5415 E High School Rd · Butlerville, IN
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Handyman Special! Here is your opportunity for an investment property. Three bedrooms, one -bath home with a two-car detached garage, metal roof. Cash only!
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage (garage approx. 858 sq ft)
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one half stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Less than 1/4 acre lot (approximately 0.05 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — one on the main level and two on the upper level (upper bedrooms approx. 10 x 12 each)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Microwave; Electric oven; Living room (Main level, approx. 16 x 11.8); Kitchen (Main level, approx. 19 x 11)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#656 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Jennings County School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #194 of 301 in IN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brush Creek Elementary School (math 32% / reading 34%, grade F, #639 of 994 statewide, top 65%, 312 students, 66% FRL); Jennings County High School (math 26% / reading 62%, grade F, #189 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 1,184 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Jennings County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
- Jennings County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.83%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,345
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -72.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3300 Main St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+5%) | 21mo | $220,000 | $122 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $54,524
- Equity at exit
- $41,032
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 10.70×
- Total profit
- $135,475
- Equity at exit
- $84,621
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47223
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $755/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $515 | -5% $501 | +0% $487 | +5% $473 | +10% $459 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $404 | -5% $445 | +0% $487 | +5% $529 | +10% $570 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $512 | -0.5pp $500 | base $487 | +0.5pp $474 | +1.0pp $461 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$49,900 Active 159-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $755 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $755 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$755
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,370
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,289
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jennings County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805190
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,418
- Composite
- 29.89/100
- National rank
- #6394
- State rank
- #194 of 301 in IN
Livability — Butlerville
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #656
- US rank
- #25946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Butlerville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,190
Population outlook (Jennings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,584 people
- By 2030
- 25,591 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 23,423 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 20,973 · -21.1%
- By 2075
- 15,445 · -41.9%
- By 2100
- 10,714 · -59.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jennings
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.8) · D 19.7% · R 78.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -58.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.8 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+52.7 2012: R+22.4 2008: R+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.90%
- Current HPI
- 264.6536
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $49,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2024): $755 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…