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1657 Harper St
D+ Composite 46.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

1657 Harper St · Rocky Mount, NC 27801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 297 Days on market
Built 1977 6,650 sqft lot Est $93k · 50% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice Brick home for a family, 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Living Room, Kitchen and dining room. Nice Yard. Owner giving 10,000 Heat & Air Allowance, some updates

Key facts

  • Yard
  • Kitchen
  • Living room

Tags

BRICK HOMELIVING ROOMKITCHENDINING ROOMYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R6; Road frontage on city street and state road; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 133 (0.15 acres)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking available; On-site parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Concrete and brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Built with traditional construction materials
  • Exterior features: No patio or porch; No fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen-located laundry (see Laundry & utility)
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Space heater; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: G W Bulluck Elementary (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,168 of 1,410 statewide, top 83%, 609 students, 100% FRL); West Edgecombe Middle (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #385 of 475 statewide, top 81%, 314 students, 99% FRL); Southwest Edgecombe High (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #393 of 535 statewide, top 75%, 802 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.22%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,450
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1558 Harper St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+3%) 11mo $95,000 $88 79
129 Lucas Cir 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,050 (0%) 14mo $101,500 $97 70
817 Corbett Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,075 (+2%) 2mo $90,000 $84 63
1624 Fountain St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-1%) 20mo $75,000 $72 63
1312 Beckman St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,020 (-3%) 23mo $133,500 $131 55
1604 Robert Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 962 (-8%) 12mo $149,900 $156 53
1548 Fountain St 0.36mi 2/1.5 (-1) 936 (-11%) 9mo $33,792 $36 51
1004 Leggett Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,060 (+1%) 18mo $150,000 $142 51
1709 Whitfield Ave 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,178 (+12%) 11mo $115,000 $98 47
1548 Charter Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-10%) 24mo $75,000 $79 37
908 Shepard Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+10%) 20mo $103,000 $89 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,633
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$16,892
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27801

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,402 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $552/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,061
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $348 -5% $308 +0% $269 +5% $229 +10% $189
Rent -10% $158 -5% $213 +0% $269 +5% $324 +10% $379
Rate -1.0pp $339 -0.5pp $304 base $269 +0.5pp $232 +1.0pp $195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $140,000 Active 297 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 295 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 294 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 293 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 292 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 291 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 289 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 288 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 286 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 285 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 284 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 283 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 280 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 278 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 277 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 276 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $140,000 Active 275 DOM
  18. 2025-08-28
    listed $140,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$552 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$596/yr (+$50/mo · 107.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,818
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$552
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,345
− Management
−$1,345
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$960
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$230
After-tax cash flow
$2,994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgecombe County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701320
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,711
Composite
19.85/100
National rank
#8696
State rank
#163 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Edgecombe County · 37,913 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
19,532
Household income
$44,884
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,800 people
By 2030
44,396 · -7.1%
By 2040
37,562 · -21.4%
By 2050
31,495 · -34.1%
By 2075
20,943 · -56.2%
By 2100
13,674 · -71.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 24% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.65%
Current HPI
296.3428
Rent YoY
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $140,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $552 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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