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8269 Oswego Rd
C+ Composite 64.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,995

8269 Oswego Rd · Radisson, NY 13090
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1950 1.06 ac lot Est $262k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 1.06 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing/resale property
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Shed(s) / exterior storage; Near public transit; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Programmable thermostat; Full basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.5% in Radisson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Liverpool Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #381 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,995

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
7.99%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$262,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8439 Falcon Dr 0.23mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,248 (0%) 8mo $286,000 $229 75
8391 Shoveler Ln 0.31mi 2/1.5 1,174 (-6%) 8mo $247,000 $210 67
3901 Falcon Ct 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,192 (-4%) 4mo $232,000 $195 62
3668 Redhead Ter 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-4%) 0mo $335,000 $279 61
4225 Anguilla Dr 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,401 (+12%) 2mo $255,000 $182 56
3639 Black Brant Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-4%) 7mo $306,500 $255 54
3952 Merganser Dr 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,128 (-10%) 8mo $228,500 $203 54
8371 Zenith Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,348 (+8%) 5mo $265,000 $197 53
3678 Black Brant Dr 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,380 (+11%) 5mo $270,000 $196 50
8195 Rachel Ct 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,338 (+7%) 8mo $349,900 $262 50
8323 Falcon Dr 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,404 (+12%) 6mo $215,000 $153 47
3675 Chainmaker 0.62mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,140 (-9%) 6mo $255,000 $224 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-7,708
Equity at exit
$26,838
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$21,198
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13090

Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$335 /mo · $4,019/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,714
Max offer price $179,995
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,999
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4220 Anguilla Dr Liverpool, NY 2.0 1.5 1212 $2,200 $1.82 13d 1 0.32mi
3754C Helios Ct Baldwinsville, NY 2.0 2.5 1358 $1,750 $1.29 13d 1 0.35mi
3801 Rivers Pointe Way Liverpool, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $2,078 $1.87 13d 14 1.25mi
3788 Timber Trl Liverpool, NY 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1245 $2,350 $1.89 13d 19 1.35mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    listed $179,995 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,019 · $335/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,019 · $335/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,659
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$4,019
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,053
− Management
−$2,053
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$1,316
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$316
After-tax cash flow
$3,709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liverpool Central School District
NCES district ID
3617520
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$59,134
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3134
State rank
#381 of 590 in NY

Livability — Radisson

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
29,004
Household income
$88,492
Rent vs Own
32.1% rent · 67.9% own
Severe rent burden
733.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -228.53%
Current HPI
320.4989
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $179,995 CNYIS

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,019 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…