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435 Mountain Village Dr
B- Composite 68.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

435 Mountain Village Dr · Longswamp, PA 18062
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2009 Est $146k · 7% under $675/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to one-floor living in the community of Mountain Village! This home features an open floor plan with 3 niced-sized bedrooms. The owner's suite boasts 2 walk-in closets and a large bathroom with a soaking tub and separate shower stall. The 2 additional bedrooms have large walk-in closets as well which provide ample storage. There is plenty of room in the kitchen to cook your favorite dishes adjacent to a nice dining area to serve your family or guests. The natural light provided by the many windows is both welcoming and cheery! Outdoors you will find a large shed for added storage and a wide driveway large enough for 2 cars. Within minutes from Bear Creek Ski Resort and close to major routes for easy commuting, this home is absolutely worth viewing!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2009
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $675

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Community/Co-op water; Community/Co-op sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-story property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed; Shed(s); Mobile home on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the first floor (approx. 11 x 13; 10 x 13; 15 x 13)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dining area with a separate/formal dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and electric dryer (electric dryer hookup); Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Brandywine Heights Area SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #241 of 658 in PA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 157 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $107k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.89%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,600
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
194 Haddon Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-8%) 2mo $133,900 $100 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,576
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,870
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18062

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
157
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,498 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,292/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$675
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,064
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$675 · $8,100/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $135,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,292 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,292 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,973
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,292
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,398
− Management
−$2,398
− HOA
−$8,100
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$2,621
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$629
After-tax cash flow
$3,487/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brandywine Heights Area SD
NCES district ID
4204050
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
51.52/100
National rank
#3670
State rank
#241 of 658 in PA

Livability — Longswamp

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
27,110
Household income
$110,675
Rent vs Own
19.1% rent · 80.9% own
Severe rent burden
537.0

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.04%
Current HPI
253.5939
Rent YoY
▲ 0.13%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $135,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $106,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $106,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2023-12-06 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2023-12-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-14 Contingent GLVRMLS
  • 2023-11-14 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-11 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-11 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2023-11-02 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2023-11-02 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-27 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-27 Listed $119,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2016-08-02 Sold (MLS) $62,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-08-02 Sold (MLS) $62,000 TREND
  • 2016-06-16 Pending TREND
  • 2016-05-20 Delisted TREND
  • 2016-03-14 Listed $64,000 TREND
  • 2016-03-14 Listed $64,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,292 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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