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1790 E Chestnut St
B Composite 72.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,000

1790 E Chestnut St · Canton, IL 61520
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · Other public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1931 0.32 ac lot $85/sqft · 21% below area Est $120k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2BR, EXCELLENT CONDITION; NEWER CARPET;REPLACEMENT WINDOWS & DOORS; NEWER ROOF; ALL NATURAL WOODWORK; FAMILY RM AREA IN BSMNT. CHEST FREEZER & PIANO STAY, NO WARRANTY. FENCED BACK YARD; 10X16 SALT BOX SHED. CHARM OF AN OLDER HOME, BUT MOVE-IN CONDITION. PRICED TO SELL!

Key facts

  • Hardwood floors
  • New roof
  • Replacement windows

Tags

REPLACEMENT WINDOWSHARDWOOD FLOORSNEW ROOFSHED ON PROPERTY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1931; Single story main living with upper, lower, basement and additional level areas
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions about 87 x 159

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (vinyl flooring)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Bedroom sizes approximately 12 x 10, 13 x 12, and 10 x 9; carpeted
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living and dining rooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen; Carpet in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 7.8% in Canton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Eastview Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 265 students, 0% FRL); Ingersoll Middle School (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #405 of 665 statewide, top 61%, 645 students, 0% FRL); Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
9.96%
Cash-on-cash
13.08%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,354
List price
$82,000
Delta
-31.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$2,750
Equity at exit
$12,226
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$23,319
Equity at exit
$7,090

Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$430
Tax from tax record
$234 /mo · $2,803/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $883
Max offer price $82,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $297 -5% $273 +0% $250 +5% $227 +10% $204
Rent -10% $155 -5% $203 +0% $250 +5% $298 +10% $345
Rate -1.0pp $292 -0.5pp $271 base $250 +0.5pp $229 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,500
Closing costs
$2,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
437 N 8th Ave Canton, IL 2.0 1.0 690 $1,200 $1.74 15d 1 1.01mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $82,000 Active 485-char remark
  2. 2017-01-03
    historical
  3. 2002-11-15
    soldstatus $63,500
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    2BR, EXCELLENT CONDITION; NEWER CARPET;REPLACEMENT WINDOWS & DOORS; NEWER ROOF; ALL NATURAL WOODWORK; FAMILY RM AREA IN BSMNT. CHEST FREEZER & PIANO STAY, NO WARRANTY. FENCED BACK YARD; 10X16 SALT BOX SHED. CHARM OF AN OLDER HOME, BUT MOVE-IN CONDITION. PRICED TO SELL!

  4. 2002-08-19
    listed $64,500
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    2BR, EXCELLENT CONDITION; NEWER CARPET;REPLACEMENT WINDOWS & DOORS; NEWER ROOF; ALL NATURAL WOODWORK; FAMILY RM AREA IN BSMNT. CHEST FREEZER & PIANO STAY, NO WARRANTY. FENCED BACK YARD; 10X16 SALT BOX SHED. CHARM OF AN OLDER HOME, BUT MOVE-IN CONDITION. PRICED TO SELL!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,803 · $234/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,803 · $234/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$4,593
− Property taxes
−$2,803
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$2,385
Taxable income
$1,904
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$457
After-tax cash flow
$2,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $82,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-03 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-11-15 Sold (MLS) $63,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-08-19 Listed $64,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,803 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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