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3018 N Vandeventer Ave Fourplex
B Composite 70.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$184,900

3018 N Vandeventer Ave · St. Louis, MO 63107
16 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,468 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 109 Days on market
Built 1910 3,075 sqft lot $53/sqft · 179% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

4 Family with enforced lease. Seller has replaced the interior sewer lines, roof resealed, fully occupied with new tenants paying 725(3) and 1 at 650.00 that is a gross of 2825 per month. Three units have been freshly rehabbed.

Key facts

  • Roof resealed
  • Interior sewer lines
  • Freshly rehabbed

Tags

INTERIOR SEWER LINESROOF RESEALEDFRESHLY REHABBED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $406/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $185k implies a 655% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,259 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.83%
Cash-on-cash
37.62%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,352
List price
$184,900
Delta
178.66%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4216 E Margaretta Ave 0.72mi 16/16.0 3,876 (+12%) 8mo $35,000 $9 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$83,321
Equity at exit
$38,051
10-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
5.15×
Total profit
$214,791
Equity at exit
$34,582

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63107

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
16.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,672 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,774/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$771
Net cashflow
$1,623

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,617
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,751 -5% $1,687 +0% $1,623 +5% $1,559 +10% $1,495
Rent -10% $1,333 -5% $1,478 +0% $1,623 +5% $1,768 +10% $1,913
Rate -1.0pp $1,716 -0.5pp $1,670 base $1,623 +0.5pp $1,575 +1.0pp $1,526

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,672

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,900 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,900 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,900 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,900 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,900 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,900 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,900 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $184,900 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $184,900 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,900 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricestatus $184,900 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    4 Family with enforced lease. Seller has replaced the interior sewer lines, roof resealed, fully occupied with new tenants paying 725(3) and 1 at 650.00 that is a gross of 2825 per month. Three units have been freshly rehabbed.

  14. 2026-05-05
    status Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    4 Family with enforced lease. Seller has replaced the interior sewer lines, roof resealed, fully occupied with new tenants paying 725(3) and 1 at 650.00 that is a gross of 2825 per month. Three units have been freshly rehabbed.

  15. 2026-04-06
    status Pending 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    4 Family with enforced lease. Seller has replaced the interior sewer lines, roof resealed, fully occupied with new tenants paying 725(3) and 1 at 650.00 that is a gross of 2825 per month. Three units have been freshly rehabbed.

  16. 2026-01-14
    listed $192,900 Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    4 Family with enforced lease. Seller has replaced the interior sewer lines, roof resealed, fully occupied with new tenants paying 725(3) and 1 at 650.00 that is a gross of 2825 per month. Three units have been freshly rehabbed.

  17. 2025-10-27
    price $194,900
  18. 2025-06-05
    listed $189,900 Active
  19. 2023-04-12
    historical
  20. 2022-12-12
    listed $82,500 Active
  21. 2022-05-14
    price $69,500
  22. 2022-03-10
    price $86,000
  23. 2021-02-10
    price $89,000
  24. 2007-06-29
    soldstatus $24,500
  25. 2001-01-26
    soldstatus $3,500
  26. 1997-04-15
    soldstatus
  27. 1997-02-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,064
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,774
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,525
− Management
−$3,525
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$17,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,219
After-tax cash flow
$15,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
City population
283,259
Population (ZIP)
9,082

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.75%
Current HPI
92.7423
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5411.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $192,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $194,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-05 Listed $189,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-12 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-12 Listed $82,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-14 Price Changed $69,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-10 Price Changed $86,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-10 Price Changed $89,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
  • 2001-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $3,500 Public Records
  • 1997-04-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-02-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $219 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…