1903 North Bayou Dr · Golden Meadow, LA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has lots of potential and just minutes away from some of the best fishing grounds Louisiana has to offer. This home and property is being sold AS/IS.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($287/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#46 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $803 of equity ($477 loan paydown + $326 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.98%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,142
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- 9.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $1,284
- Equity at exit
- $21,681
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $14,863
- Equity at exit
- $27,414
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70357
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $163/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2025-09-17$69,000 Active 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This home has lots of potential and just minutes away from some of the best fishing grounds Louisiana has to offer. This home and property is being sold AS/IS.
-
2025-09-17$69,000 Active
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This home has lots of potential and just minutes away from some of the best fishing grounds Louisiana has to offer. This home and property is being sold AS/IS.
-
2025-09-17$69,000 Active
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This home has lots of potential and just minutes away from some of the best fishing grounds Louisiana has to offer. This home and property is being sold AS/IS.
-
2024-11-08soldstatus Sold
-
2024-11-06soldstatus $50,000
-
2024-08-24status Pending
-
2024-05-03price $69,000
-
2024-03-05$79,000 Active
-
2024-03-05$69,000
-
2023-04-04historical
-
2022-10-03$99,900 Active
-
2022-10-03$99,900
-
2022-04-29soldstatus
-
2022-03-05$25,000
-
2022-03-05$25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $163 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $380 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- +$216/yr (+$18/mo · 132.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,982
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$163
- − Insurance
- −$5,464
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable loss
- −$594
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$143
- After-tax cash flow
- $429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Golden Meadow
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #6908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Golden Meadow, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,401
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 19% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.47%
- Current HPI
- 55.3337
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+176.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-17 Listed $69,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $69,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $69,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-11-08 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2024-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-24 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2024-05-03 Price Changed $69,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-03-05 Listed $69,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-03-05 Listed $79,000 GBRMLS
- 2023-04-04 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2022-10-03 Listed $99,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-10-03 Listed $99,900 GBRMLS
- 2022-04-29 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2022-03-05 Listed $25,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-03-05 Listed $25,000 GBRMLS
Property tax history
-12.4%/yrLatest (2024): $163 · -82.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…