304 N Bartlett St St · Canton, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Corner lot
- 8,910 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; Attached 2-car garage (24 x 24)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; 1.5-story home; Above-grade finished living area of 1,367; Below-grade unfinished area of 804
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built with standard construction materials
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Land is owned
Interior
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located primarily on the same level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; One water heater
- Interior features: Three or more bedrooms on the same level; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#54 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Canton School District 41-1 (town): math 54% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #12 of 59 in SD (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lawrence Elementary - 02 (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #39 of 253 statewide, top 19%, 388 students, 17% FRL); Canton Middle School - 04 (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #54 of 143 statewide, top 37%, 203 students, 20% FRL); Canton High School - 01 (math 34% / reading 74%, grade C-, #53 of 151 statewide, top 41%, 283 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $641 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.07%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,922
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708 W 5th St | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 | 1,378 (+1%) | 18mo | $175,000 | $127 | 68 |
| 811 N Cedar St | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,397 (+2%) | 11mo | $239,900 | $172 | 61 |
| 222 W 2nd St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,224 (-10%) | 21mo | $225,000 | $184 | 57 |
| 802 W 3rd St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 12mo | $319,900 | $222 | 57 |
| 320 N Bridge St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,420 (+4%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 121 S Pleasant St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,198 (-12%) | 14mo | $174,900 | $146 | 52 |
| 422 E 4th St St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,177 (-14%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $64 | 51 |
| 117 S Bartlett St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,517 (+11%) | 19mo | $214,000 | $141 | 48 |
| 209 N Bridge St St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,550 (+13%) | 8mo | $290,500 | $187 | 47 |
| 418 S Main St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,533 (+12%) | 15mo | $255,000 | $166 | 45 |
| 426 S Broadway St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,568 (+15%) | 21mo | $90,000 | $57 | 33 |
| 803 E 4th St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,544 (+13%) | 21mo | $245,000 | $159 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,048
- Equity at exit
- $13,822
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $26,106
- Equity at exit
- $8,015
Cash invested: $25,956 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57013
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,267 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$486
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,322/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $335 | -5% $309 | +0% $283 | +5% $256 | +10% $230 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $183 | -5% $233 | +0% $283 | +5% $333 | +10% $383 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $329 | -0.5pp $306 | base $283 | +0.5pp $259 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,175
- Closing costs
- $2,781
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $92,700 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18$92,700 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,322 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,322 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,193
- − Property taxes
- −$2,322
- − Insurance
- −$464
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,216
- − Management
- −$1,216
- − Depreciation
- −$2,697
- Taxable income
- $2,096
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$503
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton School District 41-1
- NCES district ID
- 4610560
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,538
- Composite
- 49.07/100
- National rank
- #2055
- State rank
- #12 of 59 in SD
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #6778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,378
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,138 people
- By 2030
- 78,929 · +12.5%
- By 2040
- 97,132 · +38.5%
- By 2050
- 116,136 · +65.6%
- By 2075
- 166,314 · +137.1%
- By 2100
- 219,430 · +212.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 18% Iranian 9% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.5) · D 35.7% · R 62.2% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -26.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.5 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+29.4 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.14%
- Current HPI
- 148.3829
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
+11.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $92,700 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-12-30 Listed $83,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,322 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…