Multi-family
351-55 W 8th Ave · Escondido, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Fabulous & established 2 separate homes that are centrally located. Great buy! Terrific area for that special buyer who needs a lot of space, & they can live in 1 & rent the other. Outstanding buy! Please show & sell. Front unit has L/B. BEWARE OF DOG @ REAR HOME! Subject to cancellation of previous escrow.
Key facts
- Detached homes
- R-3 zoned lot
- Centrally located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with breed restrictions
Exterior
- Utilities: Connected to sewer
- Home design: Single-story multi-family residential income property (2 units)
- Construction: Stone construction; Built with composition roofing
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Partial fencing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $949 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $675k (3.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $675k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.4% in Escondido — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#238 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D+.
- Escondido Union High (suburban): math 19% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #247 of 517 in CA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,752/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 3295% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $76k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $309k; list at $699k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.82%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $995,976
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 E 15th Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,408 (-2%) | 10mo | $799,000 | $567 | 61 |
| 335 W 3rd | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-6%) | 7mo | $940,000 | $696 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-65,866
- Equity at exit
- $104,223
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-31,011
- Equity at exit
- $60,437
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92025
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 25.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,752 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$428 /mo · $5,139/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,418
- Net cashflow
- $949
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,345 | -5% $1,147 | +0% $949 | +5% $751 | +10% $553 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $416 | -5% $682 | +0% $949 | +5% $1,216 | +10% $1,482 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,301 | -0.5pp $1,127 | base $949 | +0.5pp $768 | +1.0pp $584 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2.0 | 1 | $6,753 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1 | $2,251 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1 | $2,251 |
| #3 | 2.0 | 1 | $2,251 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,752 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526 S Tulip St Unit 2 Escondido, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $3,475 | $2.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 700 W Grand Ave Escondido, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1228 | $3,904 | $3.18 | 0d | 10 | 0.63mi |
| 1580 S Juniper St Escondido, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1111 | $3,295 | $2.97 | 0d | 4 | 0.78mi |
| 101 Chamomile Gln Escondido, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1315 | $4,923 | $3.74 | 0d | 123 | 0.87mi |
| 120 Green Ave Escondido, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $3,995 | $3.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 120 Green Ave Escondido, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $3,995 | $3.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 832 N Juniper St Escondido, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 819 | $2,543 | $3.11 | 0d | 7 | 1.31mi |
| 624 E Mission Ave Escondido, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $3,000 | $2.97 | 0d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 776 E Mission Ave Escondido, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $3,033 | $2.89 | 0d | 7 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $699,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $699,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $699,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $699,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $699,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $699,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $699,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $699,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $699,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $715,000
-
2026-05-11price $720,000
-
2026-04-22price $740,000
-
2026-04-22$775,000 Active
-
2003-05-08soldstatus $309,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Fabulous & established 2 separate homes that are centrally located. Great buy! Terrific area for that special buyer who needs a lot of space, & they can live in 1 & rent the other. Outstanding buy! Please show & sell. Front unit has L/B. BEWARE OF DOG @ REAR HOME! Subject to cancellation of previous escrow.
-
2003-05-08soldstatus $309,000
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Fabulous & established 2 separate homes that are centrally located. Great buy! Terrific area for that special buyer who needs a lot of space, & they can live in 1 & rent the other. Outstanding buy! Please show & sell. Front unit has L/B. BEWARE OF DOG @ REAR HOME! Subject to cancellation of previous escrow.
-
2003-03-19historical
-
2003-03-19historical
-
2003-01-13$315,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Fabulous & established 2 separate homes that are centrally located. Great buy! Terrific area for that special buyer who needs a lot of space, & they can live in 1 & rent the other. Outstanding buy! Please show & sell. Front unit has L/B. BEWARE OF DOG @ REAR HOME! Subject to cancellation of previous escrow.
-
2002-06-17$315,000
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2002-06-17$315,000
-
2002-05-30soldstatus $245,000
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2002-05-30soldstatus $245,000
-
2002-04-11$245,000
-
1976-10-15soldstatus $44,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,139 · $428/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,312 · $443/mo
- Expected delta
- +$173/yr (+$14/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $81,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$5,139
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,482
- − Management
- −$6,482
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable loss
- −$63
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escondido Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0612910
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,731
- Composite
- 32.82/100
- National rank
- #5620
- State rank
- #247 of 517 in CA
Livability — Escondido
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #238
- US rank
- #7829
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Escondido, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 177,903
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,989
- Household income
- $81,106
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3295.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 33% Two or more races 27% Asian 5% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 38% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -603.83%
- Current HPI
- 371.8986
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.07%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+1506.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $715,000 SDMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $720,000 SDMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $740,000 SDMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $775,000 SDMLS
- 2003-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $309,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-08 Sold (MLS) $309,000 CRMLS
- 2003-03-19 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2003-03-19 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2003-01-13 Listed $315,000 CRMLS
- 2002-06-17 Listed $315,000 SDMLS
- 2002-06-17 Listed $315,000 CRMLS
- 2002-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2002-05-30 Sold (MLS) $245,000 CRMLS
- 2002-04-11 Listed $245,000 CRMLS
- 1976-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,139 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…