111 Gun Club Rd #27 · Dover, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a well maintained home that feels very private. Located in Hidden Pines Mobile Home Park, this spot is a Gardner's delight, and sits on the outside loop which is quiet and treed. The home has an addition off the living room which provides extra cozy space and lots of interior light. The manufactured home is not real property. Buyer receives a title. A lease in the Park requires preapproval by the management. The homesite is nicely arranged with gardens and a sitting area. Huge Pine Trees provide comfortable shade. The garden beds are ready. Gun Club Road is a county maintained road and the Park maintains all the interior roads. You are close to lots of amenities, Schweitzer and publ
Key facts
- Built 1978
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No common walls
- Financial info: Tax info available (details excluded per instructions)
- HOA & community: Association fees cover grounds maintenance, sewer, snow removal, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank / private sewer; Road access via gravel and dirt; Private maintained road
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (manufactured); Fleetwood make and model
- Construction: Wood siding; Aluminum siding; Aluminum roof; Crawl space foundation (see remarks)
- Exterior features: Garden; Open porch; Landscaped lot; Level lot; Southern exposure
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 3 main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air; Heat pump; Furnace; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Washer hookup; Washer; Electric dryer; Electric water heater; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Electric dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 0.0% in Dover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#108 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lake Pend Oreille School District (town): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #22 of 92 in ID (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sandpoint Middle School (math 51% / reading 65%, grade B, #12 of 109 statewide, top 10%, 514 students, 32% FRL).
- Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Bonner County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.66%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $600,600
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Robin Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,872 (+1%) | 13mo | $609,000 | $325 | 70 |
| 339 Jerrys Way | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (+14%) | 6mo | $429,000 | $204 | 57 |
| 1900 Spades Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (-4%) | 22mo | $599,000 | $337 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $16,709
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $54,485
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83860
- Home prices YoY
- -18.8%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,385 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$110 /mo · $1,320/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $547 | -5% $516 | +0% $486 | +5% $455 | +10% $425 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $377 | -5% $431 | +0% $486 | +5% $541 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $530 | -0.5pp $508 | base $486 | +0.5pp $463 | +1.0pp $440 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $88,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $88,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $88,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$88,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$1,320
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable income
- $4,710
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,130
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. The exterior and interior need freshening up, and the kitchen and bathrooms require modernization.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Deck — Visible wear and tear
- Moderate Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
- Moderate Kitchen appliances — Dated and possibly not functioning
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated and possibly not functioning
- Moderate Flooring — Worn and possibly unsafe
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace curtains — Freshens up the interior and adds value
- Both Replace flooring — Improves safety and adds value
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Deck · Visible wear and tear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Kitchen appliances · Dated and possibly not functioning | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated and possibly not functioning | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and possibly unsafe | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $15,000–75,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace curtains — Freshens up the interior and adds value ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Improves safety and adds value ↑
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Pend Oreille School District
- NCES district ID
- 1600002
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,357
- Composite
- 44.68/100
- National rank
- #2759
- State rank
- #22 of 92 in ID
Livability — Dover
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #11788
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 130
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,953
Population outlook (Bonner County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,740 people
- By 2030
- 44,203 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 43,936 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 42,871 · -2.0%
- By 2075
- 41,254 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 39,074 · -10.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bonner
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 25.8% · R 71.9% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.9pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+16.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.51%
- Current HPI
- 283.9023
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $88,000 CDAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…