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120 Palmer Ave
D+ Composite 47.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

120 Palmer Ave · Colon, MI 49040
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,054 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1945 8,712 sqft lot $122/sqft · 10% below area Est $177k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property located in the heart of Colon. This home offers affordable living with the ability to add your own personal touches and build equity. The fully fenced yard provides privacy and room to relax, entertain, or let pets play freely. A standout feature is the detached heated garage/workshop--perfect for hobbies, storage, or year-round projects. Conveniently located near local schools, this home offers a great combination of small-town charm and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for your first home, a place to downsize, or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Local schools
  • Fully fenced yard
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

FULLY FENCED YARDDETACHED HEATED GARAGELOCAL SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($289/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.0% in Colon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#372 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Colon Community School District (rural): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #446 of 540 in MI (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 15 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $129k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,583 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.80%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$177,137
List price
$129,000
Delta
-27.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Goodell Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (+0%) 10mo $182,500 $173 79
307 John St 0.21mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,062 (+1%) 10mo $146,000 $137 74
129 Phillips St 0.35mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,020 (-3%) 15mo $105,000 $103 59
125 S Swan St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 981 (-7%) 22mo $195,000 $199 57
475 S Burr Oak Rd 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+10%) 4mo $56,500 $49 56
325 Dallas St 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+14%) 10mo $149,800 $125 53
119 Michigan Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (-15%) 18mo $120,000 $134 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-19,403
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-15,058
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49040

Home prices YoY
-33.5%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,056 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $957/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,000 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-02-24
    listed $129,000 Active 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property located in the heart of Colon. This home offers affordable living with the ability to add your own personal touches and build equity. The fully fenced yard provides privacy and room to relax, entertain, or let pets play freely. A standout feature is the detached heated garage/workshop--perfect for hobbies, storage, or year-round projects. Conveniently located near local schools, this home offers a great combination of small-town charm and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for your first home, a place to downsize, or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-02-24
    listed $129,000 Active 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property located in the heart of Colon. This home offers affordable living with the ability to add your own personal touches and build equity. The fully fenced yard provides privacy and room to relax, entertain, or let pets play freely. A standout feature is the detached heated garage/workshop--perfect for hobbies, storage, or year-round projects. Conveniently located near local schools, this home offers a great combination of small-town charm and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for your first home, a place to downsize, or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-02-24
    listed $129,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property located in the heart of Colon. This home offers affordable living with the ability to add your own personal touches and build equity. The fully fenced yard provides privacy and room to relax, entertain, or let pets play freely. A standout feature is the detached heated garage/workshop--perfect for hobbies, storage, or year-round projects. Conveniently located near local schools, this home offers a great combination of small-town charm and everyday convenience. Whether you're looking for your first home, a place to downsize, or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2016-08-04
    soldstatus $63,500
  20. 2016-08-03
    soldstatus $63,500
  21. 2016-08-03
    soldstatus $63,500 Sold
  22. 2016-06-22
    historical Active Contingent
  23. 2016-04-27
    listed $59,900 Active
  24. 2016-04-27
    listed $59,900
  25. 2014-09-26
    historical
  26. 2014-09-26
    historical
  27. 2014-09-25
    historical
  28. 2014-09-24
    historical
  29. 2008-09-30
    historical
  30. 2008-03-31
    listed $64,900
  31. 2008-03-31
    listed $64,900
  32. 2006-02-12
    historical
  33. 2005-04-16
    listed $69,500
  34. 2005-04-16
    listed $69,500
  35. 2005-04-03
    historical
  36. 2004-11-01
    listed $73,500
  37. 2004-11-01
    listed $73,500
  38. 2004-10-05
    historical
  39. 2004-04-05
    listed $73,500
  40. 2004-04-05
    listed $73,500
  41. 2000-06-06
    soldstatus $67,300
  42. 2000-06-06
    soldstatus $67,300
  43. 1999-04-30
    listed $67,500
  44. 1999-04-30
    listed $67,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$957 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,472 · $123/mo
Expected delta
+$515/yr (+$43/mo · 53.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,670
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$957
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,014
− Management
−$1,014
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$1,938
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$465
After-tax cash flow
$754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colon Community School District
NCES district ID
2610410
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$44,009
Composite
19.37/100
National rank
#8786
State rank
#446 of 540 in MI

Livability — Colon

Score
68/100
State rank
#372
US rank
#9682

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Colon, MI
City population
3,341
Population (ZIP)
3,341

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,726 people
By 2030
57,030 · -2.9%
By 2040
53,266 · -9.3%
By 2050
49,343 · -16.0%
By 2075
40,441 · -31.1%
By 2100
31,981 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
80% English-only · German/W. Germanic 20%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.98%
Current HPI
232.5179
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.1% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $129,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
  • 2016-08-03 Sold (MLS) $63,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-08-03 Sold (MLS) $63,500 REALCOMP
  • 2016-06-22 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-04-27 Listed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-04-27 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2014-09-26 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-26 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-25 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-24 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2008-09-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-31 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-31 Listed $64,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-02-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-16 Listed $69,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-16 Listed $69,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2005-04-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-01 Listed $73,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-01 Listed $73,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2004-10-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-04-05 Listed $73,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-04-05 Listed $73,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2000-06-06 Sold (MLS) $67,300 REALCOMP
  • 2000-06-06 Sold (MLS) $67,300 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1999-04-30 Listed $67,500 REALCOMP
  • 1999-04-30 Listed $67,500 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $957 · -31.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…