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204 N Chicago St
B- Composite 67.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$124,900

204 N Chicago St · Milford, IL 60953
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,628 sqft · SingleFamily · 216 Days on market
Built 1910 0.37 ac lot Est $168k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained two story home with wrap around porch, shady big yard and 2 car detached garage. Inside has 5 BR, Kitchen, dining, family room and living room. Beautiful original woodwork, pocket door, 2 stairways(one open). Great family home!!!

Key facts

  • Oversized lot
  • Original woodwork
  • 0.37 acre lot

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTMILFORD SCHOOL DISTRICTORIGINAL WOODWORK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax exemptions noted for homeowner and disabled veteran
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Space for 2 vehicles; Gravel driveway (owned)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story; Owned fee simple; Property more than 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.25–0.49 acre; Lot dimensions approximately 66 x 249; Aluminum siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry with butler, closet, and walk-in options; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (master and several bedrooms on second floor; one bedroom on main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in several rooms (including living room, dining room, multiple bedrooms); Carpet in some bedrooms and family room; Other flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Bathrooms without tubs (no tub noted)
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating (other heating type also listed); Wall air conditioning units; Circuit breaker electrical panel; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; 9 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#854 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Milford Area PSD 124 (rural): math 30% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #278 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Iroquois County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Iroquois County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $125k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.32%
Cash-on-cash
7.24%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,192
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 N Chicago St 0.07mi 5/2.0 2,408 (-8%) 7mo $99,900 $41 77
400 E Jones St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,492 (-5%) 13mo $160,000 $64 62
212 W Jones St 0.36mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,248 (-14%) 15mo $185,000 $82 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$21,188
Equity at exit
$48,384
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$66,184
Equity at exit
$69,003

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60953

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,362 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,900/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,095
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 216 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 215 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 213 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 211 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active 210 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 207 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 203 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $124,900 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 198 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 197 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-16
    price $124,900
  18. 2025-11-26
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  19. 2025-11-13
    listed $139,900 Active
  20. 2014-05-10
    soldstatus $75,000
  21. 2010-09-09
    soldstatus $80,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Well maintained two story home with wrap around porch, shady big yard and 2 car detached garage. Inside has 5 BR, Kitchen, dining, family room and living room. Beautiful original woodwork, pocket door, 2 stairways(one open). Great family home!!!

  22. 2010-09-09
    soldstatus $77,000
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Well maintained two story home with wrap around porch, shady big yard and 2 car detached garage. Inside has 5 BR, Kitchen, dining, family room and living room. Beautiful original woodwork, pocket door, 2 stairways(one open). Great family home!!!

  23. 2010-09-01
    soldstatus $80,000
  24. 2010-07-24
    listed $84,900 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Well maintained two story home with wrap around porch, shady big yard and 2 car detached garage. Inside has 5 BR, Kitchen, dining, family room and living room. Beautiful original woodwork, pocket door, 2 stairways(one open). Great family home!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,900 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,367 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$468/yr (+$39/mo · 24.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,347
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,900
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,308
− Management
−$1,308
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$139
After-tax cash flow
$2,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milford Area PSD 124
NCES district ID
1701416
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$44,333
Composite
24.03/100
National rank
#7767
State rank
#278 of 620 in IL

Livability — Milford

Score
62/100
State rank
#854
US rank
#16734

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milford, IL
City population
2,141
Population (ZIP)
2,141

Population outlook (Iroquois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,826 people
By 2030
25,771 · -3.9%
By 2040
23,589 · -12.1%
By 2050
21,523 · -19.8%
By 2075
17,998 · -32.9%
By 2100
14,979 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2%

Political lean MEDSL · Iroquois

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 78.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.87%
Current HPI
156.755
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+47.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $124,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-26 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $139,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2010-09-09 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 2010-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2010-07-24 Listed $84,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2019): $1,900 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…