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3290 William Penn Ave
B Composite 70.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

3290 William Penn Ave · Vinco, PA 15909
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily · 228 Days on market
Built 1949 0.26 ac lot $104/sqft · 21% below area Est $94k · 21% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take another look at this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home located in the desirable Central Cambria School District! This property features refinished hardwood floors throughout the living room, bedrooms, and hallway, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step out onto the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing, which leads seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen and then into the cozy living room. The large front window floods the space with natural light. The two bedrooms are conveniently separated by an updated bathroom. There is also a full walk up attic for all your storage needs. Downstairs, a large unfinished basement provides ample storage space and includes washer and dryer hookups, as well as a newer oil furnace. Enjoy easy access to the backyard via walk-up access. An existing foundation in the backyard offers potential for creating a new garage.

Key facts

  • Newer oil furnace
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Covered back porch

Tags

REFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED BACK PORCHEAT-IN KITCHENLARGE UNFINISHED BASEMENTWASHER AND DRYER HOOKUPSNEWER OIL FURNACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($811 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,005 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Central Cambria SD (rural): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #225 of 539 in PA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.54%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,424
List price
$75,000
Delta
-20.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$19,709
Equity at exit
$36,126
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$55,665
Equity at exit
$57,619

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15909

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$811 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,004/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$170
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $643
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    historical Active Under Contract 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Take another look at this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home located in the Central Cambria School District! This property features refinished hardwood floors throughout the living room, bedrooms, and hallway, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step out onto the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing, which leads seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen and then into the cozy living room. The large front window floods the space with natural light. The two bedrooms are conveniently separated by an updated bathroom. Downstairs, a large unfinished basement provides ample storage space and includes washer and dryer hookups, as well as a newer oil furnace. Enjoy easy access to the backyard via walk-up access. An existing foundation in the backyard offers potential for creating a new garage.

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Take another look at this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home located in the Central Cambria School District! This property features refinished hardwood floors throughout the living room, bedrooms, and hallway, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step out onto the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing, which leads seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen and then into the cozy living room. The large front window floods the space with natural light. The two bedrooms are conveniently separated by an updated bathroom. Downstairs, a large unfinished basement provides ample storage space and includes washer and dryer hookups, as well as a newer oil furnace. Enjoy easy access to the backyard via walk-up access. An existing foundation in the backyard offers potential for creating a new garage.

  3. 2025-10-31
    price $75,000 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Take another look at this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home located in the Central Cambria School District! This property features refinished hardwood floors throughout the living room, bedrooms, and hallway, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step out onto the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing, which leads seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen and then into the cozy living room. The large front window floods the space with natural light. The two bedrooms are conveniently separated by an updated bathroom. Downstairs, a large unfinished basement provides ample storage space and includes washer and dryer hookups, as well as a newer oil furnace. Enjoy easy access to the backyard via walk-up access. An existing foundation in the backyard offers potential for creating a new garage.

  4. 2025-10-31
    price $75,000 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Take another look at this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home located in the Central Cambria School District! This property features refinished hardwood floors throughout the living room, bedrooms, and hallway, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step out onto the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing, which leads seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen and then into the cozy living room. The large front window floods the space with natural light. The two bedrooms are conveniently separated by an updated bathroom. Downstairs, a large unfinished basement provides ample storage space and includes washer and dryer hookups, as well as a newer oil furnace. Enjoy easy access to the backyard via walk-up access. An existing foundation in the backyard offers potential for creating a new garage.

  5. 2025-09-22
    listed $85,000 Active 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Take another look at this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home located in the desirable Central Cambria School District! This property features refinished hardwood floors throughout the living room, bedrooms, and hallway, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step out onto the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing, which leads seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen and then into the cozy living room. The large front window floods the space with natural light. The two bedrooms are conveniently separated by an updated bathroom. There is also a full walk up attic for all your storage needs. Downstairs, a large unfinished basement provides ample storage space and includes washer and dryer hookups, as well as a newer oil furnace. Enjoy easy access to the backyard via walk-up access. An existing foundation in the backyard offers potential for creating a new garage.

  6. 2025-09-21
    listed $85,000 Active 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Take another look at this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home located in the Central Cambria School District! This property features refinished hardwood floors throughout the living room, bedrooms, and hallway, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step out onto the covered back porch, perfect for relaxing, which leads seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen and then into the cozy living room. The large front window floods the space with natural light. The two bedrooms are conveniently separated by an updated bathroom. Downstairs, a large unfinished basement provides ample storage space and includes washer and dryer hookups, as well as a newer oil furnace. Enjoy easy access to the backyard via walk-up access. An existing foundation in the backyard offers potential for creating a new garage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,004 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,095 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$90/yr (+$8/mo · 9.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,726
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,004
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$778
− Management
−$778
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$407
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$98
After-tax cash flow
$1,487/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Cambria SD
NCES district ID
4205340
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$50,276
Composite
40.68/100
National rank
#3674
State rank
#225 of 539 in PA

Livability — Vinco

Score
67/100
State rank
#1005
US rank
#11078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vinco, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,850

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.56%
Current HPI
150.8221
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent CSMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $75,000 CSMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $75,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $85,000 CSMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Listed $85,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,004 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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