1526 W Dale St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Character, Comfort, and Capability. Nestled behind a fenced front and back yard, this 2-bedroom gem is ready for its next chapter. The functional layout features a spacious eat-in kitchen and well-proportioned living spaces. For those needing extra room, the finished attic provides a versatile 'bonus' level--easily convertible into two more bedrooms or a home office setup. While the home could use a light cosmetic refresh, it's the perfect canvas to customize and call your own. Don't miss this rare chance to secure a home with potential additional flexible square footage!
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 1933
- Listed 82 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($854/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.59%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,787
- List price
- $118,000
- Delta
- -11.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1516 W Lee St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+9%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $147 | 76 |
| 2234 N Fay Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 867 (-7%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $150 | 72 |
| 2111 N Elizabeth Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 845 (-10%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 2117 N Lexington Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+11%) | 3mo | $124,500 | $120 | 64 |
| 2105 N Elizabeth Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (-11%) | 2mo | $98,500 | $119 | 64 |
| 2119 N Marion Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+9%) | 3mo | $112,500 | $111 | 62 |
| 1121 W Florida St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 844 (-10%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $68 | 60 |
| 2074 N Columbia Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-1%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $108 | 58 |
| 1030 W Chase St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 992 (+6%) | 4mo | $154,900 | $156 | 55 |
| 1934 W Lee St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+15%) | 2mo | $140,500 | $131 | 53 |
| 2043 N Roosevelt North Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+7%) | 4mo | $109,000 | $109 | 50 |
| 1141 W Talmage St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,074 (+15%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $140 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-13,369
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-667
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65803
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $611/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $138 | -5% $105 | +0% $71 | +5% $38 | +10% $4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-8 | -5% $32 | +0% $71 | +5% $111 | +10% $150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $131 | -0.5pp $101 | base $71 | +0.5pp $41 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $895 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $925 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $895 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $865 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2224 N Clifton Ave Unit 2238-A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $695 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 603 W Division St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $995 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,095 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 573 | $595 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 317 E Chase St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 407 E Dale St Apt B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $795 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 647 W Central St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 815 N Grant Ave Unit A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $625 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2850 N Campbell Ave Apt S Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 727 | $750 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2034 N Washington Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 813 W Poplar St Unit 813 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $795 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 740 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $118,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $118,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $118,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $124,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $124,900 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Character, Comfort, and Capability. Nestled behind a fenced front and back yard, this 2-bedroom gem is ready for its next chapter. The functional layout features a spacious eat-in kitchen and well-proportioned living spaces. For those needing extra room, the finished attic provides a versatile 'bonus' level--easily convertible into two more bedrooms or a home office setup. While the home could use a light cosmetic refresh, it's the perfect canvas to customize and call your own. Don't miss this rare chance to secure a home with potential additional flexible square footage!
-
2026-05-06price $129,900 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Character, Comfort, and Capability. Nestled behind a fenced front and back yard, this 2-bedroom gem is ready for its next chapter. The functional layout features a spacious eat-in kitchen and well-proportioned living spaces. For those needing extra room, the finished attic provides a versatile 'bonus' level--easily convertible into two more bedrooms or a home office setup. While the home could use a light cosmetic refresh, it's the perfect canvas to customize and call your own. Don't miss this rare chance to secure a home with potential additional flexible square footage!
-
2026-04-15price $133,900 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Character, Comfort, and Capability. Nestled behind a fenced front and back yard, this 2-bedroom gem is ready for its next chapter. The functional layout features a spacious eat-in kitchen and well-proportioned living spaces. For those needing extra room, the finished attic provides a versatile 'bonus' level--easily convertible into two more bedrooms or a home office setup. While the home could use a light cosmetic refresh, it's the perfect canvas to customize and call your own. Don't miss this rare chance to secure a home with potential additional flexible square footage!
-
2026-03-26$139,900 Active 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Character, Comfort, and Capability. Nestled behind a fenced front and back yard, this 2-bedroom gem is ready for its next chapter. The functional layout features a spacious eat-in kitchen and well-proportioned living spaces. For those needing extra room, the finished attic provides a versatile 'bonus' level--easily convertible into two more bedrooms or a home office setup. While the home could use a light cosmetic refresh, it's the perfect canvas to customize and call your own. Don't miss this rare chance to secure a home with potential additional flexible square footage!
-
2004-01-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $611 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$534/yr (+$44/mo · 87.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,001
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$611
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable loss
- −$1,163
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$279
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,882
- Household income
- $50,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.0439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-10.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $124,900 SOMO
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $129,900 SOMO
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $133,900 SOMO
- 2026-03-26 Listed $139,900 SOMO
- 2004-01-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $611 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…