307 Cottage Ave · Anderson, IN 46012

$120,000

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,729 sqft · SingleFamily · 170 Days on market

Built 1926 7,579 sqft lot Est $213k · 44% under ↓ 33% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.3/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity. .. Great location next to Anderson University perfect for student housing. Two parcels included. Parcel #s are 48-12-07-302-088.000-003 and 48-12-07-302-087.000-003. House used as Health Center for AU, needs improvements, updating. Call list agent for Showings

Key facts

• Four parcels
• Vacant lots
• 7,579 sq ft lot

Tags

• FOUR PARCELS
• VACANT LOTS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
• Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.5% in Anderson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#521 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
• Anderson Community School Corporation (urban): math 15% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #280 of 301 in IN (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 184 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Madison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.33% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.34%
• DSCR: 1.68
• GRM: 6.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $212,553
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1302 E 8th St	0.43mi	6/3.0 (+1)	3,680 (-1%)	2mo	$210,000	$57	68
604 Walnut St	0.27mi	4/2.0 (-1)	3,928 (+5%)	14mo	$130,000	$33	62
604 Alexandria Pike	0.42mi	5/3.0	4,043 (+8%)	10mo	$270,000	$67	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.18×
• Total profit: $6,068
• Equity at exit: $17,892

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.99×
• Total profit: $33,118
• Equity at exit: $10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46012

• Home prices YoY: -18.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 159
• Price-to-rent: 6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,593 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$629
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050

Max offer price $120,000

Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $512	-5% $471	+0% $430	+5% $388	+10% $347
Rent	-10% $304	-5% $367	+0% $430	+5% $493	+10% $555
Rate	-1.0pp $490	-0.5pp $460	base $430	+0.5pp $398	+1.0pp $367

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $30,000
• Closing costs: $3,600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-28
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-23
   status Active
3. 2026-04-17
   status Pending
4. 2026-03-27
   price $120,000
5. 2025-10-31
   listed $180,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,122
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,722
• − Property taxes: −$1,800
• − Insurance: −$600
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,530
• − Management: −$1,530
• − Depreciation: −$3,491
• Taxable income: $3,450
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$828
• After-tax cash flow: $4,327/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Anderson Community School Corporation
• NCES district ID: 1800150
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 23% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $38,208
• Composite: 15.93/100
• National rank: #9250
• State rank: #280 of 301 in IN

Livability — Anderson

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #521
• US rank: #18709

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Anderson, IN
• County: Madison County · 69,445 people
• City population: 57,762
• Metro: Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
• Population (ZIP): 20,855
• Household income: $58,041
• Rent vs Own: 32.3% rent · 67.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 987.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 125,800 people
• By 2030: 122,640 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 115,420 · -8.3%
• By 2050: 108,148 · -14.0%
• By 2075: 91,838 · -27.0%
• By 2100: 75,670 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+26.9) · D 35.6% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.5pp · 2024: -26.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+26.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+25.7 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+6.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -61.16%
• Current HPI: 266.9819
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.82%
• Metro: Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

-33.3% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-23 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-17 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-27 Price Changed $120,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-31 Listed $180,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid