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204 Lancaster St Multi-family
C Composite 59.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$599,000

204 Lancaster St · Albany, NY 12201
2 bd · 3.5 ba · 4,123 sqft · MultiFamily · 156 Days on market
Built 1930 Good condition 1,742 sqft lot $145/sqft · 20% below area Est $744k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Mixed-Use Opportunity in Historic Albany! Welcome to 204 Lancaster Street, a well-located mixed-use building offering flexibility and versatility. This historic property features a ground-floor retail space with strong street presence, currently operated as a tailor shop, and suitable for a wide variety of commercial uses. Above the storefront are two residential apartments. Situated in a vibrant Albany neighborhood with steady foot and vehicle traffic, this property is ideal for investors or owner-occupants seeking a combination of commercial and residential use. The property has seen significant recent capital improvements totaling over $25,000, including a new commercial central air conditioning system, a new rubber roof, and a brand new hot water tank -- providing buyers with peace of mind and minimal near-term capital expenditure requirements. A unique opportunity to own a versatile, well-maintained building in one of Albany's established corridors. Tailor inventory can be purchased separately or included with the sale of the property.

Key facts

  • Historic property
  • Versatile building
  • 1,742 sq ft lot

Tags

MIXED-USE OPPORTUNITYHISTORIC PROPERTYGROUND-FLOOR RETAIL SPACESTRONG STREET PRESENCEVERSATILE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.5-bath multifamily listed at $599k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $551k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $527k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($527k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $527,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.53%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$744,487
List price
$599,000
Delta
-19.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
68 Central Ave 0.29mi 3/2.5 (+1) 3,840 (-7%) 2mo $310,000 $81 64
316 Hudson Ave 0.12mi 2/4.0 3,200 (-22%) 28mo $388,800 $122 47
407 Hamilton St 0.11mi 3/3.5 (+1) 3,200 (-22%) 34mo $485,000 $152 45
348 Madison Ave 0.29mi 3/3.0 (+1) 3,320 (-20%) 21mo $305,000 $92 37
111 Grand St 0.79mi 3/3.0 (+1) 3,168 (-23%) 16mo $275,000 $87 19
15 Delaware St 0.99mi 3/3.0 (+1) 3,180 (-23%) 20mo $390,000 $123 16

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$85,880
Equity at exit
$269,336
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$286,818
Equity at exit
$415,079

Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$499,950 ($129/sqft)
Median days on market
67 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+40.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 12201

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
27.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,511 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,141
Tax est. 1.5%
$749 /mo · $8,985/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,157
Net cashflow
$214

