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951 Reaves St
B+ Composite 79.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$72,000

951 Reaves St · Jackson, MS 39204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,169 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 339 Days on market
Built 1952 0.30 ac lot $62/sqft · 135% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single family home has 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Features Linoleum/Vinyl Flooring, Wood Flooring, Eat-In Kitchen/Nook, Living/Dining Combo.

Key facts

  • Wood flooring
  • Eat in kitchen nook
  • Living dining combo

Tags

LINOLEUM VINYL FLOORINGWOOD FLOORINGEAT IN KITCHEN NOOKLIVING DINING COMBO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,194/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1099% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 339 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 7479% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 339 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.92%
Cash-on-cash
27.26%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$31,497
List price
$72,000
Delta
128.59%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2805 Engleside Dr 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+3%) 0mo $54,200 $45 86
2566 Mcdowell Cir 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,204 (+3%) 3mo $35,000 $29 86
2813 Brookwood Dr 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,141 (-2%) 3mo $45,000 $39 69
2716 Woodside Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,184 (+1%) 0mo $54,900 $46 68
1319 Dorgan St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,131 (-3%) 1mo $65,000 $57 67
2677 Shannon St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,032 (-12%) 2mo $60,000 $58 66
2612 Emerald Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (-4%) 6mo $55,000 $49 65
2524 Coronet Pl 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,190 (+2%) 3mo $30,000 $25 64
2416 Paden St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,178 (+1%) 0mo $84,900 $72 63
2647 Glenn St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-10%) 2mo $14,500 $14 49
2842 Teresa Dr 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-14%) 2mo $35,000 $35 48
2877 Teresa Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,006 (-14%) 4mo $105,000 $104 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.9%
Equity multiple
4.71×
Total profit
$74,700
Equity at exit
$64,863
10-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
11.55×
Total profit
$212,701
Equity at exit
$139,880

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39204

Home prices YoY
8.0%
Rents YoY
13.6%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,194 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $935/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $615
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
843 Reaves St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,084 $0.77 43d 1 0.22mi
2858 Fairhill Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 43d 1 0.33mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 13d 1 0.38mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 43d 1 0.38mi
2786 Brookwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1003 $1,100 $1.10 43d 1 0.43mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 13d 1 0.44mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 23d 1 0.44mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.62mi
2401 Coronet Pl Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 0.63mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 13d 1 0.68mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 23d 1 0.68mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1300 $950 $0.73 43d 1 0.73mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 13d 1 0.78mi
225 W McDowell Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 18 0.83mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.87mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 13d 1 0.87mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1182 $950 $0.80 23d 1 0.89mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1182 $950 $0.80 13d 1 0.89mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 13d 1 0.90mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 43d 1 0.90mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,200 $0.92 13d 1 0.93mi
267 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1165 $1,100 $0.94 43d 1 0.97mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1474 $1,306 $0.89 13d 1 0.98mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1421 $1,100 $0.77 43d 1 0.98mi
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,236 $0.97 43d 1 1.04mi
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 43d 1 1.06mi
422 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,426 $1.36 23d 1 1.12mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,150 $1.09 23d 1 1.18mi
1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1268 $1,200 $0.95 13d 1 1.22mi
3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,426 $1.16 13d 1 1.31mi
1533 Raymond Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1135 $1,010 $0.89 43d 1 1.38mi
1805 Hospital Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,050 $0.79 13d 1 1.45mi
3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,150 $1.04 21d 1 1.46mi
103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 339 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 338 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 337 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 336 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,000 Active 334 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 333 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,000 Active 331 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 330 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 329 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,000 Active 328 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $72,000 Active 325 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $72,000 Active 324 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,000 Active 323 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,000 Active 322 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,000 Active 321 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $72,000 Active 320 DOM
  17. 2025-08-25
    historical $950
  18. 2025-07-20
    listed $950
  19. 2025-07-12
    listed $72,000 Active 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    This single family home has 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Features Linoleum/Vinyl Flooring, Wood Flooring, Eat-In Kitchen/Nook, Living/Dining Combo.

  20. 2023-07-03
    historical
  21. 2023-05-24
    soldstatus
  22. 2014-01-07
    soldstatus
  23. 2009-06-15
    historical
  24. 2008-12-11
    listed $35,900
  25. 1990-08-04
    soldstatus
  26. 1965-06-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$935 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$935 · $78/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,331
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$935
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,146
− Management
−$1,146
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$4,615
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,108
After-tax cash flow
$4,388/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
13,249
Household income
$30,237
Rent vs Own
66.3% rent · 33.7% own
Severe rent burden
1099.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.25%
Current HPI
233.9061
Rent YoY
▲ 13.56%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+100.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-25 Rental Removed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-20 Listed for Rent $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-12 Listed $72,000 MLSU
  • 2023-07-03 Rental Removed BUILDIUM
  • 2023-05-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-01-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-06-15 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2008-12-11 Listed $35,900 MLSU
  • 1990-08-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1965-06-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $935 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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