7595 Forest Glen Rd · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3 bedroom 2bath home nestled in a cul de sac, adding privacy and reduced traffic for future residents. This home features wood laminate flooring throughout, complemented by a generous kitchen w/ granite countertops that allows you to overlook an overly spacious living rm /den. The welcoming foyer leads to an expansive layout, including a primary suite and 2 independent rooms. Enjoy outdoor gatherings in the large fenced yard. Enjoy peace of mind in an X-flood zone! The perfect canvas for updates or renovations-no utilities will be provided by seller Whether you're seeking your next flip, rental addition, or a primary residence you can tailor this property. Bring your contractor, your creativity, and your vision--opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something truly special.. Motivated Seller!!!!!!
Key facts
- Cul de sac
- Large fenced yard
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $95k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.13%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,890
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -40.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7638 Lady Gray St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (-7%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $144 | 84 |
| 7625 Lehigh St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (-6%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $141 | 77 |
| 7542 Lehigh St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (-4%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $109 | 76 |
| 7524 Michigan St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-1%) | 2mo | $183,715 | $129 | 75 |
| 7701 Lady Gray St | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (+12%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $125 | 66 |
| 7541 Brevard Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (+2%) | 8mo | $242,500 | $166 | 58 |
| 7711 Brevard Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+8%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $110 | 53 |
| 7531 Berg Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (-13%) | 3mo | $163,153 | $132 | 49 |
| 7552 Michigan St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-12%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $40 | 49 |
| 30 Marywood Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+12%) | 4mo | $182,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 9740 Andover Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (+13%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $118 | 44 |
| 6 Marywood Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+12%) | 11mo | $189,000 | $118 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $11,665
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $45,154
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70127
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,437 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,280/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $424
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7901 Read Blvd Unit 206 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8038 Lacombe St Apt A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7937 Read Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7800 Read Blvd Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 931 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10680 Hayne Blvd Apt B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10680 Hayne Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 7500 Symmes Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 7830 Means Ave Unit D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7861 Symmes Ave Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,280 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 10821 Roger Dr Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 10704 Roger Dr Unit D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 10940 Roger Dr Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 11040 Roger Dr Unit C New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1505 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9411 Dinkins St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 8002 Trapier Ave Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9408 Hayne Blvd Unit G New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6937 Barrington Ct New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1306 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11967 Curran Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9002 Morrison Rd New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7201 Salem Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $1,650 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7063 Boston Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8802 Morrison Rd New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,275 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7230 Yorktown Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7230 Yorktown Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9042 Bunker Hill Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9040 Bunker Hill Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9022 Bunker Hill Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9020 Bunker Hill Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6910 Bunker Hill Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1785 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 19d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7019 Crowder Blvd Unit 126 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $982 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 12345 I 10 Service Rd New Orleans, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 746 | $1,125 | $1.51 | 2d | 200 | 1.38mi |
| 7019 Huntington Park Dr Unit 21 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $982 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7019 Huntington Park Dr New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $986 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5131 Bundy Rd New Orleans, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,314 | $1.31 | 2d | 21 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (854 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom 2bath home nestled in a cul de sac, adding privacy and reduced traffic for future residents. This home features wood laminate flooring throughout, complemented by a generous kitchen w/ granite countertops that allows you to overlook an overly spacious living rm /den. The welcoming foyer leads to an expansive layout, including a primary suite and 2 independent rooms. Enjoy outdoor gatherings in the large fenced yard. Enjoy peace of mind in an X-flood zone! The perfect canvas for updates or renovations-no utilities will be provided by seller Whether you’re seeking your next flip, rental addition, or a primary residence you can tailor this property. Bring your contractor, your creativity, and your vision—opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something truly special. . Motivated Seller!!!!!!
-
2026-05-07status Pending 854-char remark
Show marketing remark (854 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom 2bath home nestled in a cul de sac, adding privacy and reduced traffic for future residents. This home features wood laminate flooring throughout, complemented by a generous kitchen w/ granite countertops that allows you to overlook an overly spacious living rm /den. The welcoming foyer leads to an expansive layout, including a primary suite and 2 independent rooms. Enjoy outdoor gatherings in the large fenced yard. Enjoy peace of mind in an X-flood zone! The perfect canvas for updates or renovations-no utilities will be provided by seller Whether you’re seeking your next flip, rental addition, or a primary residence you can tailor this property. Bring your contractor, your creativity, and your vision—opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something truly special. . Motivated Seller!!!!!!
-
2026-03-04$95,000 Active 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (854 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom 2bath home nestled in a cul de sac, adding privacy and reduced traffic for future residents. This home features wood laminate flooring throughout, complemented by a generous kitchen w/ granite countertops that allows you to overlook an overly spacious living rm /den. The welcoming foyer leads to an expansive layout, including a primary suite and 2 independent rooms. Enjoy outdoor gatherings in the large fenced yard. Enjoy peace of mind in an X-flood zone! The perfect canvas for updates or renovations-no utilities will be provided by seller Whether you’re seeking your next flip, rental addition, or a primary residence you can tailor this property. Bring your contractor, your creativity, and your vision—opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something truly special. . Motivated Seller!!!!!!
-
2026-03-04$95,000 Active 854-char remark
Show marketing remark (854 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom 2bath home nestled in a cul de sac, adding privacy and reduced traffic for future residents. This home features wood laminate flooring throughout, complemented by a generous kitchen w/ granite countertops that allows you to overlook an overly spacious living rm /den. The welcoming foyer leads to an expansive layout, including a primary suite and 2 independent rooms. Enjoy outdoor gatherings in the large fenced yard. Enjoy peace of mind in an X-flood zone! The perfect canvas for updates or renovations-no utilities will be provided by seller Whether you’re seeking your next flip, rental addition, or a primary residence you can tailor this property. Bring your contractor, your creativity, and your vision—opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something truly special. . Motivated Seller!!!!!!
-
2025-04-16price $113,000
-
2025-04-16price $113,000
-
2025-02-25$117,000 Active
-
2024-12-07price $117,900
-
2024-12-07price $117,900
-
2024-08-17$119,900 Active
-
1978-10-24soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,280 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,280 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,280
- − Insurance
- −$1,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,379
- − Management
- −$1,379
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $3,843
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$922
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,107
- Household income
- $40,765
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2030.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% White 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 175.4465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+156.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — GSREIN
- 2026-03-04 Listed $95,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-04 Listed $95,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $113,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $113,000 GSREIN
- 2025-02-25 Listed $117,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-07 Price Changed $117,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-07 Price Changed $117,900 GSREIN
- 2024-08-17 Listed $119,900 AcadianaMLS
- 1978-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,280 · +110.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…