3111 W 36th Ave · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss out on this spacious 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bath home featuring living room, plus den with fireplace, covered front porch and patio, 2 car garage plus carport in the rear, partially fenced yard and outside storage area. HUD Owned Property, Case #031-395257, agents please READ confidential remarks for showing instructions and offer submission information. HUD Homes are sold As-Is.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Patio
- Outside storage area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Potential financing: other (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Carport; Additional parking (see remarks)
- Utilities: Utilities: other (see remarks)
- Home design: Brick and frame combination exterior
- Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Outside storage area; Paved road access; Level lot; Located inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Other (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling; Central heating
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Gas water heater; Wood-burning site-built fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 9.0% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Pine Bluff School District (urban): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #236 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.29%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,888
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3111 W 36th Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 2,313 (+0%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $37 | 97 |
| 7 Laffite Cv | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,393 (+4%) | 11mo | $172,000 | $72 | 75 |
| 10 La Salle Cv | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,499 (+8%) | 9mo | $13,500 | $5 | 72 |
| 4000 S Holly St | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 2,258 (-2%) | 15mo | $192,000 | $85 | 65 |
| 3800 Royal Forrest Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,216 (-4%) | 14mo | $168,500 | $76 | 63 |
| 3904 Royal Forest Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,015 (-12%) | 1mo | $172,500 | $86 | 54 |
| 2212 W 36th Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,124 (-8%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $71 | 49 |
| 3804 Royal Forest Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,114 (-8%) | 20mo | $159,000 | $75 | 47 |
| 2205 W 34th Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,088 (-9%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $74 | 47 |
| 23 Southwood | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 2,100 (-9%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $57 | 45 |
| 4008 S Fir St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,040 (-12%) | 19mo | $144,500 | $71 | 35 |
| 2001 W 34th Ave | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 | 2,581 (+12%) | 9mo | $53,500 | $21 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $15,649
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $51,534
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71603
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,303 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,037/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-04status Under Contract
-
2026-04-10status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
-
2026-03-28$85,000 New Listing
-
2025-06-06soldstatus $151,965
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,037
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,251
- − Management
- −$1,251
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,439
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,065
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,477/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pine Bluff School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500026
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,374
- Composite
- 5.86/100
- National rank
- #10014
- State rank
- #236 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- County
- Jefferson County · 29,578 people
- City population
- 29,578
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,578
- Household income
- $53,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 206.5994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-44.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
- 2025-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $151,965 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,037 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…