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528 Grove Ave
D- Composite 36.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

528 Grove Ave · Galion, OH 44833
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,682 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1930 Est $145k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious home with beautiful hardwood floors in most rooms. Oak trim, formal dining room, mostly new Thermopane windows, large covered front porch and corner lot. 3 bedrooms, 2 baths. Full dry basement with family room. Large living room with original decorative fireplace. Detached 22x28 garage with concrete floor and electric. Playhouse and more.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Fresh paint
  • New flooring

Tags

FRESH PAINTNEW FLOORINGMINI-SPLIT SYSTEMSORIGINAL WOODWORKCOVERED FRONT PORCHDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Concrete and gravel parking surfaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential single-family home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot water heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Living room fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($470/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (18.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Galion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#833 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Galion City (town): math 36% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #499 of 656 in OH (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $79k; list at $160k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $130,564 (18.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,652
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
240 Clymer Ave 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,668 (-1%) 1mo $225,000 $135 90
216 Orange St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,586 (-6%) 2mo $140,000 $88 83
632 Westwood Ave 0.10mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,696 (+1%) 5mo $124,000 $73 83
325 Cherry St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (-3%) 6mo $156,000 $96 73
512 Cherry St 0.16mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,568 (-7%) 4mo $129,900 $83 71
337 Grove Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,494 (-11%) 0mo $118,000 $79 68
638 S Boston St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-7%) 1mo $196,900 $126 67
322 Cherry St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,606 (-4%) 6mo $138,500 $86 66
315 E Atwood St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,650 (-2%) 2mo $26,000 $16 60
281 N Union St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,536 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $68 51
359 S Market St 0.45mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,500 (-11%) 1mo $112,700 $75 51
239 Hessenauer Dr 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (-8%) 6mo $283,000 $183 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-23,464
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-17,420
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44833

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,045/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,256
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $159,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,045 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,770 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$725/yr (+$60/mo · 69.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,668
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,045
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$2,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$550
After-tax cash flow
$1,020/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galion City
NCES district ID
3904402
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,331
Composite
38.08/100
National rank
#4279
State rank
#499 of 656 in OH

Livability — Galion

Score
63/100
State rank
#833
US rank
#15587

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galion, OH
County
Morrow · 41,908 people
City population
16,641
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,641
Household income
$57,234
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
3.8

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,421 people
By 2030
37,656 · -4.5%
By 2040
34,043 · -13.6%
By 2050
30,617 · -22.3%
By 2075
23,652 · -40.0%
By 2100
17,786 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.0) · D 23.1% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-33.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -53.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.0 2020: R+50.9 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.57%
Current HPI
218.195
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $159,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $169,900 MARMLS
  • 2024-11-12 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2024-10-14 Listed $105,000 CBRMLS
  • 2018-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 2018-04-26 Sold (MLS) $79,000 CBRMLS
  • 2018-04-26 Sold (MLS) $79,000 MARMLS
  • 2018-03-01 Listed $79,700 MARMLS
  • 2017-10-31 Listed $79,700 CBRMLS
  • 2011-10-26 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2011-08-30 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2011-05-29 Listed $74,195 MLSNOW
  • 2011-05-23 Listed $74,195 MLSNOW
  • 2000-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,045 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…