Duplex
1530 E 12th St · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Please come and see this amazing duplex that has been updated inside and out. Also fully rented at great prices too.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1981
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Tenants pay cable TV and electricity; Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Two separate electric meters
- Home design: Duplex; Single-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Building area approximately 1,788 (assessor)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Not waterfront
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet and tile
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Attic fan
- Interior features: Carpet and tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $245k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $366/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $238k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 1620 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,068/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 190% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.80%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $14,297
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $104,286
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33972
- Home prices YoY
- -13.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 1620
- Price-to-rent
- 13.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$306 /mo · $3,674/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$644
- Net cashflow
- $731
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $901 | -5% $816 | +0% $731 | +5% $647 | +10% $562 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $489 | -5% $610 | +0% $731 | +5% $852 | +10% $974 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $855 | -0.5pp $794 | base $731 | +0.5pp $668 | +1.0pp $603 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,068 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,534 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,534 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,068 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1943 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1004 E 10th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 805 E 13th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,795 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1407 8th Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1892 | $2,300 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 414 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 503 E 13th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 301 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 808 Greenwood Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 702 Broadway Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2394 | $1,650 | $0.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 809 Lincoln Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2192 | $2,775 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1224 Hamilton Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,595 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 609 Maple Ave N Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $244,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $244,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $244,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $244,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $244,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $244,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $244,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $244,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $244,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $244,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $244,900
-
2026-05-15$275,000 Active
-
2025-07-15historical
-
2024-07-15$359,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$3,674
- − Insurance
- −$1,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,945
- − Management
- −$2,945
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable income
- $5,185
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,244
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
A well-maintained but dated duplex with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Weathered but not damaged
- Minor Paint — Faded but not peeling
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Re-carpeting or flooring upgrade — Improves living space and rental appeal
- Both Painting interior walls — Enhances interior aesthetics and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Weathered but not damaged | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint · Faded but not peeling | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Re-carpeting or flooring upgrade — Improves living space and rental appeal ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Enhances interior aesthetics and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,285
- Household income
- $73,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 190.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 21% Black 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 18%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.97%
- Current HPI
- 343.484
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.33%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-32.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $244,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $275,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-07-15 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-07-15 Listed $359,900 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…