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534 E 37th Ave #172
C- Composite 50.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$28,500

534 E 37th Ave #172 · Lake Station, IN 46342
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Manufactured · 71 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 7,000 sqft lot $625/mo HOA · 59% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2020 Redman Advantage II manufactured home with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom in a 16x48 layout. This home includes a practical open living space, gas heat, A/C-ready setup, full appliance package, ceiling fan/light kits, lined base cabinets, metal faucets, washer/dryer shelf, and a full-view storm door. A clean, efficient home with useful everyday features and a comfortable layout. Manufacturer: Redman Homes / Champion Home Builders, Inc. Year: 2020 Brand: Redman Advantage II Size: 16' x 48' Notable listed options/features Ceiling fan / light kit (qty 2) Full-view storm door Gas furnace Standard gas range Frost-free faucet Move window 40-gal electric water heater A/C ready Reliant lock sets Metal faucets in kitchen and bath sinks Washer/dryer shelf Towel bar / tissue holder Lined base cabinets

Key facts

  • Gas furnace
  • Standard gas range
  • Open living space

Tags

OPEN LIVING SPACEFULL APPLIANCE PACKAGECEILING FAN LIGHT KITSFULL VIEW STORM DOORGAS FURNACESTANDARD GAS RANGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $28k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($137/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $27k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $197 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $855 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent.
Recommended offer $26,790 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.70%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-629
Equity at exit
$4,249
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$14,418
Equity at exit
$2,464

Cash invested: $7,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46342

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,055 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$149
Tax est. 1.5%
$36 /mo · $428/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$625
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,040
Max offer price $28,500
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $31 -5% $21 +0% $11 +5% $2 +10% $-8
Rent -10% $-72 -5% $-30 +0% $11 +5% $53 +10% $95
Rate -1.0pp $26 -0.5pp $19 base $11 +0.5pp $4 +1.0pp $-4

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,125
Closing costs
$855
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$625 · $7,500/yr
Likely covers
watergaselectric

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $28,500 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $28,500 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $28,500 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $28,500 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $28,500 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $28,500 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $28,500 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $28,500 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $28,500 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $28,500 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $28,500 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $28,500 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $28,500 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $28,500 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,500 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-04-12
    listed $28,500 Active 832-char remark
    Show marketing remark (832 chars)

    2020 Redman Advantage II manufactured home with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom in a 16x48 layout. This home includes a practical open living space, gas heat, A/C-ready setup, full appliance package, ceiling fan/light kits, lined base cabinets, metal faucets, washer/dryer shelf, and a full-view storm door. A clean, efficient home with useful everyday features and a comfortable layout. Manufacturer: Redman Homes / Champion Home Builders, Inc. Year: 2020 Brand: Redman Advantage II Size: 16' x 48' Notable listed options/features Ceiling fan / light kit (qty 2) Full-view storm door Gas furnace Standard gas range Frost-free faucet Move window 40-gal electric water heater A/C ready Reliant lock sets Metal faucets in kitchen and bath sinks Washer/dryer shelf Towel bar / tissue holder Lined base cabinets

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,658
− Mortgage interest
−$1,596
− Property taxes
−$428
− Insurance
−$142
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,013
− Management
−$1,013
− HOA
−$7,500
− Depreciation
−$829
Taxable income
$137
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$33
After-tax cash flow
$104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This 2020 Redman Advantage II manufactured home is in excellent condition with a good layout and modern features. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases with minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Updating the flooring in the kitchen and laundry area — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home.
  • Both Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Updating the flooring in the kitchen and laundry area — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home.
  • Both Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Forest Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1804620
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,317
Composite
19.65/100
National rank
#8738
State rank
#268 of 301 in IN

Livability — Lake Station

Score
63/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#14929

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Station, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
12,184
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
32,224
Household income
$75,521
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
1033.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.01%
Current HPI
260.2635
Rent YoY
▲ 5.63%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $28,500 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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