699 Oak St · Lafayette, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$152,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
City living! Close to shopping and church. Cute potential 4 bedroom ! Two finished rooms upstairs. Great starter home or if you are down sizing. This one is the deal of the month. Inside phots to be be posted soon.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 181 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 100; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; 2 main-level bedrooms; Bedroom sizes: 12x13 and 9x13
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
- Recommended offer: $134k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#80 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Macon County (rural): math 34% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #53 of 139 in TN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lafayette Elementary School (math 44% / reading 31%, grade F, #269 of 952 statewide, top 28%, 422 students, 0% FRL); Macon County High School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #112 of 332 statewide, top 35%, 967 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 181 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Macon County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.18%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.85×
- Total profit
- $121,908
- Equity at exit
- $137,384
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.69×
- Total profit
- $328,245
- Equity at exit
- $296,274
Cash invested: $42,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37083
- Home prices YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$800
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $319/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $611
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,125
- Closing costs
- $4,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Apache Pt Lafayette, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 203 Cherokee Dr Lafayette, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,500 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $152,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $152,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $152,500 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $152,500 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $152,500 Active 164 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $152,500 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $152,500
-
2026-02-06price $157,500
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2025-12-19$167,500 Active
-
2024-10-11historical 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
City living! Close to shopping and church. Cute potential 4 bedroom ! Two finished rooms upstairs. Great starter home or if you are down sizing. This one is the deal of the month. Inside phots to be be posted soon.
-
2024-04-17price $174,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
City living! Close to shopping and church. Cute potential 4 bedroom ! Two finished rooms upstairs. Great starter home or if you are down sizing. This one is the deal of the month. Inside phots to be be posted soon.
-
2024-04-11$164,900 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
City living! Close to shopping and church. Cute potential 4 bedroom ! Two finished rooms upstairs. Great starter home or if you are down sizing. This one is the deal of the month. Inside phots to be be posted soon.
-
2023-05-02soldstatus $155,000
-
2023-04-28soldstatus $155,000 Closed 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Charming little cottage in the heart of Lafayette. 2 bedroom/2 full baths on main floor. Separate dinning room. 2 finished rooms upstairs. Nice level yard. Convenient location to shopping.
-
2023-03-22status Pending 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Charming little cottage in the heart of Lafayette. 2 bedroom/2 full baths on main floor. Separate dinning room. 2 finished rooms upstairs. Nice level yard. Convenient location to shopping.
-
2023-02-28price $159,900 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Charming little cottage in the heart of Lafayette. 2 bedroom/2 full baths on main floor. Separate dinning room. 2 finished rooms upstairs. Nice level yard. Convenient location to shopping.
-
2023-02-10$163,000 Active 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Charming little cottage in the heart of Lafayette. 2 bedroom/2 full baths on main floor. Separate dinning room. 2 finished rooms upstairs. Nice level yard. Convenient location to shopping.
-
2021-12-16soldstatus $137,000
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2021-12-15status Pending
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2021-12-15soldstatus $137,000 Closed
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2021-12-01soldstatus $89,900
-
2021-11-12price $137,000
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2021-11-10historical Active Under Contract
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2021-11-09status Active
-
2021-11-04historical Active Under Contract
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2021-11-03$129,900 Active
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2021-11-02historical $129,900
-
2000-01-04soldstatus $55,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $319 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,083 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$764/yr (+$64/mo · 239.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,542
- − Property taxes
- −$319
- − Insurance
- −$762
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$4,436
- Taxable income
- $5,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,222
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Macon County
- NCES district ID
- 4702550
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,280
- Composite
- 25.97/100
- National rank
- #7329
- State rank
- #53 of 139 in TN
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #80
- US rank
- #9247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,887
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,618 people
- By 2030
- 25,337 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 26,739 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 27,822 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 30,614 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 31,851 · +29.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.3) · D 12.4% · R 86.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -54.8pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -74.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.3 2020: R+71.6 2016: R+69.3 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 31.33%
- Current HPI
- 388.8726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+175.3% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $152,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $157,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Listed $167,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-11 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-17 Price Changed $174,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-11 Listed $164,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $155,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-22 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-28 Price Changed $159,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-10 Listed $163,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-15 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-15 Sold (MLS) $137,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2021-11-12 Price Changed $137,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-10 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-09 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-04 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-03 Listed $129,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-02 Coming Soon $129,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $319 · -22.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…