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28-30 Sirchia Rd Duplex
B- Composite 68.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$270,000

28-30 Sirchia Rd · Mechanicville, NY 12118
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,056 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1997 0.37 ac lot Est $265k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Fully Rented Duplex On The Stillwater/Mechanicville Line. 2 bedrooms, 1.5 Bath, Gorgeous Lot On A Very Nice Street - Opportunity Awaits You. .. .. .

Key facts

  • 0.37 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1997

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit property (duplex)

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 4 vehicles
  • Utilities: 150 amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Duplex; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Back yard fencing; Level, landscaped lot (approx. 0.37 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Each unit has 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on 2nd level); Two half bathrooms (both on 1st level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Paddle fan; High-speed internet; French doors
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $274/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 1.9% in Mechanicville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#568 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, employment D.
  • Mechanicville City School District (rural): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $270k implies a 1588% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $270,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.69%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$265,224
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23-25 Leonard St 0.26mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,080 (+1%) 9mo $250,000 $120 70
27 Saratoga Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,013 (-2%) 7mo $260,000 $129 60
221 N 3rd Ave 0.60mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,132 (+4%) 2mo $280,000 $131 55
220 Saratoga Ave 0.29mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,824 (-11%) 5mo $259,000 $142 54
249 Saratoga Ave 0.35mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,240 (+9%) 11mo $285,000 $127 51
26 Walnut St 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,804 (-12%) 13mo $226,000 $125 50
58 Mabbett St 0.58mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,100 (+2%) 20mo $287,200 $137 48
39 William St 0.57mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-10%) 5mo $200,000 $108 43
67 William St 0.51mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,238 (+9%) 22mo $160,000 $71 34
76 East St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (-10%) 17mo $309,000 $167 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$181,994
Equity at exit
$243,237
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
7.73×
Total profit
$508,644
Equity at exit
$524,551

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12118

Home prices YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
14.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,094 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$368 /mo · $4,419/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$650
Net cashflow
$548

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,401
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 77%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,094

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30 Revere Run Mechanicville, NY 4.0 2.5 1997 $3,450 $1.73 14d 1 0.48mi
2 Battery Blvd Mechanicville, NY 3.0 2.5 1804 $3,450 $1.91 14d 1 0.52mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 148-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $270,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,419 · $368/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,491 · $374/mo
Expected delta
+$72/yr (+$6/mo · 1.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,128
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$4,419
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,970
− Management
−$2,970
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable income
$2,440
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$586
After-tax cash flow
$5,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mechanicville City School District
NCES district ID
3618900
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$57,701
Composite
49.33/100
National rank
#2021
State rank
#270 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mechanicville

Score
67/100
State rank
#568
US rank
#10227

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saratoga County · 166,192 people
City population
17,069
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
17,069
Household income
$92,710
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
552.0

Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
238,889 people
By 2030
243,681 · +2.0%
By 2040
249,118 · +4.3%
By 2050
248,638 · +4.1%
By 2075
241,675 · +1.2%
By 2100
213,150 · -10.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 8% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
2008→2024 swing
-1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.43%
Current HPI
343.9893
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1587.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $270,000 Global MLS
  • 1995-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,419 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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