🏗️ New Construction
NORFOLK Plan · St. John, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing the Norfolk plan, a two-story townhome plan featured in Maple Gate Townhomes in St. John, IN. With covered front porches, and rear load garages, the Norfolk is sure to impress. Inside this 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home, you will find 1,543 square feet of living space. The living area is open concept, where your kitchen, great room, and dining areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Convenient mud room at the garage entrance makes coats and shoes easy to store. The kitchen features classic cabinetry, quartz countertops, peninsula island, and stainless steel appliances, which make meal prep easy. You'll never be too far from the action with the living and dining area right there. A roomy loft, which is perfect for a home office or kids game room is located at the top of the stairs. Every bedroom has carpeted floors and a closet in each room. Whether these rooms become bedrooms or office spaces, there is sure to be comfort. Enjoy an additional full bathroom and a convenient laundry room on the second floor. The primary bedroom has its own walk-in closet and en suite bathroom. The private bathroom includes a double vanity with quartz countertops. Get in touch with us today to learn about the Norfolk plan at Maple Gate! * Photos are for representational purposes only, finishes may vary per home.
Key facts
- Classic cabinetry
- Quartz countertops
- Convenient mud room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $290k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.7% in St. John — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hanover Community School Corporation (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #38 of 301 in IN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #172 of 994 statewide, top 18%, 312 students, 14% FRL); Hanover Central Middle School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D+, #79 of 330 statewide, top 24%, 650 students, 25% FRL); Hanover Central High School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade C+, #49 of 369 statewide, top 16%, 782 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.47%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,462
- List price
- $289,990
- Delta
- -4.75%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8958 Remington Way | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (0%) | 2mo | $293,990 | $191 | 97 |
| 8959 Remington Way | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,543 (+0%) | 2mo | $306,490 | $199 | 96 |
| 8956 Remington Way | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,543 (+0%) | 4mo | $290,165 | $188 | 96 |
| 8954 Remington Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (0%) | 2mo | $293,990 | $191 | 96 |
| 9022 Remington Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,543 (+0%) | 1mo | $300,990 | $195 | 96 |
| 8952 Remington Way | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (0%) | 2mo | $303,990 | $197 | 95 |
| 10915 Remington Pl | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (0%) | 5mo | $289,990 | $188 | 95 |
| 10907 Remington Pl | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (0%) | 4mo | $288,990 | $187 | 94 |
| 9346 W 107th Ln | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,550 (+0%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $210 | 70 |
| 8737 Clover Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,756 (+14%) | 2mo | $309,000 | $176 | 64 |
| 8716 Orchid Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,752 (+14%) | 2mo | $312,000 | $178 | 63 |
| 8690 Larkspur Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,751 (+14%) | 6mo | $307,000 | $175 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-42,661
- Equity at exit
- $45,396
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-28,436
- Equity at exit
- $26,324
Cash invested: $85,249 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 14 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.6 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $339,995 ($207/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 33 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46373
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,795 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,597
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$381 /mo · $4,567/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $315 | -5% $209 | +0% $104 | +5% $-1 | +10% $-106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-117 | -5% $-6 | +0% $104 | +5% $215 | +10% $325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $257 | -0.5pp $182 | base $104 | +0.5pp $25 | +1.0pp $-55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,116
- Closing costs
- $9,134
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8769 W 108th Ln Saint John, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $2,775 | $1.58 | 93d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 8754 Clover Ln Saint John, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1756 | $2,675 | $1.52 | 93d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8726 Orchid Dr Saint John, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1756 | $2,725 | $1.55 | 93d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8688 Larkspur Ln Saint John, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $3,000 | $1.71 | 32d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10342 Adler Cv Saint John, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1944 | $3,000 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $289,990 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $289,990 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $289,990 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $289,990 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $289,990 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $289,990 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $289,990 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $289,990 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $289,990 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $289,990 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $289,990 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $289,990 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $289,990 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $289,990 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $289,990 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $289,990 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $289,990 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $289,990 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $289,990 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $289,990 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $289,990 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $289,990 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $289,990 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $289,990 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $289,990 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $289,990 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $289,990 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $289,990 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $289,990 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $289,990 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $289,990 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $289,990 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $289,990 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $289,990 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $289,990 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $289,990 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $289,990 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $289,990 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $289,990 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,990 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,990 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,990 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,990 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,990 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,990 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,990 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,990 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,990 Active 88 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,542
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,055
- − Property taxes
- −$4,567
- − Insurance
- −$1,522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,683
- − Management
- −$2,683
- − Depreciation
- −$8,857
- Taxable loss
- −$3,825
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$918
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,168/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhome in Maple Gate Townhomes in St. John, IN, is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal updates needed to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers ↑
- Resale Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can make bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanover Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1804350
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,151
- Composite
- 45.34/100
- National rank
- #2637
- State rank
- #38 of 301 in IN
Livability — St. John
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. John, IN
- County
- Lake · 484,026 people
- City population
- 18,509
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,509
- Household income
- $123,203
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.86%
- Current HPI
- 224.1176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $289,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…