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641 Cusseta Hwy
B Composite 73.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$80,000

641 Cusseta Hwy · Box Springs, GA 31801
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1989 2.67 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD Case # 105-667587. 3 Bedroom 2 Bath single family mobile home. 1,568 heated sf on 2.67 acres in Talbot County Georgia at Cusseta Hwy and Spano Dr. Home features kitchen. Dining area. Living room with fireplace. Master bedroom and bath. Additional 2 bedrooms and bathroom. Completley fenced lot with multiple gates and storage buildings. 2 car carport, rear deck, above ground pool. Lake view with dock. This home is sold "As Is" without any guarantee or warranty by seller. Home is Insured under FHA Standards. Equal Housing Opportunity. For more information go to https://www. hudhomestore. gov for offer submission.

Key facts

  • Kitchen
  • Dining area
  • Storage buildings

Tags

KITCHENDINING AREALIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACECOMPLETELY FENCED LOTMULTIPLE GATESSTORAGE BUILDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Talbot County (rural): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #178 of 187 in GA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Talbot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Talbot County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
13.52%
Cash-on-cash
25.80%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$40,517
Equity at exit
$36,224
10-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
5.51×
Total profit
$100,930
Equity at exit
$56,022

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31801

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $276/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $527 -5% $504 +0% $482 +5% $459 +10% $436
Rent -10% $386 -5% $434 +0% $482 +5% $529 +10% $577
Rate -1.0pp $522 -0.5pp $502 base $482 +0.5pp $461 +1.0pp $440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    HUD Case # 105-667587. 3 Bedroom 2 Bath single family mobile home. 1,568 heated sf on 2.67 acres in Talbot County Georgia at Cusseta Hwy and Spano Dr. Home features kitchen. Dining area. Living room with fireplace. Master bedroom and bath. Additional 2 bedrooms and bathroom. Completley fenced lot with multiple gates and storage buildings. 2 car carport, rear deck, above ground pool. Lake view with dock. This home is sold "As Is" without any guarantee or warranty by seller. Home is Insured under FHA Standards. Equal Housing Opportunity. For more information go to https://www. hudhomestore. gov for offer submission.

  2. 2026-05-02
    status Active 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    HUD Case # 105-667587. 3 Bedroom 2 Bath single family mobile home. 1,568 heated sf on 2.67 acres in Talbot County Georgia at Cusseta Hwy and Spano Dr. Home features kitchen. Dining area. Living room with fireplace. Master bedroom and bath. Additional 2 bedrooms and bathroom. Completley fenced lot with multiple gates and storage buildings. 2 car carport, rear deck, above ground pool. Lake view with dock. This home is sold "As Is" without any guarantee or warranty by seller. Home is Insured under FHA Standards. Equal Housing Opportunity. For more information go to https://www. hudhomestore. gov for offer submission.

  3. 2026-01-26
    status Pending 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    HUD Case # 105-667587. 3 Bedroom 2 Bath single family mobile home. 1,568 heated sf on 2.67 acres in Talbot County Georgia at Cusseta Hwy and Spano Dr. Home features kitchen. Dining area. Living room with fireplace. Master bedroom and bath. Additional 2 bedrooms and bathroom. Completley fenced lot with multiple gates and storage buildings. 2 car carport, rear deck, above ground pool. Lake view with dock. This home is sold "As Is" without any guarantee or warranty by seller. Home is Insured under FHA Standards. Equal Housing Opportunity. For more information go to https://www. hudhomestore. gov for offer submission.

  4. 2025-12-16
    listed $80,000 Active 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    HUD Case # 105-667587. 3 Bedroom 2 Bath single family mobile home. 1,568 heated sf on 2.67 acres in Talbot County Georgia at Cusseta Hwy and Spano Dr. Home features kitchen. Dining area. Living room with fireplace. Master bedroom and bath. Additional 2 bedrooms and bathroom. Completley fenced lot with multiple gates and storage buildings. 2 car carport, rear deck, above ground pool. Lake view with dock. This home is sold "As Is" without any guarantee or warranty by seller. Home is Insured under FHA Standards. Equal Housing Opportunity. For more information go to https://www. hudhomestore. gov for offer submission.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$276 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$736 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$460/yr (+$38/mo · 166.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,543
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$276
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$4,732
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,136
After-tax cash flow
$4,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Talbot County
NCES district ID
1304650
Math proficiency
13% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$34,696
Composite
15.75/100
National rank
#14322
State rank
#178 of 187 in GA

Livability — Box Springs

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,786

Population outlook (Talbot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,470 people
By 2030
5,076 · -7.2%
By 2040
4,394 · -19.7%
By 2050
3,891 · -28.9%
By 2075
3,552 · -35.1%
By 2100
3,675 · -32.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Talbot

2024 margin
D (+12.0) · D 55.9% · R 43.9%
2008→2024 swing
-16.9pp toward R · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 12.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.0 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+24.8 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.06%
Current HPI
280.4765
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending CBOR
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted CBOR
  • 2026-01-26 Pending CBOR
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $80,000 CBOR

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $276 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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