937 Springfield St · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity with strong value-add potential. This property is ready for renovation and offers a great chance to restore and customize. Sold as-is. DISTRESSED PROPERTY/ON THE DEMO LIST. Curbside offers only.
Key facts
- 4,125 sq ft lot
- Built 1919
- Listed 51 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Home design: Two-story residence; Residential zoning
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Residential lot (approx. 0.095 acres / 4,125 sq ft)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 10 x 10 and 11 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.7% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $35k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 79.95%
- DSCR
- 4.56
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,389
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -24.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 N Mcgee St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (+2%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $39 | 74 |
| 146 N Garland Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-0%) | 4mo | $126,000 | $113 | 74 |
| 720 Springfield St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 8mo | $62,000 | $52 | 73 |
| 30 S Westview Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-6%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $119 | 56 |
| 101 S Delmar Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (-7%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $110 | 55 |
| 231 N Westview Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-14%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $167 | 54 |
| 254 N Wright Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 998 (-11%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $140 | 53 |
| 437 N Wright Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,023 (-9%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $147 | 48 |
| 238 N Cherrywood Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 998 (-11%) | 4mo | $129,000 | $129 | 48 |
| 431 N Garland Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 997 (-11%) | 3mo | $123,000 | $123 | 47 |
| 255 N Cherrywood Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 998 (-11%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $115 | 47 |
| 1321 Woodley Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-14%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $120 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 80.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.75×
- Total profit
- $36,720
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 84.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.07×
- Total profit
- $88,872
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45403
- Home prices YoY
- -3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,110 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $309/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $653
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 N Irwin St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3707 E 3rd St Unit 3705 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,045 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3719 E 3rd St Unit 3717 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 144 N Quentin Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 120 S Monmouth St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 211 N Cherrywood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $795 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4013 E 3rd St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1144 | $1,095 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 210 S Hedges St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,045 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 224 S Irwin St Unit 226 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $900 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 29 N Garfield St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 334 Blackwood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 334 Blackwood Ave Unit 3 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3817 E 5th St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 314 Sheridan Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 201 Pleasant Ave Unit 203 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $975 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2119 Bellefontaine Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15 John St Unit 15 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1356 Huffman Ave Unit 1356 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $975 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4403 Burkhardt Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2200 E 5th St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2034 Leo St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1300 Chardon Ct Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 424 Bantz Ct Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1371 Florence St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1517 Chapel St Unit 1521 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $1,000 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 78 Notre Dame Ave Unit A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,025 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 515 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $950 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 517 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $875 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4644 Burkhardt Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,095 | $1.51 | 2d | 9 | 1.23mi |
| 1704 Huffman Ave Unit 1706 Huffman Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $900 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 155 Grove Ave Unit 155 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $950 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 163 Grove Ave Unit 163 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1620 Gummer Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $950 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1671 Gummer Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,100 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1762 Suman Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1770 Suman Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,145 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 637 Creighton Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 224 Deeds Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $950 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 200 Hart St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 531 S Hayden Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,325 | $1.10 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $35,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $35,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$35,000 Active 215-char remark
-
1995-09-13soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $309 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $427 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 38.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,319
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$309
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,065
- − Management
- −$1,065
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $7,725
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,854
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,608
- Household income
- $38,323
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1071.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.40%
- Current HPI
- 447.4034
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.71%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+94.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $35,000 Dayton MLS
- 1995-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $309 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…