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553 Ely St
C+ Composite 62.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

553 Ely St · Allegan, MI 49010
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1920 0.59 ac lot Est $234k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming home at an affordable price! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a functional layout, an abundance of space, and has had several recent updates. Replacement windows were installed in 2025, and the roof, water heater, and furnace were all replaced in 2019. The main floor features a spacious kitchen with an adjoining dining area, living room, primary bedroom, full bath, convenient main floor laundry, and a versatile bonus room. Upstairs you will find two additional bedrooms, a second full bath, and another flex space. Situated on a large . 58-acre lot near schools and downtown Allegan, this home offers character, comfort, and plenty of opportunity. Schedule a tour today!

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Main floor laundry
  • Large lot

Tags

REPLACEMENT WINDOWSSPACIOUS KITCHENADJOINING DINING AREAMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYVERSATILE BONUS ROOMLARGE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1920; Vinyl siding; Composition/Shingle roof; Crawl space and Michigan basement
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Wooded lot; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Replacement windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.6% in Allegan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#318 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Allegan Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #338 of 540 in MI (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Allegan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 32 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $210k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $206,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.83%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$234,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
143 Ely St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,325 (+2%) 7mo $178,000 $134 68
515 Hubbard St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,265 (-3%) 20mo $245,000 $194 63
211 Lincoln St 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (+1%) 11mo $190,000 $144 62
208 Robinson St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-5%) 9mo $206,500 $168 57
544 Academy St 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (-14%) 15mo $241,500 $216 53
665 Ely St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (-12%) 9mo $258,000 $226 50
416 Cutler St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+8%) 15mo $209,914 $150 50
3331 115th Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,476 (+13%) 0mo $310,000 $210 48
226 Monroe St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,190 (-9%) 12mo $148,000 $124 41
240 Thomas St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,112 (-15%) 14mo $200,570 $180 40
403 Davis St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (-13%) 18mo $204,500 $181 31
200 Kalamazoo St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,135 (-13%) 20mo $178,000 $157 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-6,443
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$30,011
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49010

Home prices YoY
-34.3%
Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,385 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$501
Net cashflow
$433

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 Monroe St Unit 1 Allegan, MI 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,000 $1.18 21d 1 0.68mi
364 Sherman St Allegan, MI 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,795 $1.55 43d 1 0.87mi
364 Sherman St Allegan, MI 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,495 $1.39 21d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $210,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 685-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $210,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,615
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,289
− Management
−$2,289
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$1,964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$471
After-tax cash flow
$4,719/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegan Public Schools
NCES district ID
2602220
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,602
Composite
27.27/100
National rank
#7008
State rank
#338 of 540 in MI

Livability — Allegan

Score
70/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#7767

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Allegan, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,394

Population outlook (Allegan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,251 people
By 2030
122,204 · +1.6%
By 2040
123,979 · +3.1%
By 2050
122,340 · +1.7%
By 2075
116,088 · -3.5%
By 2100
98,461 · -18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegan

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.2) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -27.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.2 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+28.8 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.08%
Current HPI
260.4976
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+297.0% since first listed
65 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $210,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $210,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-05-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-13 Sold (MLS) $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-05-13 Sold (MLS) $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-20 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-20 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-03-15 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-15 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-03-15 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-27 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-07-27 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-05-11 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-05-11 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-05-11 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2019-05-31 Sold (MLS) $75,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2019-05-31 Sold (MLS) $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-05-11 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2019-05-08 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2019-05-08 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2019-05-05 Listed $78,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2019-05-05 Listed $78,500 REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-07 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-03-15 Listed $78,500 REALCOMP
  • 2018-03-15 Listed $78,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-01-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-25 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2017-11-09 Listed $70,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2017-11-06 Listed $70,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-12-23 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-12-23 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-10-19 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-10-17 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-10-16 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-28 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-26 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-25 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-25 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-25 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2009-08-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-02-07 Listed $78,500 REALCOMP
  • 2009-02-07 Listed $78,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2009-02-07 Listed $78,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2007-06-18 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-07-12 Listed $110,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-03-14 Listed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2005-07-15 Listed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2002-03-13 Listed $96,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2002-03-13 Listed $96,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2001-10-22 Listed $94,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1997-05-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1997-04-30 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 1997-04-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1996-10-02 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 1996-10-02 Listed $47,900 REALCOMP
  • 1996-10-02 Listed $47,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1996-09-30 Listed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1996-09-30 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 1996-06-29 Listed $52,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1996-06-29 Listed $52,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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