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1054 Mail Ave
B Composite 73.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

1054 Mail Ave · Woodbury Heights, NJ 08096
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1930 $158/sqft · 38% below area Est $308k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTOR ALERT / HANDYMAN SPECIAL! This 3 bedroom, 1/1 bath Colonial is perfect for investors or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. The property offers tons of potential. Being sold strictly as-is, where-is. Buyer is responsible for all inspections, certifications, and the Certificate of Occupancy (CO).

Key facts

  • Built 1930
  • Listed 37 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,200 (assessor)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Above grade and below grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 49 x 0

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heating system: Other (oil-fired fuel); Hot water provided by natural gas
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#183 in NJ, #4,954 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Deptford Township Public School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #326 of 472 in NJ (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.16%
Cash-on-cash
13.81%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$308,237
List price
$190,000
Delta
-38.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1054 Mail Ave 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,200 (0%) 0mo $190,000 $158 100
148 Lincoln Rd 0.29mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,267 (+6%) 2mo $350,000 $276 68
1412 Glassboro Rd 0.29mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,267 (+6%) 11mo $310,000 $245 62
853 Mail Avenue Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,276 (+6%) 2mo $160,000 $125 61
1190 Cattell Rd 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+1%) 5mo $352,000 $289 60
158 Carver Dr 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,267 (+6%) 18mo $320,000 $253 58
114 Brookfield Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,309 (+9%) 15mo $335,900 $257 58
884 Boundary Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,276 (+6%) 4mo $353,000 $277 56
1114 Glassboro Rd 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,069 (-11%) 11mo $310,000 $290 54
724 Park 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+7%) 11mo $320,000 $250 53
525 Westminster Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+11%) 4mo $365,000 $274 42
205 E Buttonwood St 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,288 (+7%) 13mo $304,000 $236 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$8,309
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$57,831
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08096

Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,545 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$323 /mo · $3,871/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$534
Net cashflow
$612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,770
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
523 Chestnut Ave Woodbury Heights, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $3,007 $3.24 1d 138 0.48mi
1482 Glassboro Rd Unit A Wenonah, NJ 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 1d 1 0.66mi
752 Howard Ave Unit 1 Wenonah, NJ 3.0 1.0 1150 $2,525 $2.20 2d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $190,000 Pending 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-04-30
    listed $190,000 Active 314-char remark
  8. 1978-05-01
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,871 · $323/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,301 · $358/mo
Expected delta
+$430/yr (+$36/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,540
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$3,871
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,443
− Management
−$2,443
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$4,663
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,119
After-tax cash flow
$6,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Deptford Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3403900
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$66,302
Composite
28.48/100
National rank
#6741
State rank
#326 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Woodbury Heights

Score
74/100
State rank
#183
US rank
#4954

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
City population
3,207
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
35,336
Household income
$89,013
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
1044.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -239.24%
Current HPI
269.1606
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+927.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1978-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,871 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…