8235 Zoe Dr · Berkeley, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This two bedroom home is currently rented at $975/month which is below market rates. The current Sec 8 FMR is $1270/month so there is lots of upside potential. If you're thinking of starting your rental portfolio or looking to add to one, this could be a perfect fit. Interested in a package of homes? This seller is also selling MLS# 26027397 and #2607390 if you would like to add them to your contract. The home is being sold as-is with seller to do no inspections, repairs or credits. Showings with an accepted contract. Please do not disturb the tenant or walk the property.
Key facts
- 7,440 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 35 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 10.1% in Berkeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#774 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $75k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.61%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,777
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 3.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8234 Airport Rd | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $95 | 88 |
| 6317 Abbott Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 5mo | $79,900 | $101 | 81 |
| 222 Henquin Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+3%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $141 | 70 |
| 8235 Davenport Dr | 0.44mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 792 (0%) | 5mo | $63,000 | $80 | 70 |
| 6301 Jefferson Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+3%) | 6mo | $62,500 | $77 | 65 |
| 6153 Hancock Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (-8%) | 5mo | $59,900 | $82 | 63 |
| 8027 Aline Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (+8%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $53 | 60 |
| 308 Henquin Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 861 (+9%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 6330 Washington Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+9%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $58 | 55 |
| 6300 Evergreen Blvd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+9%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $115 | 55 |
| 213 Henquin Dr | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-12%) | 4mo | $34,900 | $50 | 50 |
| 619 Carson Rd | 0.69mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 901 (+14%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $83 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $16,933
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $47,643
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63134
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $648/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $483
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6044 Cascade Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 7d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 8306 Whitewater Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,195 | $1.51 | 7d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 6132 Eaton Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,125 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 6214 Jefferson Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6042 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,495 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 6156 Wulff Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,425 | $1.48 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 910 Disco Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,260 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 60 Mayme Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,285 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6333 Peurifoy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6234 Hancock Ave Berkeley, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 222 Henquin Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,050 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6315 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $1,175 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6334 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6336 Washington Ave Berkeley, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,175 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $950 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 334 Mueller Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $825 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6625 Thurston Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 422 Plaza Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 887 | $1,297 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $925 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5500 Mable Ave Unit 5518 B4 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $835 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5500 Mable Ave Unit 5530 B1 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $915 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 806 Marvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5300 Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 223 Wiegel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,560 | $1.81 | 12d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,290 | $1.52 | 7d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 801 Thomas Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 260 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,623 | $1.49 | 20d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 263 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,350 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,175 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-05$77,500 Active 578-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical $77,500 578-char remark
-
2025-09-03$98,000 Active
-
2024-07-17historical $925
-
2024-05-30price $925
-
2024-05-08$975
-
2019-03-29soldstatus $35,500
-
2016-12-12soldstatus $16,000
-
2016-12-12soldstatus $23,000
-
2005-10-05soldstatus $69,500
-
1988-05-01soldstatus
-
1988-04-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $648 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $728 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$80/yr (+$7/mo · 12.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$648
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,168
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Berkeley
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #774
- US rank
- #23800
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berkeley, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 13,059
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,059
- Household income
- $44,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.02%
- Current HPI
- 226.9524
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.61%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+7.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $77,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Listed $98,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-17 Rental Removed $925 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-05-30 Price Changed $925 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-05-08 Listed for Rent $975 PROPERTYWARE
- 2019-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
- 2016-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
- 1988-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2022): $648 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…