hardwood floors
- Corner property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential single family
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Plaster; Vinyl siding; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedroom count within room total)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall furnace; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#308 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fayette County Schools (suburban): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #51 of 55 in WV (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Valley Pk-8 (math 13%, 530 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $119 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $-330 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Fayette County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.22%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $22,097
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 5th Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,164 (+0%) | 21mo | $22,000 | $19 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $13,853
- Equity at exit
- $17,242
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $41,314
- Equity at exit
- $19,465
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25136
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-02-17$65,000 Active
-
2025-05-30$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$1,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$955
- − Management
- −$955
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,402
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$577
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400300
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,293
- Composite
- 19.77/100
- National rank
- #8706
- State rank
- #51 of 55 in WV
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #308
- US rank
- #24681
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,749
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,745 people
- By 2030
- 39,758 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 35,751 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 32,223 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 24,307 · -41.8%
- By 2100
- 16,671 · -60.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 16% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.1% · R 69.8% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.51%
- Current HPI
- 130.7827
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Listed $65,000 KVBOR
- 2025-05-30 Listed $65,000 KVBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…