🏷️ Likely Rental
4323 W 11th St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large house near VA and UAMS Hospital. recently tenant occupied. Limited fire damage cause for sale. Renovators could make this a 3 or 4 bedroom.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.8% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.92%
- DSCR
- 4.42
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,175
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -53.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4300 W 17th St | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,649 (+1%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $30 | 70 |
| 4300 W 16th St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,683 (+4%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $89 | 69 |
| 4613 W 16th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,540 (-5%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $16 | 68 |
| 4207 W 15th St | 0.28mi | 3/3.0 | 1,751 (+8%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $17 | 63 |
| 3724 W 10th St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,776 (+9%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $48 | 62 |
| 1409 Fair Park Blvd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,498 (-8%) | 2mo | $183,000 | $122 | 52 |
| 1805 Princeton Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-11%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $69 | 52 |
| 1706 S Cedar St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-14%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $43 | 47 |
| 1405 Fair Park Blvd | 0.71mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,614 (-1%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $96 | 46 |
| 1608 Green Meadow Dr | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-14%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $61 | 44 |
| 605 S Oak | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 1,862 (+14%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $132 | 40 |
| 1500 Valmar St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (-12%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $122 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.40×
- Total profit
- $42,816
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 77.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.76×
- Total profit
- $110,435
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $932/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $741
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4314 W 14th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4104 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3715 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $900 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4721 W 16th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1720 Pinewood Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,180 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3423 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3615 W Capitol Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3214 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3401 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1914 S Van Buren St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1318 | $995 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1626 S Brown St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $995 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3109 W 11th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1701 Fair Park Blvd Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,050 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2105 S Valentine St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2100 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3800 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2305 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,525 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4022 W 25th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1674 | $1,025 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 100 Linwood Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 100 Linwood Ct Unit NA Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 119 N Monroe St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 322 Rose St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1820 Johnson St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2220 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $900 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2900 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $950 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 223 Linwood Ct Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1702 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2701 Abigail St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2803 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4815 Lee Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $2,950 | $2.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4905 Lee Ave Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,050 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 404 N Jackson St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4000 Woodlawn Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1936 | $1,495 | $0.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 325 Midland St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $2,675 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5123 Lee Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,125 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5110 Lee Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,895 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2609 S Tyler St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,040 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4816 W 30th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 19d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$45,000 New Listing 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Large house near VA and UAMS Hospital. recently tenant occupied. Limited fire damage cause for sale. Renovators could make this a 3 or 4 bedroom.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,318
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$932
- − Insurance
- −$1,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,385
- − Management
- −$1,385
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $8,762
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $45,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $932 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…