517 5th Ave · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Good starter home with 2 car detached garage. Nicely cared for by long time owners.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; 25 ft frontage; Lot is approximately 0.07 acres; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Steam heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Porch; Has basement; 8 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.86%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,091
- List price
- $77,900
- Delta
- 49.55%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 2nd Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,503 (+1%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $47 | 78 |
| 112 Pearl St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,497 (+1%) | 4mo | $89,900 | $60 | 78 |
| 316 3rd Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+2%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $26 | 76 |
| 308 Crawford Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,504 (+1%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $68 | 73 |
| 215 7th Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,548 (+4%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $29 | 71 |
| 414 Grant Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,518 (+2%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $72 | 69 |
| 210 Crawford Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (+3%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $95 | 67 |
| 818 Bell Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,632 (+10%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $83 | 57 |
| 224 E 3rd Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,377 (-7%) | 0mo | $98,700 | $72 | 57 |
| 1320 Walton Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-3%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $142 | 48 |
| 412 Spruce Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (+3%) | 7mo | $88,000 | $57 | 45 |
| 1313 Grant Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,371 (-8%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $179 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $4,582
- Equity at exit
- $11,615
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $26,141
- Equity at exit
- $6,735
Cash invested: $21,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16602
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $990 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $848/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,475
- Closing costs
- $2,337
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2015 12th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,277 | $1.31 | 43d | 9 | 1.26mi |
| 100 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 200 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 212 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 43d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 300 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 400 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $77,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $77,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $77,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $77,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $77,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $77,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $77,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $77,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $77,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$84,900 Active 83-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,039 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$191/yr (+$16/mo · 22.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,364
- − Property taxes
- −$848
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$2,266
- Taxable income
- $2,108
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$506
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,736/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,352
- Household income
- $55,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 740.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.37%
- Current HPI
- 212.2268
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-8.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $77,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $84,900 AHARMLS
Property tax history
-8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $848 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…