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2420 Maryland St
B Composite 72.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$68,000

2420 Maryland St · Gary, IN 46407
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1948 3,049 sqft lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and newly remodeled 2-bedroom, 1-bath home! This cozy property has been thoughtfully updated with a brand-new roof, siding, flooring, electrical, plumbing, and more. It's the perfect opportunity for homeownership with all the hard work already done. Located 5 minutes away from the Hard Rock Casino and next to the expressway making its location very convenient. Don't miss your chance to make this beautifully refreshed home yours!

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1948

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,119/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $666 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.60%
Cash-on-cash
26.10%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$28,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2180 Nichols Pl 0.34mi 2/1.0 771 (-4%) 4mo $15,000 $19 75
2476 Connecticut St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (0%) 15mo $45,000 $56 74
2409 Jefferson St 0.45mi 2/1.0 814 (+2%) 9mo $25,000 $31 68
1980 Massachusetts St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 802 (+0%) 0mo $20,000 $25 66
2271 Pennsylvania St 0.21mi 2/1.0 725 (-9%) 14mo $26,000 $36 62
2025 Pennsylvania St 0.50mi 2/1.0 810 (+1%) 15mo $18,500 $23 62
2131 Kentucky St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 804 (+0%) 9mo $20,000 $25 62
2413-2415 Industrial Blvd 0.28mi 2/1.0 700 (-12%) 6mo $20,000 $29 61
2355 Rhode Island St 0.29mi 2/1.0 701 (-12%) 15mo $85,000 $121 54
2678 Monroe St 0.67mi 2/1.0 700 (-12%) 2mo $86,000 $123 46
2710 Madison St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 851 (+6%) 12mo $38,500 $45 44
2452 Jackson St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 700 (-12%) 17mo $32,500 $46 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$27,596
Equity at exit
$23,142
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
4.72×
Total profit
$70,746
Equity at exit
$30,698

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46407

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,119 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax est. 1.5%
$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2336 Delaware St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 1d 1 0.11mi
2300 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 19d 1 0.12mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 1d 1 0.14mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 3d 1 0.14mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 989 $1,150 $1.16 1d 1 0.14mi
2425 Prospect St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,400 $1.33 1d 1 0.14mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 1d 1 0.18mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 0.28mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 43d 1 0.41mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 1d 1 0.53mi
2378 Jackson St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,050 $1.56 1d 1 0.66mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 1d 1 0.75mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit B Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 1d 1 0.93mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 1d 1 0.93mi
1843 Illinois St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,200 $1.66 16d 1 0.98mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.99mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 20d 1 1.01mi
2361 Pierce St Unit 2 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 860 $900 $1.05 1d 1 1.04mi
840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,150 $1.11 19d 1 1.08mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 1d 1 1.10mi
2025 Central Dr Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,550 $1.77 43d 1 1.13mi
1521 Pierce St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 1d 1 1.35mi
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,075 $1.33 1d 1 1.43mi
844 Tennessee St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    historical
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $68,000
  3. 2026-05-01
    historical
  4. 2025-12-16
    price $68,000
  5. 2025-12-01
    listed $69,000 Active
  6. 2025-12-01
    historical
  7. 2025-10-29
    price $69,000
  8. 2025-10-02
    price $70,000
  9. 2025-08-05
    listed $75,000 Active
  10. 2025-07-28
    historical
  11. 2025-07-15
    price $68,900
  12. 2025-06-26
    price $69,900
  13. 2025-05-02
    price $78,000
  14. 2025-04-22
    price $79,900
  15. 2025-01-21
    price $84,900
  16. 2024-10-25
    price $89,900
  17. 2024-09-16
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,428
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,020
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,074
− Management
−$1,074
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$4,133
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$992
After-tax cash flow
$3,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
8,577
Household income
$28,526
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
253.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $68,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $68,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $69,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $69,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-05 Listed $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-28 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-15 Price Changed $68,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-26 Price Changed $69,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $78,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-22 Price Changed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-21 Price Changed $84,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-25 Price Changed $89,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-16 Listed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-12.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $116 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…