14761 Lincoln Ave · Dolton, IL 60419

$150,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 906 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 270 Days on market

Built 1954 Est $133k · 13% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.2/10.0
• Rent growth +4.9/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +1.8/15.0
• Schools +0.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Attention Landlords & Investors! Turnkey 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Dolton with steady rental income. This well-maintained property features an updated kitchen, spacious living and dining areas, and a functional layout perfect for tenants or future owner-occupants. The home sits on a large lot with plenty of outdoor space and is conveniently located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major highways, making it attractive for long-term renters. Currently rented for $1,300 per month, providing immediate cash flow and a hassle-free investment opportunity!

Key facts

• Large lot
• Updated kitchen
• Outdoor space

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• LARGE LOT
• OUTDOOR SPACE
• CONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Age estimated at 71–80 years; Living area source: assessor; Parcel includes additional parcel(s)
• Financial info: Property currently being leased
• HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage (owned), 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property was rehabbed in 2017; Built before 1978
• Construction: Cedar and frame construction with concrete elements
• Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 12 x 12)
• Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (approx. 14 x 12); Second bedroom on main level (approx. 12 x 10); Third bedroom on main level (approx. 10 x 9)
• Flooring: Porcelain tile in laundry; Vinyl flooring in living room
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: 7 total rooms; School bus service nearby; Commuter bus and interstate access
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 10 x 12)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
• Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $5k; list at $150k implies a 2841% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.25%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.69%
• DSCR: 1.79
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $133,182
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
14731 Kimbark Ave	0.17mi	3/1.0	1,017 (+12%)	2mo	$115,000	$113	69
14534 Woodlawn Ave	0.26mi	4/1.0 (+1)	963 (+6%)	5mo	$170,000	$177	68
14642 Dorchester Ave	0.29mi	3/1.0	1,013 (+12%)	1mo	$170,000	$168	66
14728 Kenwood Ave	0.21mi	3/1.0	1,017 (+12%)	5mo	$156,000	$153	66
14622 Kenwood Ave	0.26mi	3/1.0	1,017 (+12%)	5mo	$110,000	$108	64
14738 Blackstone Ave	0.39mi	3/1.0	1,017 (+12%)	1mo	$150,000	$147	61
14610 Blackstone Ave	0.44mi	3/1.0	1,017 (+12%)	1mo	$150,000	$147	58
14840 Langley Ave	0.63mi	2/1.0 (-1)	936 (+3%)	2mo	$37,000	$40	58
14647 Irving Ave	0.72mi	3/2.0	889 (-2%)	2mo	$138,000	$155	58
14341 University Ave	0.50mi	3/1.0	1,035 (+14%)	1mo	$100,000	$97	52
14819 Irving Ave	0.71mi	3/1.0	980 (+8%)	4mo	$130,000	$133	50
14915 Irving Ave	0.74mi	2/1.0 (-1)	980 (+8%)	4mo	$68,000	$69	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 14.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.63×
• Total profit: $26,419
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.98×
• Total profit: $125,130
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 60419

• Home prices YoY: -25.7%
• Rents YoY: 9.7%
• Active inventory: 130
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,126 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$212 /mo · $2,538/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$447
• Net cashflow: $619

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,343

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 15 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL	3.0	1.0	1017	$2,400	$2.36	10d	1	0.41mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL	3.0	1.0	1017	$2,400	$2.36	6d	1	0.44mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,475	$1.48	24d	1	0.59mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL	2.0	1.0	980	$2,430	$2.48	22d	1	0.64mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL	3.0	1.0	1100	$2,200	$2.00	24d	1	0.89mi
405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL	3.0	1.0	973	$2,300	$2.36	1d	1	0.95mi
1860 State St Calumet City, IL	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,800	$1.64	17d	1	0.98mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL	2.0	1.0	800	$1,500	$1.88	10d	1	1.17mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,800	$1.80	20d	1	1.29mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,800	$1.64	12d	1	1.29mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,800	$1.80	22d	1	1.29mi
250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL	2.0	1.0	875	$1,465	$1.67	8d	1	1.30mi
1601 Downs Dr Unit 3S Calumet City, IL	2.0	1.0	750	$1,400	$1.87	24d	1	1.32mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL	2.0	1.0	800	$1,650	$2.06	14d	1	1.49mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL	2.0	1.0	800	$1,650	$2.06	8d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 270 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $150,000 Active 269 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $150,000 Active 268 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $150,000 Active 267 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $150,000 Active 265 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $150,000 Active 264 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $150,000 Active 261 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $150,000 Active 260 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $150,000 Active 259 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 256 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 255 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 254 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 253 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 252 DOM
15. 2025-09-21
    listed $150,000 Active
16. 2022-03-14
    historical
17. 2022-01-27
    listed Active
18. 2017-03-28
    soldstatus $5,100
19. 2006-05-18
    soldstatus $64,000
20. 1997-06-06
    soldstatus $61,500
21. 1992-06-12
    soldstatus $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,538 · $212/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,972 · $248/mo
• Expected delta: +$433/yr (+$36/mo · 17.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,517
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,538
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,041
• − Management: −$2,041
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable income: $5,380
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,291
• After-tax cash flow: $6,140/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Thornton Twp Hsd 205
• NCES district ID: 1738970
• Math proficiency: 7% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 8% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $43,392
• Composite: 6.92/100
• National rank: #9976
• State rank: #594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #263
• US rank: #4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dolton, IL
• County: Cook County · 4,486,803 people
• City population: 20,825
• Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 20,825
• Household income: $57,887
• Rent vs Own: 27.4% rent · 72.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,347,519 people
• By 2030: 5,357,703 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 5,324,924 · -0.4%
• By 2050: 5,230,762 · -2.2%
• By 2075: 4,785,735 · -10.5%
• By 2100: 4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -66.88%
• Current HPI: 193.2346
• Rent YoY: ▲ 9.65%
• Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+173.2% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2025-09-21 Listed $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-03-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-01-27 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $5,100 Public Records
• 2006-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
• 1997-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
• 1992-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,538 · +51.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.