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,511

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,240
Max offer price $599,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $628 -5% $421 +0% $214 +5% $7 +10% $-200
Rent -10% $-221 -5% $-4 +0% $214 +5% $432 +10% $650
Rate -1.0pp $516 -0.5pp $366 base $214 +0.5pp $59 +1.0pp $-99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,750
Closing costs
$17,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
221 Lancaster St Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 $1,200 16d 1 0.03mi
236 Lark St Unit 2R Albany, NY 1.0 $1,050 72d 1 0.05mi
227 Jay St Albany, NY 2.0 2.0 1710 $2,150 $1.26 93d 1 0.06mi
176 Chestnut St Unit 6 Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 $1,500 70d 1 0.07mi
176 Chestnut St Unit 2 Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 $1,350 72d 1 0.07mi
352 State St Albany, NY 2.0 2.0 1143 $2,195 $1.92 16d 1 0.09mi
75 Willett St Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 425 $1,995 $4.69 16d 1 0.09mi
155 Chestnut St Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $2,000 $2.35 63d 1 0.10mi
326 State St Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 93d 1 0.13mi
324 Hudson Ave Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $1,600 $2.46 16d 1 0.14mi
318 State St Unit 1 Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $1,395 $1.86 93d 1 0.14mi
318 State St Unit 5 Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $1,495 $1.99 16d 1 0.14mi
318 State St Unit 8 Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $1,495 $1.99 72d 1 0.14mi
88 Willett St Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 850 $1,463 $1.72 16d 10 0.14mi
175 Jay St Albany, NY 1.0 437 $1,175 $2.69 93d 1 0.15mi
292 Lark St Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 93d 1 0.16mi
292 Lark St Unit 2 Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 $1,600 93d 1 0.16mi
100 Willett St Unit 2R Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $1,395 $2.33 93d 1 0.16mi
192 Lark St Unit 6 Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 $1,100 70d 1 0.17mi
204 Washington Ave Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 $1,050 93d 1 0.17mi
204 Washington Ave Albany, NY 1.0 $900 16d 1 0.17mi
240 Washington Ave Albany, NY 2.0 2.0 1560 $2,450 $1.57 93d 1 0.17mi
41 Dove St Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 16d 1 0.18mi
41 Dove St Albany, NY 2.0 2.5 2400 $2,350 $0.98 63d 1 0.18mi
293 Hudson Ave Unit G Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 $1,100 16d 1 0.18mi
366 Hamilton St #2 Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 1400 $1,695 $1.21 16d 1 0.19mi
303 State St Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 $1,800 93d 1 0.20mi
154 Lancaster St Unit 1 Albany, NY 2.0 1.5 1500 $2,200 $1.47 72d 1 0.20mi
409 Madison Ave Albany, NY 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,994 $1.90 16d 1 0.20mi
262 Washington Ave Unit 3A Albany, NY 1.0 $1,100 93d 1 0.20mi
266 Washington Ave Unit A Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 $1,450 16d 1 0.21mi
290 State St #1 Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 93d 1 0.21mi
170 Washington Ave Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $1,700 $2.83 93d 1 0.21mi
170 Washington Ave Unit 3B Albany, NY 1.0 350 $1,450 $4.14 16d 1 0.21mi
170 Washington Ave Unit 1B Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 550 $1,450 $2.64 16d 1 0.21mi
441 State St Unit 441-2F Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 $1,600 16d 1 0.22mi
484 Madison Ave Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $1,850 $2.31 93d 1 0.22mi
156 Jay St Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 600 $1,200 $2.00 93d 1 0.22mi
441 State St Unit 441 Albany, NY 1.0 1.0 $1,600 93d 1 0.22mi
149 Jay St Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 93d 1 0.23mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $599,000 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $599,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $599,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $599,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $599,000 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $599,000 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $599,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $599,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $599,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $599,000 Active 142 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $599,000 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $599,000 Active 140 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $599,000 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $599,000 Active 138 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $599,000 Active 135 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $599,000 Active 133 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    pricedays on market $599,000 Active 132 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $649,000 Active 131 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $649,000 Active 130 DOM
  20. 2026-07-12
    days on market $649,000 Active 129 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $649,000 Active 128 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $649,000 Active 127 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $649,000 Active 126 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $649,000 Active 124 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $649,000 Active 123 DOM
  26. 2026-07-05
    days on market $649,000 Active 122 DOM
  27. 2026-07-04
    days on market $649,000 Active 121 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $649,000 Active 120 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $649,000 Active 119 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $649,000 Active 118 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $649,000 Active 117 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $649,000 Active 116 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $649,000 Active 115 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $649,000 Active 114 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $649,000 Active 113 DOM
  36. 2026-06-25
    days on market $649,000 Active 111 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $649,000 Active 109 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $649,000 Active 108 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $649,000 Active 105 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $649,000 Active 104 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $649,000 Active 103 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $649,000 Active 102 DOM
  43. 2026-06-14
    days on market $649,000 Active 100 DOM
  44. 2026-06-10
    days on market $649,000 Active 97 DOM
  45. 2026-06-08
    days on market $649,000 Active 95 DOM
  46. 2026-06-07
    days on market $649,000 Active 94 DOM
  47. 2026-06-03
    days on market $649,000 Active 90 DOM
  48. 2026-06-02
    days on market $649,000 Active 89 DOM
  49. 2026-06-01
    days on market $649,000 Active 88 DOM
  50. 2026-05-31
    days on market $649,000 Active 87 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$66,132
− Mortgage interest
−$33,553
− Property taxes
−$8,985
− Insurance
−$2,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,291
− Management
−$5,291
− Depreciation
−$17,425
Taxable loss
−$7,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,778
After-tax cash flow
$4,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $20,615–$61,845 screening

This historic mixed-use building in Albany is in good condition with recent capital improvements. It has a strong street presence and is ideal for investors seeking a combination of commercial and residential use.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls will enhance the building's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Replace the carpet in the hallway — Replacing the carpet in the hallway will make the space more comfortable and appealing for tenants.
  • Both Clean the HVAC system — A clean HVAC system will improve air quality and energy efficiency, benefiting both buyers and tenants.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 45/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Giffen Memorial Elementary School F NY #1,992/2,108 Nat'l #33,738/41,679 High Albany High School B+ NY #710/1,100 Nat'l #2,083/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany City School District
NCES district ID
3602460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#5744
State rank
#543 of 590 in NY
B Composite livability gradescore 79/100

Livability — Albany

Score
79/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2083

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, NY

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $649,000 Global MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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