45 Ridgecrest Rd · Greece, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful Cape Cod on a quiet neighborhood street. A large living room with new vinyl flooring welcomes you inside. Off the Living room a huge eat in kitchen awaits. White cabinets and an abundance of counter space will make your cooking a breeze. A spacious dining room will be great for everyday dining and special occasions. Step down from the dining room into a cozy den with a wood burning fireplace. This one is perfect for one floor living with a 1st floor full bath and 1st floor primary bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional bedrooms with new carpeting. All of this plus 1st floor laundry! Outside, a deck overlooks the beautiful and shaded backyard and 2 car detached garage. Don’t miss the chance to make this one yours! Come fall in love today! Delayed negotiations until 3/8 at 3pm.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Fieldstone fireplace
- Spacious backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story (1 story); Existing construction; Entry level: First; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (50 x 140)
- Construction: Brick, frame and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Block and slab foundation; Copper plumbing
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level; Main level primary; Main level bedroom: 1; Second level bedrooms: 2 (Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Full bathrooms: 1 (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Den; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Sliding glass doors; Window treatments; Drapes; Storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($661/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.7% in Greece — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#145 in NY, #2,223 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
- Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.57%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,985
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -28.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274 Newton Rd | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,243 (-2%) | 4mo | $162,000 | $130 | 78 |
| 21 Alden Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (+5%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $87 | 77 |
| 211 Cabot Rd | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,341 (+6%) | 1mo | $237,800 | $177 | 73 |
| 13 Alden Rd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-9%) | 1mo | $195,500 | $170 | 72 |
| 128 Ridgecrest Rd | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-9%) | 4mo | $176,000 | $153 | 71 |
| 73 Alcott Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (+11%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $82 | 69 |
| 460 Alfonso Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,264 (+0%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $174 | 68 |
| 232 Fielding Rd | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-3%) | 1mo | $227,007 | $185 | 67 |
| 89 Haddon Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,147 (-9%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $209 | 64 |
| 99 Chesterton Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,105 (-12%) | 4mo | $222,000 | $201 | 58 |
| 142 Frandee Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (-6%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $220 | 53 |
| 347 Fetzner Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,429 (+13%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $143 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-21,469
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-16,903
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14626
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,745 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$475 /mo · $5,695/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176 Kingsberry Dr Greece, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 757 | $1,535 | $2.03 | 2d | 7 | 0.38mi |
| 100 Andover St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 2d | 63 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Pending 1059-char remark
-
2026-05-07$160,000 Active 1059-char remark
-
2023-05-01soldstatus $153,000
-
2023-04-28soldstatus $153,000 Closed Sale or Rented 808-char remark
Show marketing remark (808 chars)
Wonderful Cape Cod on a quiet neighborhood street. A large living room with new vinyl flooring welcomes you inside. Off the Living room a huge eat in kitchen awaits. White cabinets and an abundance of counter space will make your cooking a breeze. A spacious dining room will be great for everyday dining and special occasions. Step down from the dining room into a cozy den with a wood burning fireplace. This one is perfect for one floor living with a 1st floor full bath and 1st floor primary bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional bedrooms with new carpeting. All of this plus 1st floor laundry! Outside, a deck overlooks the beautiful and shaded backyard and 2 car detached garage. Don’t miss the chance to make this one yours! Come fall in love today! Delayed negotiations until 3/8 at 3pm.
-
2023-03-09status Under Contract- Do Not Show 808-char remark
Show marketing remark (808 chars)
Wonderful Cape Cod on a quiet neighborhood street. A large living room with new vinyl flooring welcomes you inside. Off the Living room a huge eat in kitchen awaits. White cabinets and an abundance of counter space will make your cooking a breeze. A spacious dining room will be great for everyday dining and special occasions. Step down from the dining room into a cozy den with a wood burning fireplace. This one is perfect for one floor living with a 1st floor full bath and 1st floor primary bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional bedrooms with new carpeting. All of this plus 1st floor laundry! Outside, a deck overlooks the beautiful and shaded backyard and 2 car detached garage. Don’t miss the chance to make this one yours! Come fall in love today! Delayed negotiations until 3/8 at 3pm.
-
2023-03-02$119,900 Active 808-char remark
Show marketing remark (808 chars)
Wonderful Cape Cod on a quiet neighborhood street. A large living room with new vinyl flooring welcomes you inside. Off the Living room a huge eat in kitchen awaits. White cabinets and an abundance of counter space will make your cooking a breeze. A spacious dining room will be great for everyday dining and special occasions. Step down from the dining room into a cozy den with a wood burning fireplace. This one is perfect for one floor living with a 1st floor full bath and 1st floor primary bedroom. Upstairs you will find 2 additional bedrooms with new carpeting. All of this plus 1st floor laundry! Outside, a deck overlooks the beautiful and shaded backyard and 2 car detached garage. Don’t miss the chance to make this one yours! Come fall in love today! Delayed negotiations until 3/8 at 3pm.
-
2023-02-09soldstatus $105,000
-
1994-06-24soldstatus $77,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,695 · $475/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,695 · $475/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$5,695
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,675
- − Management
- −$1,675
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,618
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$388
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,049/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greece Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612630
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,718
- Composite
- 32.26/100
- National rank
- #5761
- State rank
- #544 of 590 in NY
Livability — Greece
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #2223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greece, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 29,210
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,273
- Household income
- $78,204
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 810.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.91%
- Current HPI
- 248.9836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+94.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $150,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $160,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $153,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-03-09 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2023-03-02 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
- 2023-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 1994-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,695 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…