6 Highridge · Blasdell, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-Bed, 1-Bath Mobile Home in Frontier School District – Move-In Ready! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. The kitchen is a true showstopper with a brand-new stove and sink, gorgeous butcher block countertops, an island, and a mini wine cooler—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. Throughout the home, you’ll find updated flooring in the kitchen, hallway, and living room, brand-new carpet in the master bedroom, and a renovated bathroom with dual sinks and fresh tile. The home comes with a Samsung washer and dryer, a leather sofa, and a flat-screen TV, so all you need to bring is your clothes. Step outside to a large deck that’s perfect for relaxing or hosting, with a spacious garage and two driveway parking spots for convenience. Located in the highly rated Frontier School District, this home sits in a friendly, low-crime neighborhood with peaceful surroundings. Lot rent is $795 per month, which includes water and garbage, with electric and gas paid separately. This home offers comfort, style, and value all in one—your perfect place to relax, entertain, and truly feel at home.
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Renovated bathroom
- Mini wine cooler
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $778 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 4.5% in Blasdell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#643 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Frontier Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #301 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.71%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $40,881
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 95.45%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 S Roxbury Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $43 | 88 |
| 32 Brookridge Dr | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 2mo | $37,250 | $40 | 87 |
| 50 S Roxbury Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 6mo | $84,900 | $92 | 87 |
| 52 Waterview Pkwy | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $70 | 84 |
| 10 Vibernum Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 10mo | $23,500 | $25 | 81 |
| 32 Waterview Pkwy | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+1%) | 8mo | $25,000 | $27 | 76 |
| 2 Vibernum Dr | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 10mo | $26,000 | $28 | 76 |
| 37 Waterview Pkwy | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 11mo | $56,000 | $61 | 75 |
| 17 Rippleway Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (+12%) | 1mo | $28,000 | $27 | 74 |
| 87 Waterview Pkwy | 0.23mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 11mo | $46,000 | $50 | 73 |
| 8 N Eaglecrest Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 13mo | $31,000 | $34 | 69 |
| 69 S Eaglecrest Dr | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 994 (+8%) | 3mo | $52,500 | $53 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $40,359
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 48.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.15×
- Total profit
- $115,148
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14075
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,658 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $964/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $778
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3580 Sowles Rd Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4819 Southwestern Blvd Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,055 | $1.76 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4600 Southwestern Blvd Hamburg, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,750 | $2.41 | 2d | 13 | 1.13mi |
| 4591 Southwestern Blvd Hamburg, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $1,415 | $1.92 | 2d | 12 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-03-29price $79,900 1225-char remark
Show marketing remark (1225 chars)
Charming 3-Bed, 1-Bath Mobile Home in Frontier School District – Move-In Ready! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. The kitchen is a true showstopper with a brand-new stove and sink, gorgeous butcher block countertops, an island, and a mini wine cooler—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. Throughout the home, you’ll find updated flooring in the kitchen, hallway, and living room, brand-new carpet in the master bedroom, and a renovated bathroom with dual sinks and fresh tile. The home comes with a Samsung washer and dryer, a leather sofa, and a flat-screen TV, so all you need to bring is your clothes. Step outside to a large deck that’s perfect for relaxing or hosting, with a spacious garage and two driveway parking spots for convenience. Located in the highly rated Frontier School District, this home sits in a friendly, low-crime neighborhood with peaceful surroundings. Lot rent is $795 per month, which includes water and garbage, with electric and gas paid separately. This home offers comfort, style, and value all in one—your perfect place to relax, entertain, and truly feel at home.
-
2026-03-14price $89,900 1225-char remark
Show marketing remark (1225 chars)
Charming 3-Bed, 1-Bath Mobile Home in Frontier School District – Move-In Ready! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. The kitchen is a true showstopper with a brand-new stove and sink, gorgeous butcher block countertops, an island, and a mini wine cooler—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. Throughout the home, you’ll find updated flooring in the kitchen, hallway, and living room, brand-new carpet in the master bedroom, and a renovated bathroom with dual sinks and fresh tile. The home comes with a Samsung washer and dryer, a leather sofa, and a flat-screen TV, so all you need to bring is your clothes. Step outside to a large deck that’s perfect for relaxing or hosting, with a spacious garage and two driveway parking spots for convenience. Located in the highly rated Frontier School District, this home sits in a friendly, low-crime neighborhood with peaceful surroundings. Lot rent is $795 per month, which includes water and garbage, with electric and gas paid separately. This home offers comfort, style, and value all in one—your perfect place to relax, entertain, and truly feel at home.
-
2026-02-24price $94,900 1225-char remark
Show marketing remark (1225 chars)
Charming 3-Bed, 1-Bath Mobile Home in Frontier School District – Move-In Ready! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. The kitchen is a true showstopper with a brand-new stove and sink, gorgeous butcher block countertops, an island, and a mini wine cooler—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. Throughout the home, you’ll find updated flooring in the kitchen, hallway, and living room, brand-new carpet in the master bedroom, and a renovated bathroom with dual sinks and fresh tile. The home comes with a Samsung washer and dryer, a leather sofa, and a flat-screen TV, so all you need to bring is your clothes. Step outside to a large deck that’s perfect for relaxing or hosting, with a spacious garage and two driveway parking spots for convenience. Located in the highly rated Frontier School District, this home sits in a friendly, low-crime neighborhood with peaceful surroundings. Lot rent is $795 per month, which includes water and garbage, with electric and gas paid separately. This home offers comfort, style, and value all in one—your perfect place to relax, entertain, and truly feel at home.
-
2026-02-11$99,000 Active 1225-char remark
Show marketing remark (1225 chars)
Charming 3-Bed, 1-Bath Mobile Home in Frontier School District – Move-In Ready! This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is ready for you to move in and enjoy. The kitchen is a true showstopper with a brand-new stove and sink, gorgeous butcher block countertops, an island, and a mini wine cooler—perfect for cooking, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. Throughout the home, you’ll find updated flooring in the kitchen, hallway, and living room, brand-new carpet in the master bedroom, and a renovated bathroom with dual sinks and fresh tile. The home comes with a Samsung washer and dryer, a leather sofa, and a flat-screen TV, so all you need to bring is your clothes. Step outside to a large deck that’s perfect for relaxing or hosting, with a spacious garage and two driveway parking spots for convenience. Located in the highly rated Frontier School District, this home sits in a friendly, low-crime neighborhood with peaceful surroundings. Lot rent is $795 per month, which includes water and garbage, with electric and gas paid separately. This home offers comfort, style, and value all in one—your perfect place to relax, entertain, and truly feel at home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $964 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,157 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$193/yr (+$16/mo · 20.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$964
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,592
- − Management
- −$1,592
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $8,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,053
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frontier Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611670
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,807
- Composite
- 47.36/100
- National rank
- #2291
- State rank
- #301 of 590 in NY
Livability — Blasdell
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #643
- US rank
- #12059
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,520
- Household income
- $83,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -261.10%
- Current HPI
- 300.2852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.21%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-19.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $79,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $89,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $94,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $99,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $964 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…