81 Belfort Ct · Fruit Cove, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new two-story townhome combines modern comfort and convenience. Upon entry is a cohesive open layout, showcasing a well-equipped kitchen framed by the dining room and living room in an excellent set-up for seamless living and entertaining. The second floor is occupied by the tranquil owner's suite with an attached full-sized bathroom, while down the hallway are two secondary bedrooms with a walk-in closet. Completing the home is a two-car garage to add versatile storage space.
Key facts
- Pavered driveway
- Wigeon floor plan
- Pre-screened lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association with annual fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, dog park, fitness center, jogging path, park, playground, tennis courts, trash service, and water; CDD fee applies
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Energy-efficient windows
- Home design: Townhouse; One-story entry (levels listed as One); Property attached
- Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio with screened area; Pond on the property; Front and rear sprinklers; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Ice maker
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedrooms 2 and 3 located on second level; primary on first level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Split-bedroom layout; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (7.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.9% in Fruit Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#469 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Timberlin Creek Elementary School (math 81% / reading 85%, grade A+, #65 of 2,144 statewide, top 3%, 1,311 students, 9% FRL); Switzerland Point Middle School (math 80% / reading 72%, grade A, #34 of 571 statewide, top 6%, 1,430 students, 5% FRL); Bartram Trail High School (math 68% / reading 75%, grade B+, #49 of 667 statewide, top 8%, 2,493 students, 4% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1335 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.76%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $330,723
- List price
- $330,000
- Delta
- -0.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Belfort Ct | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,799 (0%) | 1mo | $322,500 | $179 | 98 |
| 76 Belfort Ct | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,799 (0%) | 1mo | $347,500 | $193 | 98 |
| 113 Belfort Ct | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,799 (0%) | 2mo | $317,500 | $176 | 97 |
| 119 Hogan Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,799 (0%) | 1mo | $322,595 | $179 | 96 |
| 29 Craig Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,707 (-5%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $167 | 85 |
| 31 Craig Ct | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,707 (-5%) | 1mo | $278,500 | $163 | 84 |
| 225 Yellowstone Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,813 (+1%) | 1mo | $367,990 | $203 | 80 |
| 170 Yellowstone Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,813 (+1%) | 1mo | $369,990 | $204 | 79 |
| 162 Yellowstone Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,813 (+1%) | 1mo | $364,990 | $201 | 78 |
| 90 Belfort Ct | 0.02mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,005 (+12%) | 2mo | $387,500 | $193 | 74 |
| 119 Belfort Ct | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,005 (+12%) | 2mo | $372,500 | $186 | 73 |
| 16 Samantha Ct | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,005 (+12%) | 1mo | $383,000 | $191 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-69,462
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -25.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-100,098
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32092
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 1335
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,568 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$276 /mo · $3,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $-135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $51 | -5% $-42 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-229 | +10% $-322 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-338 | -5% $-237 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-34 | +10% $67 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $31 | -0.5pp $-51 | base $-135 | +0.5pp $-221 | +1.0pp $-308 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Craig Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1707 | $2,100 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 380 Belfort Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 413 Rosemont Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $2,125 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 78 Gaston Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1635 | $2,250 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 72 Ben Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2289 | $2,875 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 73 Bluebonnet Way Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1657 | $2,900 | $1.75 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 98 Neighbor CIR St Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2299 | $2,400 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 36 Viceroy Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1631 | $2,850 | $1.75 | 19d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 18 Longtail Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1714 | $3,091 | $1.80 | 0d | 10 | 0.84mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $330,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $330,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $330,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $330,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $330,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-14$330,000 Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This new two-story townhome combines modern comfort and convenience. Upon entry is a cohesive open layout, showcasing a well-equipped kitchen framed by the dining room and living room in an excellent set-up for seamless living and entertaining. The second floor is occupied by the tranquil owner's suite with an attached full-sized bathroom, while down the hallway are two secondary bedrooms with a walk-in closet. Completing the home is a two-car garage to add versatile storage space.
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2026-05-13$330,000 Active 826-char remark
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2025-10-21soldstatus $708,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,309 · $276/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,309 · $276/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,810
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$3,309
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,465
- − Management
- −$2,465
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$7,403
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,777
- After-tax cash flow
- $152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fruit Cove
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #469
- US rank
- #8490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,071
- Household income
- $131,020
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.26%
- Current HPI
- 259.732
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-53.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $330,000 Zillow
- 2026-05-13 Listed $330,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $708,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,309 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…