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NORFOLK Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 45.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,990

NORFOLK Plan · St. John, IN 46373
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,542 sqft · Townhouse · 154 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing the Norfolk plan, a two-story townhome plan featured in Maple Gate Townhomes in St. John, IN. With covered front porches, and rear load garages, the Norfolk is sure to impress. Inside this 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home, you will find 1,543 square feet of living space. The living area is open concept, where your kitchen, great room, and dining areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Convenient mud room at the garage entrance makes coats and shoes easy to store. The kitchen features classic cabinetry, quartz countertops, peninsula island, and stainless steel appliances, which make meal prep easy. You'll never be too far from the action with the living and dining area right there. A roomy loft, which is perfect for a home office or kids game room is located at the top of the stairs. Every bedroom has carpeted floors and a closet in each room. Whether these rooms become bedrooms or office spaces, there is sure to be comfort. Enjoy an additional full bathroom and a convenient laundry room on the second floor. The primary bedroom has its own walk-in closet and en suite bathroom. The private bathroom includes a double vanity with quartz countertops. Get in touch with us today to learn about the Norfolk plan at Maple Gate! * Photos are for representational purposes only, finishes may vary per home.

Key facts

  • Classic cabinetry
  • Quartz countertops
  • Convenient mud room

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHESREAR LOAD GARAGESOPEN CONCEPT LIVING AREACONVENIENT MUD ROOMCLASSIC CABINETRYQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $289,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $304,462.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $290k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (3.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.7% in St. John — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hanover Community School Corporation (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #38 of 301 in IN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #172 of 994 statewide, top 18%, 312 students, 14% FRL); Hanover Central Middle School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D+, #79 of 330 statewide, top 24%, 650 students, 25% FRL); Hanover Central High School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade C+, #49 of 369 statewide, top 16%, 782 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $255,191 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.47%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$304,462
List price
$289,990
Delta
-4.75%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8958 Remington Way 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,542 (0%) 2mo $293,990 $191 97
8959 Remington Way 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,543 (+0%) 2mo $306,490 $199 96
8956 Remington Way 0.01mi 3/2.5 1,543 (+0%) 4mo $290,165 $188 96
8954 Remington Way 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,542 (0%) 2mo $293,990 $191 96
9022 Remington Pl 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,543 (+0%) 1mo $300,990 $195 96
8952 Remington Way 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,542 (0%) 2mo $303,990 $197 95
10915 Remington Pl 0.01mi 3/2.5 1,542 (0%) 5mo $289,990 $188 95
10907 Remington Pl 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,542 (0%) 4mo $288,990 $187 94
9346 W 107th Ln 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (+0%) 2mo $325,000 $210 70
8737 Clover Ln 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,756 (+14%) 2mo $309,000 $176 64
8716 Orchid Dr 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,752 (+14%) 2mo $312,000 $178 63
8690 Larkspur Ln 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,751 (+14%) 6mo $307,000 $175 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-42,661
Equity at exit
$45,396
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-28,436
Equity at exit
$26,324

Cash invested: $85,249 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
14 active · 14 under contract
Months of supply
5.6 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$339,995 ($207/sqft)
Median days on market
33 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-4.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 46373

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,795 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,597
Tax est. 1.5%
$381 /mo · $4,567/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$587
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,663
Max offer price $304,462
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $315 -5% $209 +0% $104 +5% $-1 +10% $-106
Rent -10% $-117 -5% $-6 +0% $104 +5% $215 +10% $325
Rate -1.0pp $257 -0.5pp $182 base $104 +0.5pp $25 +1.0pp $-55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,116
Closing costs
$9,134
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8769 W 108th Ln Saint John, IN 3.0 2.5 1758 $2,775 $1.58 93d 1 0.19mi
8754 Clover Ln Saint John, IN 3.0 2.5 1756 $2,675 $1.52 93d 1 0.23mi
8726 Orchid Dr Saint John, IN 3.0 2.5 1756 $2,725 $1.55 93d 1 0.27mi
8688 Larkspur Ln Saint John, IN 3.0 2.5 1758 $3,000 $1.71 32d 1 0.32mi
10342 Adler Cv Saint John, IN 3.0 2.0 1944 $3,000 $1.54 0d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $289,990 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $289,990 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $289,990 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $289,990 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $289,990 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $289,990 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $289,990 Active 141 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $289,990 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $289,990 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $289,990 Active 136 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $289,990 Active 135 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 133 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 132 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $289,990 Active 131 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $289,990 Active 130 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $289,990 Active 129 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 128 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 127 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $289,990 Active 126 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $289,990 Active 125 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 124 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $289,990 Active 122 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $289,990 Active 121 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $289,990 Active 120 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $289,990 Active 119 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $289,990 Active 118 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $289,990 Active 117 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $289,990 Active 116 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 115 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $289,990 Active 114 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $289,990 Active 113 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $289,990 Active 112 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $289,990 Active 111 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $289,990 Active 109 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 107 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $289,990 Active 106 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 103 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,990 Active 102 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,990 Active 101 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,990 Active 100 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 98 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 94 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,990 Active 93 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,990 Active 92 DOM
  49. 2026-06-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 89 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,990 Active 88 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,542
− Mortgage interest
−$17,055
− Property taxes
−$4,567
− Insurance
−$1,522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,683
− Management
−$2,683
− Depreciation
−$8,857
Taxable loss
−$3,825
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$918
After-tax cash flow
$2,168/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained townhome in Maple Gate Townhomes in St. John, IN, is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal updates needed to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Resale Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can make bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers
D Composite school gradezoned avg 54/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Lincoln Elementary School C+ IN #172/994 Nat'l #8,534/41,679 Middle Hanover Central Middle School D+ IN #79/330 Nat'l #4,522/14,009 High Hanover Central High School C+ IN #49/369 Nat'l #3,588/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hanover Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1804350
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,151
Composite
45.34/100
National rank
#2637
State rank
#38 of 301 in IN

Livability — St. John

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. John, IN
County
Lake · 484,026 people
City population
18,509
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
Population (ZIP)
18,509
Household income
$123,203
Rent vs Own
2.0% rent · 98.0% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $289,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…