8269 Oswego Rd · Radisson, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 1.06 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Existing/resale property
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Shed(s) / exterior storage; Near public transit; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Programmable thermostat; Full basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.5% in Radisson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Liverpool Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #381 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.99%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8439 Falcon Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (0%) | 8mo | $286,000 | $229 | 75 |
| 8391 Shoveler Ln | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 | 1,174 (-6%) | 8mo | $247,000 | $210 | 67 |
| 3901 Falcon Ct | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,192 (-4%) | 4mo | $232,000 | $195 | 62 |
| 3668 Redhead Ter | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 0mo | $335,000 | $279 | 61 |
| 4225 Anguilla Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,401 (+12%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $182 | 56 |
| 3639 Black Brant Dr | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 7mo | $306,500 | $255 | 54 |
| 3952 Merganser Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,128 (-10%) | 8mo | $228,500 | $203 | 54 |
| 8371 Zenith Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,348 (+8%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $197 | 53 |
| 3678 Black Brant Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,380 (+11%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $196 | 50 |
| 8195 Rachel Ct | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,338 (+7%) | 8mo | $349,900 | $262 | 50 |
| 8323 Falcon Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+12%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $153 | 47 |
| 3675 Chainmaker | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,140 (-9%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $224 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,708
- Equity at exit
- $26,838
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $21,198
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13090
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$335 /mo · $4,019/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,999
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4220 Anguilla Dr Liverpool, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3754C Helios Ct Baldwinsville, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1358 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3801 Rivers Pointe Way Liverpool, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1113 | $2,078 | $1.87 | 13d | 14 | 1.25mi |
| 3788 Timber Trl Liverpool, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1245 | $2,350 | $1.89 | 13d | 19 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-19$179,995 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,019 · $335/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,019 · $335/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,659
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$4,019
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,053
- − Management
- −$2,053
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $1,316
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$316
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,709/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liverpool Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617520
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,134
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3134
- State rank
- #381 of 590 in NY
Livability — Radisson
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,004
- Household income
- $88,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 733.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -228.53%
- Current HPI
- 320.4989
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $179,995 CNYIS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,019 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…