🌊 Lakefront
35 Skyline Dr · Sherman, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
It's All About the Views!Fabulous Price Reduction on this one of a kind, custom built contemporary with extraordinary 50 mile views in all directions. Set in the Lake community of Candlewood Lake Estates, this stately Contemporary, set on a private acre plus an additional lot (. 82 acs), at the end of a cul-de-sac, is just waiting for your customization. This incredible setting hosts this 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath custom designed home with multilevel wrap decks & balconies and an oversized bonus room for great family fun center or studio for the artist/photographer. An open plan showcases. slate floors, custom built-in cabinetry plus a great room open to dining room & efficient galley
Key facts
- Slate floors
- 50 mile views
- Private acre
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subject to deed restrictions and right of way; Located in Candlewood Lake subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Under-house garage (1 garage); Driveway parking (paved and gravel); Off-street parking; Unpaved parking; Total parking spaces: 10
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Above-ground fuel tank; Active solar; Generator; Programmable thermostat; Storm doors; Thermopane windows
- Home design: Single-family home; Walk-to-water and water community access with beach rights and views; Located on a cul-de-sac; Borders open space; Level, treed lot
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Flat roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Vertical siding; Federal Blue exterior color
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating; Heat fuel: Electric and oil; Oil domestic hot water
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Cable available; Two fireplaces; Thermostat(s) (home automation)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.25M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $16k ($190k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($30k rent vs $1.25M).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Sherman School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #87 of 192 in CT (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Sherman School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #137 of 553 statewide, top 28%, 264 students, 2% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $134k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $125k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $350k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$215k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.35%
- DSCR
- 3.42
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,385,499
- List price
- $1,250,000
- Delta
- -9.78%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Skyline Dr | 0.46mi | 3/3.0 | 3,068 (+6%) | 13mo | $1,350,000 | $440 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.83×
- Total profit
- $1,690,364
- Equity at exit
- $1,126,099
- IRR
- 61.0%
- Equity multiple
- 12.95×
- Total profit
- $4,183,824
- Equity at exit
- $2,428,475
Cash invested: $350,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06784
- Home prices YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $30,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,555
- Tax from tax record
- −$772 /mo · $9,266/yr
- Insurance
- −$521
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$6,300
- Net cashflow
- $15,852
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $16,559 | -5% $16,206 | +0% $15,852 | +5% $15,498 | +10% $15,144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13,482 | -5% $14,667 | +0% $15,852 | +5% $17,037 | +10% $18,222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16,481 | -0.5pp $16,170 | base $15,852 | +0.5pp $15,528 | +1.0pp $15,198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $312,500
- Closing costs
- $37,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Echo Dr New Milford, CT | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3231 | $30,000 | $9.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-18days on market $1,250,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $1,250,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $1,250,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $1,250,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,250,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,250,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $1,250,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $1,250,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $1,250,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $1,250,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $1,250,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $1,250,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $1,250,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $1,250,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-02-14$1,250,000 Active 1528-char remark
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2026-02-12historical
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2025-11-04price $1,395,000
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2025-10-13$1,595,000 Active
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2025-10-12historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,266 · $772/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,008 · $1,501/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8,742/yr (+$728/mo · 94.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $360,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$70,019
- − Property taxes
- −$9,266
- − Insurance
- −$6,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$28,800
- − Management
- −$28,800
- − Depreciation
- −$36,364
- Taxable income
- $180,501
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$43,320
- After-tax cash flow
- $146,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherman School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904080
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $105,552
- Composite
- 56.01/100
- National rank
- #2563
- State rank
- #87 of 192 in CT
Livability — Sherman
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,525
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,525
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.90%
- Current HPI
- 284.0569
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
-21.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $1,250,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-02-14 Listed $1,250,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $1,395,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $1,595,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-10-12 Coming Soon — Smart MLS
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2023): $9,266 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…