534 E 37th Ave #172 · Lake Station, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$28,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2020 Redman Advantage II manufactured home with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom in a 16x48 layout. This home includes a practical open living space, gas heat, A/C-ready setup, full appliance package, ceiling fan/light kits, lined base cabinets, metal faucets, washer/dryer shelf, and a full-view storm door. A clean, efficient home with useful everyday features and a comfortable layout. Manufacturer: Redman Homes / Champion Home Builders, Inc. Year: 2020 Brand: Redman Advantage II Size: 16' x 48' Notable listed options/features Ceiling fan / light kit (qty 2) Full-view storm door Gas furnace Standard gas range Frost-free faucet Move window 40-gal electric water heater A/C ready Reliant lock sets Metal faucets in kitchen and bath sinks Washer/dryer shelf Towel bar / tissue holder Lined base cabinets
Key facts
- Gas furnace
- Standard gas range
- Open living space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $28k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($137/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $27k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $197 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $855 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-629
- Equity at exit
- $4,249
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $14,418
- Equity at exit
- $2,464
Cash invested: $7,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46342
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,055 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$149
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$36 /mo · $428/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$625
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $31 | -5% $21 | +0% $11 | +5% $2 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-72 | -5% $-30 | +0% $11 | +5% $53 | +10% $95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $26 | -0.5pp $19 | base $11 | +0.5pp $4 | +1.0pp $-4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,125
- Closing costs
- $855
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $625 · $7,500/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaselectric
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $28,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $28,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $28,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $28,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $28,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $28,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $28,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $28,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $28,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $28,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $28,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $28,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $28,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $28,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $28,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-12$28,500 Active 832-char remark
Show marketing remark (832 chars)
2020 Redman Advantage II manufactured home with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom in a 16x48 layout. This home includes a practical open living space, gas heat, A/C-ready setup, full appliance package, ceiling fan/light kits, lined base cabinets, metal faucets, washer/dryer shelf, and a full-view storm door. A clean, efficient home with useful everyday features and a comfortable layout. Manufacturer: Redman Homes / Champion Home Builders, Inc. Year: 2020 Brand: Redman Advantage II Size: 16' x 48' Notable listed options/features Ceiling fan / light kit (qty 2) Full-view storm door Gas furnace Standard gas range Frost-free faucet Move window 40-gal electric water heater A/C ready Reliant lock sets Metal faucets in kitchen and bath sinks Washer/dryer shelf Towel bar / tissue holder Lined base cabinets
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,596
- − Property taxes
- −$428
- − Insurance
- −$142
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,013
- − Management
- −$1,013
- − HOA
- −$7,500
- − Depreciation
- −$829
- Taxable income
- $137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$33
- After-tax cash flow
- $104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2020 Redman Advantage II manufactured home is in excellent condition with a good layout and modern features. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases with minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Updating the flooring in the kitchen and laundry area — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home.
- Both Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the kitchen and laundry area — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home. ↑
- Both Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- River Forest Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1804620
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,317
- Composite
- 19.65/100
- National rank
- #8738
- State rank
- #268 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lake Station
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #411
- US rank
- #14929
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Station, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 12,184
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,224
- Household income
- $75,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1033.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.01%
- Current HPI
- 260.2635
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.63%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Listed $28,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…