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35 Skyline Dr 🌊 Lakefront
A Composite 85.0
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$1,250,000

35 Skyline Dr · Sherman, CT 06784
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1982 1.74 ac lot $431/sqft · 7% below area Est $1385k · 10% under ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

It's All About the Views!Fabulous Price Reduction on this one of a kind, custom built contemporary with extraordinary 50 mile views in all directions. Set in the Lake community of Candlewood Lake Estates, this stately Contemporary, set on a private acre plus an additional lot (. 82 acs), at the end of a cul-de-sac, is just waiting for your customization. This incredible setting hosts this 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath custom designed home with multilevel wrap decks & balconies and an oversized bonus room for great family fun center or studio for the artist/photographer. An open plan showcases. slate floors, custom built-in cabinetry plus a great room open to dining room & efficient galley

Key facts

  • Slate floors
  • 50 mile views
  • Private acre

Tags

50 MILE VIEWSPRIVATE ACREMULTILEVEL WRAP DECKSOVERSIZED BONUS ROOMOPEN PLANSLATE FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subject to deed restrictions and right of way; Located in Candlewood Lake subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Under-house garage (1 garage); Driveway parking (paved and gravel); Off-street parking; Unpaved parking; Total parking spaces: 10
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Above-ground fuel tank; Active solar; Generator; Programmable thermostat; Storm doors; Thermopane windows
  • Home design: Single-family home; Walk-to-water and water community access with beach rights and views; Located on a cul-de-sac; Borders open space; Level, treed lot
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Flat roof
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Vertical siding; Federal Blue exterior color

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating; Heat fuel: Electric and oil; Oil domestic hot water
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Cable available; Two fireplaces; Thermostat(s) (home automation)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.25M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $16k ($190k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($30k rent vs $1.25M).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Sherman School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #87 of 192 in CT (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Sherman School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #137 of 553 statewide, top 28%, 264 students, 2% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $134k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $125k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $350k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$215k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $1,250,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  3. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  4. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
21.51%
Cash-on-cash
54.35%
DSCR
3.42
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,385,499
List price
$1,250,000
Delta
-9.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Skyline Dr 0.46mi 3/3.0 3,068 (+6%) 13mo $1,350,000 $440 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.3%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$1,690,364
Equity at exit
$1,126,099
10-year hold
IRR
61.0%
Equity multiple
12.95×
Total profit
$4,183,824
Equity at exit
$2,428,475

Cash invested: $350,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06784

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$30,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,555
Tax from tax record
$772 /mo · $9,266/yr
Insurance
$521
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$6,300
Net cashflow
$15,852

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,934
Max offer price $1,250,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $16,559 -5% $16,206 +0% $15,852 +5% $15,498 +10% $15,144
Rent -10% $13,482 -5% $14,667 +0% $15,852 +5% $17,037 +10% $18,222
Rate -1.0pp $16,481 -0.5pp $16,170 base $15,852 +0.5pp $15,528 +1.0pp $15,198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$312,500
Closing costs
$37,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Echo Dr New Milford, CT 4.0 4.5 3231 $30,000 $9.29 44d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $1,250,000 Active 1 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 106 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,250,000 Active 105 DOM
  15. 2026-02-14
    listed $1,250,000 Active 1528-char remark
  16. 2026-02-12
    historical
  17. 2025-11-04
    price $1,395,000
  18. 2025-10-13
    listed $1,595,000 Active
  19. 2025-10-12
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,266 · $772/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$18,008 · $1,501/mo
Expected delta
+$8,742/yr (+$728/mo · 94.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$360,000
− Mortgage interest
−$70,019
− Property taxes
−$9,266
− Insurance
−$6,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$28,800
− Management
−$28,800
− Depreciation
−$36,364
Taxable income
$180,501
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$43,320
After-tax cash flow
$146,902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sherman School District
NCES district ID
0904080
Math proficiency
55% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$105,552
Composite
56.01/100
National rank
#2563
State rank
#87 of 192 in CT

Livability — Sherman

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
3,525
Population (ZIP)
3,525

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.90%
Current HPI
284.0569
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $1,250,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-14 Listed $1,250,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $1,395,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $1,595,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-10-12 Coming Soon Smart MLS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $9,266 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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