4519 S Salina St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 1.5 bath two story home in the valley. House has a spacious entrance foyer, one half bath, living room, formal dining room and dine-in kitchen. There are three large bedrooms upstairs, one full bath. Attic has a lot of potential can be finished with additional living space. House needs some TLC but motivated sellers would like to see an offer. There are 2-car garage in the back. It is sold "AS IS" & looking for an offer. Walking distance to the valley, playground and highway.
Key facts
- Dine-in kitchen
- Attic has potential
- 7,318 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $966 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 7.6% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Syracuse Latin School (math 31% / reading 62%, grade D-, #1,262 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 642 students, 42% FRL); Clary Middle School (math 2% / reading 14%, grade F, #724 of 729 statewide, top 99%, 275 students, 89% FRL); Corcoran High School (math 61% / reading 62%, grade B-, #842 of 1,100 statewide, top 77%, 1,252 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Syracuse City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $115k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.00%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,419
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -44.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 Milburn Dr | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,000 (+2%) | 10mo | $42,500 | $21 | 65 |
| 4953 S Salina St | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,970 (+0%) | 13mo | $222,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 127 W Ostrander Ave | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,002 (+2%) | 2mo | $52,000 | $26 | 54 |
| 121 Roney Rd | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,672 (-15%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $96 | 54 |
| 126 W Florence Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,744 (-11%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 203 E Cheltenham Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,742 (-12%) | 1mo | $123,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 1648 Valley Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 2,113 (+7%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $57 | 51 |
| 5117 S Salina St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 2,054 (+4%) | 22mo | $224,900 | $109 | 47 |
| 2725 Midland Ave | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,794 (-9%) | 5mo | $119,000 | $66 | 42 |
| 3628 S Salina St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,813 (-8%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $47 | 40 |
| 524 W Seneca | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (-10%) | 6mo | $137,113 | $77 | 39 |
| 130 Kimber Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,672 (-15%) | 23mo | $172,500 | $103 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.86×
- Total profit
- $124,145
- Equity at exit
- $103,601
- IRR
- 45.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.85×
- Total profit
- $317,199
- Equity at exit
- $223,420
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 1.5 mo (67%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $204,900 ($127/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 25 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -20.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13205
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,151 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $992/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $966
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,031 | -5% $998 | +0% $966 | +5% $933 | +10% $901 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $796 | -5% $881 | +0% $966 | +5% $1,051 | +10% $1,136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,024 | -0.5pp $995 | base $966 | +0.5pp $936 | +1.0pp $906 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 109d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 116d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,300 | $1.15 | 139d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1664 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 116d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 184 Remington Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,850 | $2.11 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2859 S Salina St Unit 9 Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,100 | $1.45 | 6d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 322 Hatch St Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $2,600 | $1.57 | 6d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Detached garageTwo garage spaces
- Utilities
- Public water connectedSewer connectedCable availableCircuit breaker electrical
- Home design
- Two-story existing homePoured foundationAsphalt shingle roofShake and wood siding
- Construction
- Copper plumbing
- Exterior features
- Gravel drivewayIrregular residential lotCity street frontageLot dimensions approximately 44 x 165
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric cooktopElectric ovenElectric rangeRange hoodExhaust fanRefrigeratorPantry (kitchen storage)
- Bedrooms
- Total rooms: 8
- Flooring
- CarpetHardwoodVaried flooring
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom1 half bathroomOne main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features
- Breakfast areaEntrance foyerSeparate/formal living roomCombined living/dining roomPantryFull basementOne fireplace
- Laundry & utility
- Electric water heater
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-09-21remarks 493-char remark
-
2026-09-21pricestatusdays on market $115,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-11price $109,900
-
2026-04-29price $118,900
-
2026-04-22$99,900 Active
-
2025-11-08price $112,900
-
2025-09-18$119,900 Active
-
2025-03-31historical
-
2024-12-18price $130,000
-
2024-07-31$145,000 Active
-
2022-06-29soldstatus $60,000
-
2022-06-24soldstatus $60,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2022-05-27status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2022-05-23historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
-
2022-05-16$65,000 Active
-
2020-02-17historical
-
2019-07-31status Active
-
2019-07-01historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
-
2019-06-21$39,900 Active
-
2018-01-01historical
-
2017-12-01$39,900 Active
-
2017-11-22historical
-
2017-10-06status Active
-
2017-09-27historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
-
2017-09-19price $39,900
-
2017-08-29$54,900 Active
-
2015-02-20$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,468 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$476/yr (+$40/mo · 48.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$992
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,065
- − Management
- −$2,065
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $10,331
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,479
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including roof, siding, and landscaping. Immediate updates can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant wear
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both roof repair — Essential for structural integrity and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga · 467,894 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,562
- Household income
- $39,171
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.12%
- Current HPI
- 345.8854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+77.2% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-09-21 Listed $115,000 CNYIS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $109,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $118,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $99,900 CNYIS
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $112,900 CNYIS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $119,900 CNYIS
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2024-12-18 Price Changed $130,000 CNYIS
- 2024-07-31 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
- 2022-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $60,000 CNYIS
- 2022-05-27 Pending — CNYIS
- 2022-05-23 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2022-05-16 Listed $65,000 CNYIS
- 2020-02-17 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-07-31 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2019-07-01 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2019-06-21 Listed $39,900 CNYIS
- 2018-01-01 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2017-12-01 Listed $39,900 CNYIS
- 2017-11-22 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2017-10-06 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2017-09-27 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2017-09-19 Price Changed $39,900 CNYIS
- 2017-08-29 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
- 2015-02-20 Listed $64,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $992 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…