1470 Royce St · New York, NY 11234

$1,050,000

12 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,130 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 507 Days on market

Built 2007 3,400 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• DSCR +3.0/10.0
• 1% rule +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Semi Detached home in the quiet Georgetown neighborhood of Brooklyn. This home features 6 bedrooms , 2.5 bathrooms, kitchens , living and dining rooms. There is hardwood flooring throughout the entire house, all brick construction , full finished basement, large driveway able tho accomodate 4 cars easily , large backyard and garage. This Property is a Short Sale Subject to third party approval. NO ACCESS AT THIS TIME.

Key facts

• 3,400 sq ft lot
• 4 parking spots
• Built 2007

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 6.0-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-558 ($-7k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-279/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $951k (9.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $783k (25.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $783k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.2%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $7,831/mo this rent would consume 96% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2384% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 507 days — a 12% lower offer ($924k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $783,100 (25.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 507 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.75% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.66%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.28%
• DSCR: 0.90
• GRM: 11.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.44×
• Total profit: $-164,505
• Equity at exit: $156,558

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.00×
• Total profit: $-1,460
• Equity at exit: $90,785

Cash invested: $294,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11234

• Rents YoY: 16.2%
• Active inventory: 461
• Price-to-rent: 22.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $7,831 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$5,506
• Tax from tax record: −$801 /mo · $9,610/yr
• Insurance: −$438
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,645
• Net cashflow: $-558

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,538

Max offer price $951,400

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $36	-5% $-261	+0% $-558	+5% $-855	+10% $-1,153
Rent	-10% $-1,177	-5% $-867	+0% $-558	+5% $-249	+10% $60
Rate	-1.0pp $-29	-0.5pp $-291	base $-558	+0.5pp $-830	+1.0pp $-1,107

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	6.0	2.5	$7,832
Total (2 units)			$7,831

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $262,500
• Closing costs: $31,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2025-01-23
   status Pending
2. 2023-09-04
   listed $1,050,000 Active
3. 2019-10-15
   historical
4. 2019-07-11
   listed $989,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $9,610 · $801/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $13,677 · $1,140/mo
• Expected delta: +$4,068/yr (+$339/mo · 42.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $93,972
• − Mortgage interest: −$58,816
• − Property taxes: −$9,610
• − Insurance: −$5,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$7,518
• − Management: −$7,518
• − Depreciation: −$30,545
• Taxable loss: −$25,285
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$6,068
• After-tax cash flow: $-629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Kings County · 2,614,986 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 83,187
• Household income: $97,479
• Rent vs Own: 31.7% rent · 68.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 2384.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,847,441 people
• By 2030: 2,937,006 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 3,095,491 · +8.7%
• By 2050: 3,228,968 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 3,321,723 · +16.7%
• By 2100: 3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 42% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 35% · Canada, China, Mexico
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -667.47%
• Current HPI: 318.0416
• Rent YoY: ▲ 16.21%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+6.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-01-23 Pending — BNYMLS
• 2023-09-04 Listed $1,050,000 BNYMLS
• 2019-10-15 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-07-11 Listed $989,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+19.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,610 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.