CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
820 Green Valley Dr
D Composite 40.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

820 Green Valley Dr · St. Albans, WV 25177
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 364 Days on market
Built 1945 Est $28k · 6% over ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

Key facts

  • Built 1945
  • Listed 364 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Stone construction; Block foundation; Built around 1400 square-foot interior
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and hardwood flooring; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 37.4% vs local median 4.9% in St. Albans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $30k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $26,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.29%
Cap rate
37.41%
Cash-on-cash
111.13%
DSCR
5.94
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$28,112
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
901 Green Valley Dr 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,753 (-13%) 10mo $25,000 $14 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.82×
Total profit
$40,382
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.18×
Total profit
$93,622
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25177

Home prices YoY
-16.6%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $830/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $386
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    days on market $29,900 Active 364 DOM
  2. 2025-12-16
    soldstatus Closed 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

  3. 2025-12-09
    price $14,900 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

  4. 2025-11-09
    price $16,900 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

  5. 2025-09-25
    price $18,900 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

  6. 2025-08-26
    price $24,900 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

  7. 2025-05-31
    listed $29,900 Active 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

  8. 2025-05-31
    listed $29,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    St Albans, Kanawha County 3 bedroom home on one lane paved road needs work

  9. 2020-07-31
    soldstatus $19,000 105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    1.5 story on large, level lot. Large family room. Near schools and shopping. Sold as is. Great potential.

  10. 2020-05-05
    listed $16,900 105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    1.5 story on large, level lot. Large family room. Near schools and shopping. Sold as is. Great potential.

  11. 2020-02-19
    listed $22,300
  12. 2020-01-10
    listed $22,500
  13. 2001-11-15
    soldstatus $27,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$830 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$830 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,398
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$830
− Insurance
−$947
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,232
− Management
−$1,232
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$8,613
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,067
After-tax cash flow
$6,439/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — St. Albans

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
23,211
Population (ZIP)
23,211

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.96%
Current HPI
185.502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-46.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-16 Sold (MLS) GVBOR
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $14,900 GVBOR
  • 2025-11-09 Price Changed $16,900 GVBOR
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $18,900 GVBOR
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $24,900 GVBOR
  • 2025-05-31 Listed $29,900 GVBOR
  • 2025-05-31 Listed $29,900 GVBOR
  • 2020-07-31 Sold (MLS) $19,000 KVBOR
  • 2020-05-05 Listed $16,900 KVBOR
  • 2020-02-19 Listed $22,300 KVBOR
  • 2020-01-10 Listed $22,500 KVBOR
  • 2001-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $27,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $830 · -47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…