🏷️ Likely Rental
507 Central Ave · Albany, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Completely Remodeled 2 Unit, 1st floor 4 Bedroom 1 Bath, 2nd Floor 3 Bedroom 1 Bath, Estimated CAP RATE over 14%. New heating systems, new windows, new Kitchens and baths. Completely redone!! fantastic investment or owner occupy opportunity!!! This two-family investment property Income-producing duplex for sale in Albany separate electric and gas utilities, month-to-month rental flexibility, formal dining rooms, full kitchens, basement storage, attic space, and baseboard heat. Conveniently located near downtown Albany, shopping, restaurants, parks, public transportation, and major highways within the Albany School District.
Key facts
- New kitchens
- New baths
- New heating systems
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Living area around 2,100
- Construction: Constructed with other/non-standard materials
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot approximately 0.04 acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3–4 bedrooms (beds located on multiple levels); Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (both on the 2nd floor)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; Unit 1: one full bathroom on the 1st floor; Unit 2: one full bathroom on the 2nd floor
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Heating present
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $268/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,359/mo this rent would consume 97% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2035% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $325k implies a 712% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.06%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $457,114
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -28.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 N Manning Blvd | 0.21mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,936 (-8%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $75 | 68 |
| 24 Kent St | 0.21mi | 6/2.0 | 2,364 (+13%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $89 | 65 |
| 337 3rd St | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,058 (-2%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $78 | 62 |
| 351 2nd St | 0.68mi | 6/2.0 | 2,056 (-2%) | 3mo | $184,002 | $89 | 62 |
| 184 N Lake Ave | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 | 1,974 (-6%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $99 | 62 |
| 531 Hamilton St | 0.57mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,112 (+1%) | 5mo | $284,750 | $135 | 60 |
| 157 Western Ave | 0.60mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,144 (+2%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $100 | 59 |
| 446 1st St | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 | 1,848 (-12%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $87 | 55 |
| 563 Morris St | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,224 (+6%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $124 | 52 |
| 59 N Allen St | 0.63mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,260 (+8%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $139 | 49 |
| 184 Quail St | 0.52mi | 6/3.0 | 1,853 (-12%) | 4mo | $231,000 | $125 | 48 |
| 391 Washington Ave | 0.72mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 2,217 (+6%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $158 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-10,417
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $70,014
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12206
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 16.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$279 /mo · $3,346/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$705
- Net cashflow
- $535
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,360 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,680 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,680 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,359 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 Winthrop Ave Albany, NY | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2800 | $2,795 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-13$325,000 Active 633-char remark
-
2011-10-16historical
-
2011-03-30$99,900
-
2010-01-09historical
-
2009-07-08$99,700
-
2008-06-12historical
-
2007-12-12$103,000
-
2002-09-27soldstatus $40,000
-
2002-09-27soldstatus $77,000
-
2002-09-19soldstatus $40,000
-
2002-05-25$59,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,346 · $279/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,419 · $368/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,073/yr (+$89/mo · 32.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$3,346
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,225
- − Management
- −$3,225
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $1,228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$295
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,572
- Household income
- $41,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2035.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 38% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.24%
- Current HPI
- 275.8109
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+446.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $325,000 Global MLS
- 2011-10-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2011-03-30 Listed $99,900 Global MLS
- 2010-01-09 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2009-07-08 Listed $99,700 Global MLS
- 2008-06-12 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2007-12-12 Listed $103,000 Global MLS
- 2002-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-19 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Global MLS
- 2002-05-25 Listed $59,500 Global MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,346 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…