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2322 Theodore Ave
C Composite 55.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

2322 Theodore Ave · Dayton, OH 45405
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,141 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 533 Days on market
Built 1931 4,918 sqft lot $70/sqft · 37% above area Est $58k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors. This 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms ( possible 3 bedroom or play room in attic) with full basement w/ extra room and attached garage is ready for a new owner. Property already rented and producing income. Come check it out and make it yours

Key facts

  • 4,918 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1931

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 533 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $80k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 533 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.57%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,397
List price
$80,000
Delta
36.99%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
250 E Parkwood Dr 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+3%) 4mo $120,000 $102 82
212 E Hillcrest Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+0%) 2mo $90,000 $79 81
2624 Newport Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,207 (+6%) 2mo $92,800 $77 78
128 E Parkwood Dr 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,228 (+8%) 1mo $29,810 $24 76
165 Basswood Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,253 (+10%) 2mo $107,500 $86 68
2933 Lindale Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,132 (-1%) 2mo $208,000 $184 61
148 Valleyview Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,163 (+2%) 2mo $125,000 $107 61
136 Niagara Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,081 (-5%) 4mo $94,000 $87 55
332 Ashwood Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+3%) 3mo $134,900 $115 55
126 Fernwood Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,028 (-10%) 3mo $65,000 $63 53
202 Santa Clara Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,302 (+14%) 4mo $125,400 $96 42
3220 Zephyr Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,292 (+13%) 4mo $219,000 $170 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$4,477
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$30,192
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45405

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$967 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $690/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $646
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $299 -5% $276 +0% $253 +5% $231 +10% $208
Rent -10% $177 -5% $215 +0% $253 +5% $291 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $294 -0.5pp $274 base $253 +0.5pp $233 +1.0pp $211

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 E Norman Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 25d 1 0.10mi
102 E Norman Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $925 $1.16 25d 1 0.14mi
152 Laura Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 990 $895 $0.90 45d 1 0.15mi
147 Laura Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1096 $975 $0.89 25d 1 0.17mi
31 E Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 25d 1 0.18mi
2327 N Main St Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 25d 1 0.24mi
41 W Fairview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,200 $0.83 15d 1 0.30mi
235 E Hillcrest Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 45d 1 0.30mi
79 W Norman Ave Unit A Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 745 $750 $1.01 15d 1 0.37mi
65 E Maplewood Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1064 $723 $0.68 45d 1 0.46mi
26 W Beechwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1468 $1,050 $0.72 45d 1 0.46mi
220 Fernwood Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 884 $900 $1.02 4d 1 0.48mi
317 Fernwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,100 $0.83 12d 1 0.49mi
181 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,150 $0.94 45d 1 0.53mi
42 Pointview Ave Unit 42 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,200 $0.97 4d 1 0.53mi
167 W Hudson Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,185 $0.88 45d 1 0.53mi
38 Pointview Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1140 $900 $0.79 15d 1 0.54mi
201 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,200 $0.84 45d 1 0.55mi
234 Santa Clara Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,125 $0.82 45d 1 0.59mi
202 E Bruce Ave Apt 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1250 $800 $0.64 25d 1 0.64mi
412 W Parkwood Dr Unit 1 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 25d 1 0.65mi
337 Ryburn Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 45d 1 0.69mi
101 E Bruce Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1455 $1,150 $0.79 4d 1 0.70mi
439 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 45d 1 0.70mi
265 Victor Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1204 $900 $0.75 45d 1 0.71mi
364 Delaware Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 700 $675 $0.96 25d 1 0.76mi
410 Delaware Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 975 $650 $0.67 4d 1 0.78mi
1004 Linda Vista Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 1200 $750 $0.62 15d 1 0.81mi
2333 Rustic Rd Unit 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $840 $0.84 4d 1 0.83mi
2333 Rustic Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $840 $0.84 45d 1 0.83mi
518 Delaware Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1500 $750 $0.50 45d 1 0.83mi
244 E Siebenthaler Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1273 $1,175 $0.92 4d 1 0.84mi
228 E Siebenthaler Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 934 $1,200 $1.28 45d 1 0.84mi
2310 Emerson Ave Unit B Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $600 $0.80 45d 1 0.86mi
628 W Norman Ave Unit 628 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 918 $795 $0.87 45d 1 0.87mi
433 Sandhurst Dr Unit 4 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 45d 1 0.88mi
419 Sandhurst Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $975 $1.03 25d 1 0.89mi
2039 Emerson Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 725 $725 $1.00 4d 1 0.89mi
17 Maylan Dr Unit 3 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 45d 1 0.90mi
605 Forest Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 978 $650 $0.66 25d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 533 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 532 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 531 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 530 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 528 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 527 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 525 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 524 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 523 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 522 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 519 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 518 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 517 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 516 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 515 DOM
  16. 2024-12-31
    listed $80,000 Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Attention investors. This 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms ( possible 3 bedroom or play room in attic) with full basement w/ extra room and attached garage is ready for a new owner. Property already rented and producing income. Come check it out and make it yours

  17. 2021-01-17
    historical
  18. 2020-12-19
    price $68,000
  19. 2020-11-03
    soldstatus $30,000
  20. 2020-11-02
    listed $73,000 Active
  21. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $30,000 Sold
  22. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  23. 2020-06-27
    historical Active/Pending
  24. 2020-06-04
    price $34,900
  25. 2020-05-12
    status Active
  26. 2020-05-06
    historical Active/Pending
  27. 2020-04-08
    listed $39,900 Active
  28. 2016-01-27
    soldstatus $2,260 Sold
  29. 2016-01-22
    soldstatus $2,260 Closed
  30. 2016-01-07
    historical Active/Pending
  31. 2016-01-07
    status Active
  32. 2015-07-27
    historical
  33. 2015-07-21
    listed $10,000 Active
  34. 2015-01-30
    historical
  35. 2014-10-30
    listed $32,000
  36. 1994-03-18
    soldstatus $48,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$690 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$969 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$279/yr (+$23/mo · 40.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,599
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$690
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$928
− Management
−$928
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$443
After-tax cash flow
$2,597/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,955
Household income
$43,973
Rent vs Own
64.0% rent · 36.0% own
Severe rent burden
1475.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.58%
Current HPI
173.4962
Rent YoY
▲ 4.34%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.9% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2024-12-31 Listed $80,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-01-17 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2020-12-19 Price Changed $68,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-02 Listed $73,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-06-27 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2020-06-04 Price Changed $34,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-05-12 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2020-05-06 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2020-04-08 Listed $39,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-01-27 Sold (MLS) $2,260 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-01-22 Sold (MLS) $2,260 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-01-07 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2016-01-07 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2015-07-27 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2015-07-21 Listed $10,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2015-01-30 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2014-10-30 Listed $32,000 Dayton MLS
  • 1994-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $690 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…