1325 E 168th Pl · South Holland, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- ARV discount +2.6/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$246,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Currently under construction for total redevelopment.
Key facts
- Modern appliances
- Custom tile work
- Tile flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number 29234040100000
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 car total parking)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family split-level home; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (age 51–60 years)
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 7410
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (Master and two bedrooms on second floor; one bedroom on lower level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement has a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished partial basement; Total of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $246k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-637/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (3.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $246k).
- Recommended offer: $237k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 8.4% in South Holland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.93%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $221,652
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17063 Kimbark Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $188 | 77 |
| 16710 Prince Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (+4%) | 14mo | $235,000 | $191 | 72 |
| 17047 Cornell Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,196 (+1%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $155 | 68 |
| 1241 E 168th St | 0.11mi | 3/3.0 | 1,331 (+13%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $173 | 68 |
| 17121 Ingleside Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (+3%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $185 | 67 |
| 811 E 169th Pl | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,123 (-5%) | 3mo | $257,000 | $229 | 59 |
| 16645 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-5%) | 1mo | $211,894 | $189 | 58 |
| 1103 E 166th Pl | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+14%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $156 | 56 |
| 16428 Greenwood Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+7%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $171 | 52 |
| 16651 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (+7%) | 9mo | $229,900 | $182 | 47 |
| 924 E 169th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+14%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $260 | 44 |
| 1014 E 171st Pl | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 (+14%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $252 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-42,948
- Equity at exit
- $36,679
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-40,544
- Equity at exit
- $21,270
Cash invested: $68,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60473
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,617 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,290
- Tax from tax record
- −$728 /mo · $8,736/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $86 | -5% $17 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-123 | +10% $-192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-260 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-53 | +5% $50 | +10% $154 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $71 | -0.5pp $9 | base $-53 | +0.5pp $-117 | +1.0pp $-182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,500
- Closing costs
- $7,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,170 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $3,330 | $2.93 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 17640 Rosewood Dr Unit 2A Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,475 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 17754 Rosewood Dr Unit 1N Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,370 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $246,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $248,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $248,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $248,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $248,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $248,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $248,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $248,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $248,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $248,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $248,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $248,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $248,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $248,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $248,000
-
2026-04-10price $253,000
-
2026-02-27price $256,000
-
2026-01-30price $264,000
-
2026-01-09price $269,000
-
2025-12-05price $277,000
-
2025-11-06$286,000 Active
-
2017-12-26soldstatus $1,375,500
-
2014-10-20soldstatus $143,500
-
2014-10-10soldstatus $143,500 Closed Sale 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Currently under construction for total redevelopment.
-
2014-07-17status Pending 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Currently under construction for total redevelopment.
-
2014-05-21$170,000 New 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Currently under construction for total redevelopment.
-
2014-05-16soldstatus $62,000 Closed Sale 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Needs Work. Purchase for as little as 5% down with HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing! Tax pro 100% Buyer resp for any/all village reqmnts (insp, escrow, repairs) Offers MUST have pof or preapproval, EM MUST be certified.
-
2014-04-16status Pending 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Needs Work. Purchase for as little as 5% down with HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing! Tax pro 100% Buyer resp for any/all village reqmnts (insp, escrow, repairs) Offers MUST have pof or preapproval, EM MUST be certified.
-
2014-04-01price $71,900 Price Change 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Needs Work. Purchase for as little as 5% down with HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing! Tax pro 100% Buyer resp for any/all village reqmnts (insp, escrow, repairs) Offers MUST have pof or preapproval, EM MUST be certified.
-
2014-02-25$79,800 New 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Brick Split level, Priced Right!!! Great Deal!!! Act Quick!!! Needs Work. Purchase for as little as 5% down with HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing! Tax pro 100% Buyer resp for any/all village reqmnts (insp, escrow, repairs) Offers MUST have pof or preapproval, EM MUST be certified.
-
2014-01-01historical
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2013-07-22New
-
2013-07-19historical
-
2013-07-11status Pending
-
2013-06-24price Price Change
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2012-08-28price Reactivated
-
2012-08-28status Reactivated
-
2012-04-24status Pending
-
2012-04-12price Reactivated
-
2012-04-12status Reactivated
-
2012-03-22status Pending
-
2012-02-22price Price Change
-
2012-01-08price Price Change
-
2011-12-26price Price Change
-
2011-07-15price Price Change
-
2010-12-28New
-
2008-08-11historical
-
2008-06-16
-
2007-11-30historical
-
2007-11-02
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,736 · $728/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,736 · $728/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,404
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,780
- − Property taxes
- −$8,736
- − Insurance
- −$1,230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,512
- − Management
- −$2,512
- − Depreciation
- −$7,156
- Taxable loss
- −$4,523
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,085
- After-tax cash flow
- $448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — South Holland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Holland, IL
- City population
- 21,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,407
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.36%
- Current HPI
- 201.2479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+161.3% since first listed43 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $248,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $253,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $256,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $264,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $269,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $277,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Listed $286,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,375,500 Public Records
- 2014-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $143,500 Public Records
- 2014-10-10 Sold (MLS) $143,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-17 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-21 Listed $170,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-16 Sold (MLS) $62,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-16 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-01 Price Changed $71,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-25 Listed $79,800 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-22 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-19 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-11 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-24 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-28 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-28 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-24 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-12 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-12 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-22 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-22 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-08 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-28 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) $133,797 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-29 Listed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-30 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 1991-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2023): $8,736 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…