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101 Opussum Ln
B+ Composite 77.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0

$35,900

101 Opussum Ln · Gold Key Lake, PA 18458
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · SingleFamily · 58 Days on market
Built 1985 Fair condition 4,356 sqft lot $90/sqft · 7% above area Est $34k · 7% over $163/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This clean, well maintained vacation RV is situated perfectly on corner lot with 2 driveways and a shed. Plenty of room and parking for family get togethers. On a very quiet, nicely shaded street in Trails End, you are still close enough to walk to the pool and all other amenities. This trailer features an oversized master bedroom, a bunk room for 2, nice big kitchen/living room, and a bath. Priced to sell, come take a look!!!!

Key facts

  • Hot water heater
  • Private oasis
  • Deck

Tags

CORNER LOTDECKCIRCULAR DRIVEWAYPRIVATE OASISNEW ROOFHOT WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is cleared, level, corner lot; road surfaces are gravel and paved on a private maintained road; lot dimensions approx. 25 x 100 x 35 x 103 (0.1 acre); Directions: Through guard gate to left on Clubhouse Drive. Go to stop sign. Make right onto Shohola Parkway. First right is Opossum. Site can be accessed on either street; Subdivision: Trails End
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with amenities including clubhouse, pool, recreation facilities, recreation room, playground, basketball court, shuffleboard court, trails, party and meeting rooms, trash service, and electricity; Annual association fee ($1,961); one-time fee $981; equivalent to about $163.42/month; Association fees include electricity, sewer, water, and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: 5 open parking spaces (driveway)
  • Security: 24-hour security; Security guard; Gated community with guard
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected (public sewer)
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Property is attached; Used for recreational purposes; Commercial zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asbestos shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Fire pit; Deck; Shed(s); Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 room total
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating
  • Interior features: Gas oven; Refrigerator; Carpet and laminate flooring; Has heating (propane)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.7% vs local median 6.1% in Gold Key Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#789 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Delaware Valley SD (rural): math 41% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #121 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($248 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,823 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.50%
Cap rate
25.71%
Cash-on-cash
69.34%
DSCR
4.09
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$33,628
List price
$35,900
Delta
6.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3209 Chickasaw Ln Unit 3209 Chickasaw Lane 0.07mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 22mo $31,000 $78 78
121 Woodpecker Ln 0.35mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 6mo $71,500 $179 78
200 Shohola Ln 0.32mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 9mo $49,900 $125 78
112 Aztec Dr 0.33mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 9mo $42,000 $105 77
154 Navajo Ln Lot 3312 0.15mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 20mo $49,000 $123 76
124 Mohican Dr 0.60mi 2/1.0 (+1) 400 (0%) 2mo $65,000 $163 66
4122 Apache Ln 0.41mi 1/1.0 380 (-5%) 9mo $50,000 $132 65
Lot 4122 Apache Dr Lot 4122 Apache Drive 0.37mi 1/1.0 380 (-5%) 23mo $46,500 $122 56
126 Pequest Rd 0.40mi 1/1.0 350 (-12%) 9mo $33,000 $94 53
151 Crow Ln Lot 4624 0.72mi 2/1.0 (+1) 400 (0%) 16mo $34,000 $85 48
1128 Squirrel Ln Unit 1128 Squirrel Lane 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 340 (-15%) 21mo $26,000 $76 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.5%
Equity multiple
6.64×
Total profit
$56,663
Equity at exit
$32,342
10-year hold
IRR
74.8%
Equity multiple
14.73×
Total profit
$138,010
Equity at exit
$69,746

Cash invested: $10,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18458

Home prices YoY
13.2%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$188
Tax est. 1.5%
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$163
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$581

Break-even live

Break-even rent $520
Max offer price $35,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $606 -5% $593 +0% $581 +5% $568 +10% $556
Rent -10% $482 -5% $531 +0% $581 +5% $630 +10% $680
Rate -1.0pp $599 -0.5pp $590 base $581 +0.5pp $572 +1.0pp $562

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,975
Closing costs
$1,077
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$163 · $1,956/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $35,900 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,900 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,900 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,900 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,900 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $35,900 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,900 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,900 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,900 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,900 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $35,900 Active 621-char remark
  17. 2020-03-29
    soldstatus 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    This clean, well maintained vacation RV is situated perfectly on corner lot with 2 driveways and a shed. Plenty of room and parking for family get togethers. On a very quiet, nicely shaded street in Trails End, you are still close enough to walk to the pool and all other amenities. This trailer features an oversized master bedroom, a bunk room for 2, nice big kitchen/living room, and a bath. Priced to sell, come take a look!!!!

  18. 2019-12-17
    listed $19,500 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    This clean, well maintained vacation RV is situated perfectly on corner lot with 2 driveways and a shed. Plenty of room and parking for family get togethers. On a very quiet, nicely shaded street in Trails End, you are still close enough to walk to the pool and all other amenities. This trailer features an oversized master bedroom, a bunk room for 2, nice big kitchen/living room, and a bath. Priced to sell, come take a look!!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,067
− Mortgage interest
−$2,011
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,205
− Management
−$1,205
− HOA
−$1,956
− Depreciation
−$1,044
Taxable income
$6,927
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,662
After-tax cash flow
$5,307/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathroom, exterior, flooring, and interior walls. Upgrades in these areas will significantly enhance the home's resale and rental potential.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely worn and outdated
  • Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
  • Moderate exterior siding — rusty and worn
  • Major flooring — worn and outdated carpet
  • Major interior walls — dated wallpaper
  • Major landscaping — bare ground and sparse trees

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale new bathroom fixtures — updates the bathroom and adds value
  • Resale new flooring — modernizes the living space and adds value
  • Both paint interior walls — updates the interior and adds value
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely worn and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · rusty and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
flooring · worn and outdated carpet Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · dated wallpaper Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · bare ground and sparse trees Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $78,000–265,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale new bathroom fixtures — updates the bathroom and adds value
  • Resale new flooring — modernizes the living space and adds value
  • Both paint interior walls — updates the interior and adds value
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Delaware Valley SD
NCES district ID
4207530
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$64,202
Composite
46.95/100
National rank
#2359
State rank
#121 of 539 in PA

Livability — Gold Key Lake

Score
70/100
State rank
#789
US rank
#7969

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,576

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.80%
Current HPI
272.6294
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+84.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $35,900 PWMLS
  • 2020-03-29 Sold (MLS) PWMLS
  • 2019-12-17 Listed $19,500 PWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…