7378 Kylan Dr N · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brick beauty, spacious layout, glassed patio, double carport, large entertainment room, unlimited potential, wont last long! Sold As-Is. Seller/Agent makes no representations / warranties expressed or implied as to condition of property. Multiple offers have been received. Seller is requesting highest and best by 4.27.26 @ 10am. See MO form in documents.
Key facts
- Glassed patio
- Double carport
- 8,276 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with space for 2 vehicles
- Security:
- Utilities: Electricity available
- Home design: Single Family Residence; One level; Entry on level 1; Faces south
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Other structures on the property; Electricity available
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has cooling (type listed as Other)
- Interior features: Other appliances
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,527/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $108k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.19%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,008
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7388 Simms Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,525 (-0%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $164 | 88 |
| 7442 Richardson Rd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,525 (-0%) | 5mo | $290,000 | $190 | 76 |
| 7500 Queensgate Cir | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (+5%) | 4mo | $299,990 | $187 | 67 |
| 7476 Queensgate Cir | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+5%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $175 | 64 |
| 7496 Queensgate Cir | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (+5%) | 7mo | $290,990 | $181 | 64 |
| 7143 Rhode Island Dr E | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,524 (-0%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $52 | 62 |
| 4924 Vermont Rd | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,640 (+7%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $140 | 59 |
| 4924 Hampshire Dr | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,670 (+9%) | 4mo | $203,900 | $122 | 42 |
| 8897 Bronson Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-14%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $117 | 42 |
| 8815 Bronson Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-13%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $141 | 42 |
| 5985 Dunmire Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,665 (+9%) | 6mo | $268,017 | $161 | 39 |
| 7622 John F Kennedy Dr E | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,303 (-15%) | 6mo | $139,000 | $107 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,957
- Equity at exit
- $16,103
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $22,129
- Equity at exit
- $9,338
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32209
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,527 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax from tax record
- −$262 /mo · $3,149/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $332
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $363 | +0% $332 | +5% $302 | +10% $271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $272 | +0% $332 | +5% $393 | +10% $453 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $387 | -0.5pp $360 | base $332 | +0.5pp $304 | +1.0pp $276 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4910 Rhode Island Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,696 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6705 Gaspar Cir E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,254 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6731 W Virginia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,225 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6718 Gaspar Cir W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,305 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8645 Samona Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4895 Churchill Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6623 Kinlock Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2081 | $1,610 | $0.77 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8036 Mattox Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,480 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6412 New Kings Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6412 New Kings Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 8534 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8509 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,675 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8367 Tubman Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1398 | $1,790 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6188 Pettiford Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 8516 Bermuda Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,625 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4144 Katanga Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,095 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7860 Rondo Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,410 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4643 Williamsburg Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,496 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9340 Sibbald Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,606 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4737 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,148 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6609 Miriam St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,425 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9504 Evesham Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1966 | $1,645 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-04-20$108,000 Active
-
1978-04-11soldstatus $36,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,149 · $262/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,149 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$3,149
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,466
- − Management
- −$1,466
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable income
- $2,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$602
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,385/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,657
- Household income
- $30,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2921.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.92%
- Current HPI
- 189.5977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+195.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $108,000 realMLS
- 1978-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,149 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…