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1530 E 12th St Duplex
B- Composite 66.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,900

1530 E 12th St · Lehigh Acres, FL 33972
None bd · None ba · 1,788 sqft · MultiFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 1981 Average condition 10,300 sqft lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Please come and see this amazing duplex that has been updated inside and out. Also fully rented at great prices too.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1981
  • Listed 37 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit property; Tenants pay cable TV and electricity; Pets allowed with no restrictions

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Two separate electric meters
  • Home design: Duplex; Single-story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Building area approximately 1,788 (assessor)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet and tile
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Carpet and tile flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $245k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $366/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 1620 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,068/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 190% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $237,553 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.80%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$14,297
Equity at exit
$36,515
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$104,286
Equity at exit
$21,174

Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33972

Home prices YoY
-13.6%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
1620
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,068 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,284
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,674/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$644
Net cashflow
$731

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,142
Max offer price $244,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $901 -5% $816 +0% $731 +5% $647 +10% $562
Rent -10% $489 -5% $610 +0% $731 +5% $852 +10% $974
Rate -1.0pp $855 -0.5pp $794 base $731 +0.5pp $668 +1.0pp $603

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,068

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,225
Closing costs
$7,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1943 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,850 $1.16 25d 1 0.39mi
1004 E 10th St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1406 $2,100 $1.49 12d 1 0.66mi
805 E 13th St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,795 $1.28 4d 1 0.70mi
1407 8th Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1892 $2,300 $1.22 25d 1 0.93mi
414 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,500 $1.22 25d 1 0.94mi
503 E 13th St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,300 $1.84 25d 1 0.96mi
301 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,700 $1.30 25d 1 1.11mi
808 Greenwood Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,800 $1.27 25d 1 1.15mi
702 Broadway Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2394 $1,650 $0.69 25d 1 1.20mi
809 Lincoln Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2192 $2,775 $1.27 25d 1 1.23mi
1224 Hamilton Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,595 $1.18 17d 1 1.29mi
609 Maple Ave N Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1497 $2,050 $1.37 25d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $244,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $244,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $244,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $244,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $244,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $244,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $244,900 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $244,900 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $244,900 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $244,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $244,900 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $244,900 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $244,900 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $244,900
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $275,000 Active
  16. 2025-07-15
    historical
  17. 2024-07-15
    listed $359,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,816
− Mortgage interest
−$13,718
− Property taxes
−$3,674
− Insurance
−$1,224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,945
− Management
−$2,945
− Depreciation
−$7,124
Taxable income
$5,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,244
After-tax cash flow
$7,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

A well-maintained but dated duplex with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — Weathered but not damaged
  • Minor Paint — Faded but not peeling

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Re-carpeting or flooring upgrade — Improves living space and rental appeal
  • Both Painting interior walls — Enhances interior aesthetics and rental appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered but not damaged Minor $500–3,000
Paint · Faded but not peeling Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Re-carpeting or flooring upgrade — Improves living space and rental appeal
  • Both Painting interior walls — Enhances interior aesthetics and rental appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,285
Household income
$73,819
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
190.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 21% Black 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 18%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 6% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.97%
Current HPI
343.484
Rent YoY
▲ 5.33%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $244,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $275,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-07-15 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Listed $359,900 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…