Clayton Rutledge 128 Saddle Creek Plan · Dothan, AL 36303

$155,908

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Manufactured · 224 Days on market

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Spacious pantry
• Cozy atmosphere
• Listed 223 days

Tags

• SUNLIT EAT-IN KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS PANTRY
• COZY ATMOSPHERE

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $155,908

Exterior

• Utilities: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Home design: New construction plan; Located in Dothan, AL (zip 36303)
• Construction: Living area approximately 1400
• Exterior features: Shake roof

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Plan home (Clayton Rutledge 128 Saddle Creek)

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $156k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($477/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (9.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $137k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
• Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $137,199 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.91% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.60%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.09%
• DSCR: 1.05
• GRM: 9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.48×
• Total profit: $-22,710
• Equity at exit: $23,246

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-16,428
• Equity at exit: $13,480

Cash invested: $43,654 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36303

• Active inventory: 233
• Price-to-rent: 9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,414 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$818
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$195 /mo · $2,339/yr
• Insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$297
• Net cashflow: $40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,364

Max offer price $155,908

Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $38,977
• Closing costs: $4,677
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
111 Harness Cv Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1387	$1,399	$1.01	43d	1	0.02mi
153 Heyward Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1456	$3,800	$2.61	43d	1	0.84mi
2151 Westgate Pkwy Dothan, AL	2.0	1.0–2.0	1246	$1,084	$0.87	43d	4	0.88mi
1304 Cornell Ave Dothan, AL	2.0	1.0–1.5	1028	$975	$0.95	43d	7	1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-16
   days on market $155,908 Active 224 DOM
2. 2026-06-15
   days on market $155,908 Active 223 DOM
3. 2026-06-14
   days on market $155,908 Active 221 DOM
4. 2026-06-12
   days on market $155,908 Active 220 DOM
5. 2026-06-09
   days on market $155,908 Active 217 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $155,908 Active 216 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $155,908 Active 215 DOM
8. 2026-06-05
   listed $155,908 Active 212 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,970
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,733
• − Property taxes: −$2,339
• − Insurance: −$780
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,358
• − Management: −$1,358
• − Depreciation: −$4,536
• Taxable loss: −$2,132
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$512
• After-tax cash flow: $989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dothan City
• NCES district ID: 0101230
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,279
• Composite: 24.56/100
• National rank: #7640
• State rank: #73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #146
• US rank: #13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dothan, AL
• County: Houston County · 47,783 people
• City population: 47,783
• Metro: Dothan, AL
• Population (ZIP): 30,173
• Household income: $54,147
• Rent vs Own: 41.3% rent · 58.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1156.0

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 110,280 people
• By 2030: 112,668 · +2.2%
• By 2040: 116,149 · +5.3%
• By 2050: 117,805 · +6.8%
• By 2075: 118,577 · +7.5%
• By 2100: 110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Black 41% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -121.35%
• Current HPI: 182.6482
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Dothan, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B