2322 Theodore Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors. This 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms ( possible 3 bedroom or play room in attic) with full basement w/ extra room and attached garage is ready for a new owner. Property already rented and producing income. Come check it out and make it yours
Key facts
- 4,918 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1931
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 533 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $80k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 533 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.57%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,397
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- 36.99%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 E Parkwood Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+3%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $102 | 82 |
| 212 E Hillcrest Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+0%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $79 | 81 |
| 2624 Newport Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,207 (+6%) | 2mo | $92,800 | $77 | 78 |
| 128 E Parkwood Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,228 (+8%) | 1mo | $29,810 | $24 | 76 |
| 165 Basswood Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,253 (+10%) | 2mo | $107,500 | $86 | 68 |
| 2933 Lindale Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,132 (-1%) | 2mo | $208,000 | $184 | 61 |
| 148 Valleyview Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,163 (+2%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $107 | 61 |
| 136 Niagara Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,081 (-5%) | 4mo | $94,000 | $87 | 55 |
| 332 Ashwood Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+3%) | 3mo | $134,900 | $115 | 55 |
| 126 Fernwood Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,028 (-10%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $63 | 53 |
| 202 Santa Clara Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,302 (+14%) | 4mo | $125,400 | $96 | 42 |
| 3220 Zephyr Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,292 (+13%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $170 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $4,477
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $30,192
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45405
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $967 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $690/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $276 | +0% $253 | +5% $231 | +10% $208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $215 | +0% $253 | +5% $291 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $294 | -0.5pp $274 | base $253 | +0.5pp $233 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 E Norman Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 102 E Norman Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $925 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 152 Laura Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $895 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 147 Laura Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $975 | $0.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 31 E Norman Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2327 N Main St Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 41 W Fairview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 235 E Hillcrest Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 79 W Norman Ave Unit A Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $750 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 65 E Maplewood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $723 | $0.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 26 W Beechwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1468 | $1,050 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 220 Fernwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $900 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 317 Fernwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,100 | $0.83 | 12d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 181 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 42 Pointview Ave Unit 42 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 167 W Hudson Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,185 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 38 Pointview Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $900 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 201 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 234 Santa Clara Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,125 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 202 E Bruce Ave Apt 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $800 | $0.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 412 W Parkwood Dr Unit 1 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 337 Ryburn Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 101 E Bruce Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1455 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 439 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 265 Victor Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $900 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 364 Delaware Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $675 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 410 Delaware Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $650 | $0.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1004 Linda Vista Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $750 | $0.62 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2333 Rustic Rd Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $840 | $0.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2333 Rustic Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $840 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 518 Delaware Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $750 | $0.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 244 E Siebenthaler Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $1,175 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 228 E Siebenthaler Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2310 Emerson Ave Unit B Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $600 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 628 W Norman Ave Unit 628 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $795 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 433 Sandhurst Dr Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 419 Sandhurst Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2039 Emerson Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $725 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 17 Maylan Dr Unit 3 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 605 Forest Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $650 | $0.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 36 events
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2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 533 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 532 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 531 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 530 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 528 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 527 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 525 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 524 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 523 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 522 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 519 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 518 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 517 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 516 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 515 DOM
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2024-12-31$80,000 Active 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Attention investors. This 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms ( possible 3 bedroom or play room in attic) with full basement w/ extra room and attached garage is ready for a new owner. Property already rented and producing income. Come check it out and make it yours
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2021-01-17historical
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2020-12-19price $68,000
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2020-11-03soldstatus $30,000
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2020-11-02$73,000 Active
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2020-07-17soldstatus $30,000 Sold
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2020-07-17soldstatus $30,000 Closed
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2020-06-27historical Active/Pending
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2020-06-04price $34,900
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2020-05-12status Active
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2020-05-06historical Active/Pending
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2020-04-08$39,900 Active
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2016-01-27soldstatus $2,260 Sold
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2016-01-22soldstatus $2,260 Closed
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2016-01-07historical Active/Pending
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2016-01-07status Active
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2015-07-27historical
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2015-07-21$10,000 Active
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2015-01-30historical
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2014-10-30$32,000
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1994-03-18soldstatus $48,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $690 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$279/yr (+$23/mo · 40.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$690
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$928
- − Management
- −$928
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,845
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,955
- Household income
- $43,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1475.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.58%
- Current HPI
- 173.4962
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.34%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+64.9% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-31 Listed $80,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-01-17 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2020-12-19 Price Changed $68,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-02 Listed $73,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-06-27 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2020-06-04 Price Changed $34,900 Dayton MLS
- 2020-05-12 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2020-05-06 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2020-04-08 Listed $39,900 Dayton MLS
- 2016-01-27 Sold (MLS) $2,260 Dayton MLS
- 2016-01-22 Sold (MLS) $2,260 Dayton MLS
- 2016-01-07 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2016-01-07 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2015-07-27 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2015-07-21 Listed $10,000 Dayton MLS
- 2015-01-30 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2014-10-30 Listed $32,000 Dayton MLS
- 1994-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $690 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…